{"id":100323,"date":"2017-10-16T12:00:55","date_gmt":"2017-10-16T11:00:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/?p=100323"},"modified":"2017-10-15T13:03:48","modified_gmt":"2017-10-15T12:03:48","slug":"trump-moves-towards-war-with-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/2017\/10\/trump-moves-towards-war-with-iran\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump Moves towards War with Iran"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>12 Oct 2017 &#8211; <\/em>With his speech today &#8211; half an hour ago &#8211; U.S. President Trump has taken a huge step into uncharted territories.<\/p>\n<p>One that implies a 60-75% risk of leading to a US attack on Iran.<\/p>\n<p>Behind him stand the hardline militarists whom he has himself appointed.<\/p>\n<p>Secondly, neoconservative individuals and think tanks who have brought the world only a series of failed wars and unspeakable human misery since the invasion of Afghanistan.<\/p>\n<p>Third, the Military-Industrial-Media-Academic Complex, MIMAC, that is outside real democratic control and pushes relentlessly for ever-increasing armament and wars and serves the public all kinds of weird, fake images of what threatens the US.<\/p>\n<p>Further, pro-Israeli and pro-Saudi lobby organisations and extremely wealthy individuals who buy political influence and thereby destroy the very foundations of democracy and free opinion formation.<\/p>\n<p>*******<\/p>\n<p>Against these numerically tiny elites\u00a0stand virtually the rest of the world, including NATO allies and the EU.<\/p>\n<p>They&#8217;ve all communicated very clearly to the President how important it is for all involved that he re-certifies the immensely important and historically unique Iran nuclear deal of 2015, or the JCPOA.<\/p>\n<p>As is usual for failed US foreign policy there is no comprehensive strategy and no exit strategy. Having no diplomatic relations with Iran for decades, Trump lacks appropriate channels of communication.<\/p>\n<p>He also lacks basic knowledge of the country (whereas the Iranians know the West). His bizarre image of the country as presented in this speech bodes ill in every respect.<\/p>\n<p>Seldom has a Presidential speech been so filled with psycho-political projections of one&#8217;s own dark sides on the adversary as this.<\/p>\n<p>It will be extremely difficult, if not impossible, to\u00a0<em>de<\/em>-escalate what he has pressed the escalation buttons for today.<\/p>\n<p>The announced policy has nothing to do with an intellectually decent and comprehensive policy.<\/p>\n<p>The Trump administration &#8211; no, we don&#8217;t call it &#8220;regime&#8221; or &#8220;dictatorship&#8221; &#8211; runs on irrational hatred of everything Iran, on bullying and fear-mongering like &#8220;calm before the storm&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>In spite of the failed and very costly wars, this Administration grossly <em>overestimates<\/em> what the US Empire can still achieve or get away with in terms of violations of international law and basic ethics.<\/p>\n<p>And it <em>underestimates<\/em> the rapid loss of legitimacy in the eyes of everybody else, including its allies in Europe.<\/p>\n<p>Since the military is the only US power dimension where it is still &#8216;second to none&#8217; it believes it doesn&#8217;t have to listen or think. But these days are long gone in the modern global society.<\/p>\n<p>*******<\/p>\n<p>No one in Iran would be able to find anything of value in this speech &#8211; condescending, blaming, vilifying in the extreme, unfair, distorting of history and the relationship.<\/p>\n<p>Apart from all this\u00a0<em>fake<\/em>\u00a0it was filled with\u00a0<em>omissions<\/em>\u00a0&#8211; of what the US itself has done since the 1953 CIA\/UK coup d\u2019\u00e9tat against the legitimate, democratically elected government of Dr\u00a0Mossadegh.<br \/>\nOne also looked in vain for even the smallest\u00a0opening or invitation to co-operate.<\/p>\n<p>Not one little indication of a will to peace in Washington or to set the relationship on a better track.<\/p>\n<p>This intellectually poor Administration doesn&#8217;t even see that everything in this speech, if implemented, will end up making the situation for the 85 million Iranians &#8211; which he professes to respect so much &#8211; much worse, politically as well as economically.<\/p>\n<p>For anyone politically and military allied with, or dependent upon, the US, October 13, 2017, should be a wake-up call.<\/p>\n<p>Because what President Trump has now done is not to signal leadership, universally accepted norms or intellectual and moral strength.<\/p>\n<p>Instead &#8211; and very sadly &#8211; it signals that the US is now a desperate, unpredictable and dangerous Empire rapidly on its way down.<\/p>\n<p>Indeed, God help America! Mostly from itself!<\/p>\n<p>_________________________________________<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/jan-oberg-e1488037155907.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-75557\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/jan-oberg-e1488037155907.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"100\" height=\"104\" \/><\/a><em>TFF Director Prof. Jan Oberg is a member of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/\" >TRANSCEND Network for Peace Development Environment<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>12 Oct 2017 &#8211; With his speech today&#8211;half an hour ago&#8211;U.S. President Trump has taken a huge step into uncharted territories. One that implies a 60-75% risk of leading to a US attack on Iran. Behind him stand the hardline militarists whom he has himself appointed. Indeed, God help America! Mostly from itself!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[40],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-100323","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-transcend-members"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100323","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=100323"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100323\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=100323"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=100323"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=100323"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}