{"id":104981,"date":"2018-01-15T12:00:45","date_gmt":"2018-01-15T12:00:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/?p=104981"},"modified":"2019-11-18T10:02:56","modified_gmt":"2019-11-18T10:02:56","slug":"how-the-heroin-trade-explains-the-us-uk-failure-in-afghanistan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/2018\/01\/how-the-heroin-trade-explains-the-us-uk-failure-in-afghanistan\/","title":{"rendered":"How the Heroin Trade Explains the US-UK Failure in Afghanistan"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote><p><em>After 16 years and $1tn spent, there is no end to the fighting \u2013 but western intervention has resulted in Afghanistan becoming the world\u2019s first true narco-state.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<div id=\"attachment_104982\" style=\"width: 510px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/heroin-afghanistan-drug-usa-uk.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-104982\" class=\"wp-image-104982\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/heroin-afghanistan-drug-usa-uk-1024x614.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/heroin-afghanistan-drug-usa-uk-1024x614.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/heroin-afghanistan-drug-usa-uk-300x180.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/heroin-afghanistan-drug-usa-uk-768x460.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/heroin-afghanistan-drug-usa-uk.jpg 1900w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-104982\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Guardian photo<\/p><\/div>\n<p><em>9 Jan 2018 &#8211; <\/em>After fighting the longest war in its history, the US stands at the brink of defeat in Afghanistan. How could this be possible? How could the world\u2019s sole superpower have battled continuously for more than 16 years \u2013 deploying more than 100,000 troops at the conflict\u2019s peak, sacrificing the lives of nearly 2,300 soldiers, spending more than $1tn (\u00a3740bn) on its military operations, lavishing a record $100bn more on \u201cnation-building\u201d, helping fund and train an army of 350,000 Afghan allies \u2013 and still not be able to pacify one of the world\u2019s most impoverished nations? So dismal is the prospect of stability in Afghanistan that, in 2016, the Obama White House <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2016\/jul\/06\/obama-delays-us-troop-withdrawal-afghanistan-al-qaida\" >cancelled a planned withdrawal<\/a> of its forces, ordering more than 8,000 troops to remain in the country indefinitely.<\/p>\n<p>In the American failure lies a paradox: Washington\u2019s massive military juggernaut has been stopped in its steel tracks by a small pink flower \u2013 the opium poppy. Throughout its three decades in <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/afghanistan\" >Afghanistan<\/a>, Washington\u2019s military operations have succeeded only when they fit reasonably comfortably into central Asia\u2019s illicit traffic in opium \u2013 and suffered when they failed to complement it.<\/p>\n<p>It was during the cold war that the US first intervened in Afghanistan, backing Muslim militants who were fighting to expel the Soviet Red Army. In December 1979, the Soviets occupied Kabul in order to shore up their failing client regime; Washington, still wounded by <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/news\/2015\/apr\/21\/40-years-on-from-fall-of-saigon-witnessing-end-of-vietnam-war\" >the fall of Saigon<\/a> four years earlier, decided to give Moscow its \u201cown Vietnam\u201d by backing the Islamic resistance. For the next 10 years, the CIA would provide the mujahideen guerrillas with an estimated $3bn in arms. These funds, along with an expanding opium harvest, would sustain the Afghan resistance for the decade it would take to force a Soviet withdrawal. One reason the US strategy succeeded was that the surrogate war launched by the CIA did not disrupt the way its Afghan allies used the country\u2019s swelling drug traffic to sustain their decade-long struggle.<\/p>\n<p>Despite almost continuous combat since the invasion of October 2001, pacification efforts have failed to curtail the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/taliban\" >Taliban<\/a> insurgency, largely because the US simply could not control the swelling surplus from the country\u2019s heroin trade. Its opium production surged from around 180 tonnes in 2001 to more than 3,000 tonnes a year after the invasion, and to more than 8,000 by 2007. Every spring, the opium harvest fills the Taliban\u2019s coffers once again, funding wages for a new crop of guerrilla fighters.<\/p>\n<p>At each stage in its tragic, tumultuous history over the past 40 years \u2013 the covert war of the 1980s, the civil war of the 90s and its post-2001 occupation \u2013 opium has played a central role in shaping the country\u2019s destiny. In one of history\u2019s bitter ironies, Afghanistan\u2019s unique ecology converged with American military technology to transform this remote, landlocked nation into the world\u2019s first true narco-state \u2013 a country where illicit drugs dominate the economy, define political choices and determine the fate of foreign interventions.<\/p>\n<p>During the 1980s, the CIA\u2019s secret war against the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan helped transform the Afghani-Pakistani borderlands into a launchpad for the global heroin trade. \u201cIn the tribal area,\u201d the US state department reported in 1986, \u201cthere is no police force. There are no courts. There is no taxation. No weapon is illegal \u2026 Hashish and opium are often on display.\u201d By then, the process of guerrilla mobilisation to fight the Soviet occupation was long under way. Instead of forming its own coalition of resistance leaders, the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/cia\" >CIA<\/a> had relied on Pakistan\u2019s powerful Inter-Services Intelligence agency (ISI) and its Afghan clients, who soon became key players in the burgeoning cross-border opium traffic.<\/p>\n<p>The CIA looked the other way while Afghanistan\u2019s opium production grew from about 100 tonnes annually in the 1970s to 2,000 tonnes by 1991. In 1979 and 1980, just as the CIA effort was beginning to ramp up, a network of heroin laboratories opened along the Afghan-Pakistan frontier. That region soon became the world\u2019s largest heroin producer. By 1984, it supplied a staggering 60% of the US market and 80% of the European. Inside Pakistan, the number of heroin addicts surged from near zero (yes, zero) in 1979 to 5,000 in 1980, and 1.3 million by 1985 \u2013 a rate of addiction so high the UN termed it \u201cparticularly shocking\u201d.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_104983\" style=\"width: 410px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/heroin-afghanistan-drug-usa-uk2.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-104983\" class=\"wp-image-104983\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/heroin-afghanistan-drug-usa-uk2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"400\" height=\"240\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/heroin-afghanistan-drug-usa-uk2.jpg 880w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/heroin-afghanistan-drug-usa-uk2-300x180.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/heroin-afghanistan-drug-usa-uk2-768x461.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-104983\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A farmer sowing poppy seeds in Nangarhar province, Afghanistan. Photograph: Sean Smith for the Guardian<\/p><\/div>\n<p>According to a 1986 state department report, opium \u201cis an ideal crop in a war-torn country since it requires little capital investment, is fast growing and is easily transported and traded\u201d. Moreover, Afghanistan\u2019s climate was well suited to growing poppies. As relentless warfare between CIA and Soviet surrogates took its toll, Afghan farmers began to turn to opium \u201cin desperation\u201d, since it produced \u201chigh profits\u201d that could cover rising food prices. At the same time, the state department reported that resistance elements took up opium production and trafficking \u201cto provide staples for [the] population under their control and to fund weapons purchases\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>As the mujahideen guerrillas gained ground against the Soviet occupation and began to create liberated zones inside Afghanistan in the early 1980s, the resistance helped fund its operations by collecting taxes from peasants who grew the lucrative opium poppies, particularly in the fertile Helmand valley. Caravans carrying CIA arms into that region for the resistance often returned to Pakistan loaded down with opium \u2013 sometimes, reported the New York Times, \u201cwith the assent of Pakistani or American intelligence officers who supported the resistance\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Charles Cogan, a former director of the CIA\u2019s Afghan operation, later spoke frankly about the agency\u2019s choices. \u201cOur main mission was to do as much damage as possible to the Soviets,\u201d he told an interviewer in 1995. \u201cWe didn\u2019t really have the resources or the time to devote to an investigation of the drug trade. I don\u2019t think that we need to apologise for this \u2026 There was fallout in term of drugs, yes. But the main objective was accomplished. The Soviets left Afghanistan.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Over the longer term, the US intervention produced a black hole of geopolitical instability that would never again be sealed or healed. Afghanistan could not readily recover from the unprecedented devastation it suffered in the years of the first American intervention. As the Soviet-Afghan war wound down between 1989 and 1992, the Washington-led alliance essentially abandoned the country, failing either to sponsor a peace settlement or finance reconstruction.<\/p>\n<p>While Washington turned away from Afghanistan to other foreign policy hotspots in Africa and the Persian Gulf, a vicious civil war broke out in a country that had already suffered, between 1979 and 1989, some 1.5 million dead, about 10% of the country\u2019s population. During the years of civil strife among the many well-armed warlords the CIA had left primed to fight for power, Afghan farmers raised the only crop that ensured instant profits: the opium poppy. Having multiplied twentyfold during the covert-war era of the 1980s, the opium harvest would more than double again during the civil war of the 1990s.<\/p>\n<p>In this period of turmoil, opium\u2019s ascent is best understood as a response to severe damage from two decades of destructive warfare. With the return of some three million refugees to a war-ravaged land, the opium fields were an employment godsend, requiring nine times as many labourers to cultivate as wheat, the country\u2019s traditional staple. In addition, only opium merchants were capable of accumulating capital rapidly enough to be able to provide poor poppy farmers with much-needed cash advances, which often provided more than half their annual income. That credit would prove critical to the survival of many impoverished villagers.<\/p>\n<p>In the civil war\u2019s first phase, from 1992 to 1994, ruthless local warlords combined arms and opium in a countrywide struggle for power. Later, Pakistan threw its backing behind a newly arisen Pashtun force, the Taliban. After <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/theguardian\/2009\/sep\/28\/taliban-afghanistan-kabul\" >seizing Kabul in 1996<\/a> and taking control of much of the country, the Taliban regime encouraged local opium cultivation, offering government protection to the export trade and collecting much-needed taxes on both the opium harvested and the heroin manufactured. UN opium surveys showed that, during the Taliban\u2019s first three years in power, Afghanistan\u2019s opium crop accounted for 75% of world production.<\/p>\n<p>In July 2000, however, as a devastating drought entered its second year and hunger spread across Afghanistan, the Taliban government suddenly ordered a ban on all opium cultivation, in an apparent appeal for international acceptance. A subsequent UN crop survey of 10,030 villages found that this prohibition had reduced the harvest by 94%.<\/p>\n<p>Three months later, in September 2000, the Taliban sent a delegation to UN headquarters in New York to trade upon the country\u2019s continuing drug prohibition in a bid for diplomatic recognition. Instead, the UN imposed new sanctions on the regime for protecting Osama bin Laden. The US, on the other hand, actually rewarded the Taliban with <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2001\/sep\/14\/afghanistan.september11\" >$43m in humanitarian aid<\/a>, even as it seconded UN criticism over Bin Laden. Announcing this aid in May 2001, secretary of state Colin Powell praised \u201cthe ban on poppy cultivation, a decision by the Taliban that we welcome\u201d, but still urged the regime to end \u201ctheir support for terrorism; their violation of internationally recognised human rights standards, especially their treatment of women and girls\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>After largely ignoring Afghanistan for a decade, Washington \u201crediscovered\u201d the country in the aftermath of the 9\/11 terrorist attacks. In October 2001, the US began bombing the country, and then, with the support of British forces, launched an invasion spearheaded by local warlords. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2001\/nov\/17\/afghanistan.terrorism10\" >The Taliban regime collapsed<\/a> with a speed that surprised many government officials. In retrospect, it seems likely that its opium prohibition was a crucial factor.<\/p>\n<p>To an extent not generally appreciated, Afghanistan had, for two full decades, devoted a growing share of its resources \u2013 capital, land, water and labour \u2013 to the production of opium and heroin. By the time the Taliban banned cultivation, its agriculture had become little more than an opium monocrop. The drug trade accounted for most of its tax revenues, much of its export income, and a significant share of its employment.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_104984\" style=\"width: 510px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/heroin-afghanistan-drug-usa-uk3.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-104984\" class=\"wp-image-104984\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/heroin-afghanistan-drug-usa-uk3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/heroin-afghanistan-drug-usa-uk3.jpg 880w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/heroin-afghanistan-drug-usa-uk3-300x180.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/heroin-afghanistan-drug-usa-uk3-768x461.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-104984\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">British troops patrol Helmand province in southern Afghanistan.<br \/> Photograph: Getty<\/p><\/div>\n<p>The Taliban\u2019s sudden opium eradication proved to be an act of economic suicide that brought an already weakened society to the brink of collapse. A 2001 UN survey found that the ban had \u201cresulted in a severe loss of income for an estimated 3.3 million people\u201d, about 15% of the population. In this context, it became, according to the UN, \u201ceasier for western military forces to persuade rural elites and the population to rebel against the regime\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>In little more than a month, the lethal US bombing campaign, combined with ground attacks by its warlord allies, smashed the Taliban\u2019s weakened defenses. But the longer-term US strategy would plant the seeds, quite literally, for the Taliban\u2019s surprising revival just four years later.<\/p>\n<p>While the American bombing campaign raged throughout October 2001, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2002\/nov\/17\/afghanistan.edvulliamy\" >the CIA shipped $70m in cash<\/a> into the country to mobilise its old cold war coalition of tribal warlords for the fight against the Taliban, an expenditure President George W Bush would later hail as one of history\u2019s biggest \u201cbargains\u201d. To capture Kabul and other key cities, the CIA put its money behind the leaders of the Northern Alliance, an ethnic Tajik force that had fought the Soviets in the 1980s and then resisted the Taliban government in the 1990s. They, in turn, had long dominated the drug traffic in the area of north-east Afghanistan that they controlled during the Taliban years. The CIA also turned to a group of rising Pashtun warlords along the Pakistan border who had been active as drug smugglers in the south-eastern part of the country. As a result, when the Taliban collapsed, the groundwork had already been laid for the resumption of opium cultivation and the drug trade on a major scale.<\/p>\n<p>Once Kabul and the provincial capitals were taken, the CIA quickly ceded operational control to allied military forces and civilian officials. In the years to come, those forces\u2019 inept drug-suppression programmes would cede the heroin traffic\u2019s growing profits first to the warlords and, in later years, largely to Taliban guerrillas. In a development without historical precedent, illicit drugs would be responsible for 62% of the country\u2019s 2003 gross domestic product (GDP).<\/p>\n<p>But for the first few years of the occupation, according to a 2007 New York Times report, defense secretary <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/donald-rumsfeld\" >Donald Rumsfeld<\/a> reportedly \u201cdismissed growing signs that drug money was being funnelled to the Taliban\u201d, while the CIA and the military \u201cturned a blind eye to drug-related activities by prominent warlords\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>In late 2004, after nearly two years of outsourcing opium control to its British allies and police training to the Germans, the White House was suddenly confronted with troubling CIA intelligence suggesting that the escalating drug trade was fuelling a revival of the Taliban. Backed by George W Bush, secretary of state Colin Powell then urged a forceful counter-narcotics strategy for parts of rural Afghanistan, including the same kind of aggressive aerial defoliation then being used against Colombia\u2019s illicit coca crop. But the US ambassador to Afghanistan, Zalmay Khalilzad, resisted this approach, seconded by his local ally <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/ashraf-ghani\" >Ashraf Ghani<\/a>, then the country\u2019s finance minister (and, since 2014, its president), who warned that such an eradication program would mean \u201cwidespread impoverishment\u201d in the country, without $20bn in foreign aid to create a \u201cgenuine alternative livelihood\u201d. As a compromise, Washington came to rely on private contractors such as DynCorp to train Afghan teams to eradicate drugs. By 2005, however, that effort had, according to New York Times correspondent Carlotta Gall, already become \u201csomething of a joke\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>By 2007, the UN\u2019s Afghanistan Opium Survey found that the country\u2019s then-record opium harvest of approxinamtely 8,200 tonnes provided 93% of the world\u2019s illicit heroin supply. Significantly, the UN stated that Taliban guerrillas have \u201cstarted to extract from the drug economy resources for arms, logistics, and militia pay\u201d. In 2008, the rebels reportedly collected $425m in \u201ctaxes\u201d levied on the opium traffic, and with every harvest they made enough funds to recruit a new crop of young fighters from the villages. Each of those prospective guerrillas could count on monthly payments of $300 \u2013 far above the wages they would have made as agricultural laborers.<\/p>\n<p>To contain the spreading insurgency, Washington decided to commit 40,000 more US combat troops to Afghanistan in mid-2008, raising allied forces to 70,000. Recognising the crucial role of opium revenues in Taliban recruitment, the allied command was also fielding specialist teams that used development aid to encourage drug-suppression efforts in poppy-rich provinces. It was a fortuitous moment. That record harvest in 2007 had created an opium surplus that depressed prices, while simultaneous food shortages made wheat a competitive crop. As farmers used foreign aid to plant food crops in key areas of Helmand and Nangarhar provinces, the country\u2019s poppy cultivation slipped from a record 200,000 hectares (494,000 acres) in 2007 to just 123,000 two years later \u2013 still sufficient, however, to sustain the Taliban. Meanwhile, inept and heavy-handed attempts to suppress the drug trade only ended up increasing opposition to the US and its allies.<\/p>\n<p>By 2009, the guerrillas were expanding so rapidly that the new Obama administration opted for a \u201csurge\u201d of US troop strength to 102,000 in a bid to cripple the Taliban. After months of rising deployments, President Obama\u2019s big breakthrough strategy was officially launched in the darkness before dawn on 13 February 2010, at Marja, a remote market town in Helmand province. As waves of helicopters descended on its outskirts spitting up clouds of dust, hundreds of marines sprinted through fields of sprouting opium poppies toward the village\u2019s mud-walled compounds. Though their targets were the local Taliban guerrillas, the marines were in fact occupying one of the capitals of the global heroin trade.<\/p>\n<p>A week later, Gen Stanley McChrystal choppered into town with Karim Khalili, Afghanistan\u2019s vice-president. They were there for the media rollout of new-look counter-insurgency tactics that were, the general told reporters, certain to pacify villages such as Marja. The local opium traders, however, had other ideas. \u201cIf they come with tractors,\u201d one Afghan widow announced to a chorus of supportive shouts from her fellow farmers, \u201cthey will have to roll over me and kill me before they can kill my poppy\u201d. Speaking by satellite telephone from the region\u2019s opium fields, one US embassy official told me: \u201cYou can\u2019t win this war without taking on drug production in Helmand province.\u201d<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_104985\" style=\"width: 610px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/heroin-afghanistan-drug-usa-uk4.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-104985\" class=\"wp-image-104985\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/heroin-afghanistan-drug-usa-uk4.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"360\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/heroin-afghanistan-drug-usa-uk4.jpg 880w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/heroin-afghanistan-drug-usa-uk4-300x180.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/heroin-afghanistan-drug-usa-uk4-768x461.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-104985\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Men smoking heroin in Quetta, Pakistan, near the border with Afghanistan.<br \/> Photograph: Reuters<\/p><\/div>\n<p>By attacking the guerrillas but failing to eradicate the opium harvest that funded new insurgents every spring, Obama\u2019s surge soon faltered. Amid the rapid drawdown of allied forces to meet Obama\u2019s <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2011\/jun\/21\/barack-obama-and-pentagon-split-on-afghanistan\" >politically determined deadline<\/a> of December 2014 for \u201cending\u201d all combat operations, a marked reduction in air operations allowed the Taliban to launch mass-formation offensives, which killed record numbers of Afghan army troops and police.<\/p>\n<p>At the time, John Sopko, the special inspector for Afghanistan, offered a telling explanation for the Taliban\u2019s survival. Despite the expenditure of a staggering $7.6bn on \u201cdrug eradication\u201d programs during the previous decade, he concluded that, \u201cby every conceivable metric, we\u2019ve failed. Production and cultivation are up, interdiction and eradication are down, financial support to the insurgency is up, and addiction and abuse are at unprecedented levels in Afghanistan\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>As the 2014 opium crop was harvested, fresh UN figures suggested that production levels were approaching the country\u2019s 2007 high. In May 2015, having watched this flood of drugs enter the global market as US counter-narcotics spending climbed to $8.4bn, Sopko tried to translate these developments into a comprehensible all-American image. \u201cAfghanistan,\u201d he said, \u201chas roughly 500,000 acres, or about 780 square miles, devoted to growing opium poppy. That\u2019s equivalent to more than 400,000 US football fields \u2013 including the end zones\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>During Afghanistan\u2019s 2015 fighting season, the Taliban decisively seized the combat initiative, and opium seemed ever more deeply embedded in its operations. In October 2015, the UN released a map showing that the Taliban had \u201chigh\u201d or \u201cextreme\u201d control in more than half the country\u2019s rural districts. Within a month, the Taliban unleashed offensives countrywide that were aimed at seizing and holding territory. Not surprisingly, the strongest attacks came in the poppy heartland of Helmand province, where half the country\u2019s opium crop was then grown.<\/p>\n<p>In 2016, 15 years after Afghanistan was \u201cliberated\u201d, and in a significant reversal of the Obama administration\u2019s drawdown policies, Washington launched <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2016\/feb\/08\/hundreds-us-troops-deployed-afghanistan-taliban-helmand\" >a mini-surge<\/a> by \u201chundreds\u201d of new US troops into Helmand province to deny insurgents the \u201ceconomic prize\u201d of the world\u2019s most productive poppy fields. Despite support from US airpower and 700 special-operations troops, in February and March 2016 embattled Afghan government forces retreated from two more districts, leaving the Taliban largely in control of 10 of the province\u2019s 14 districts.<\/p>\n<p>With its forces demoralised and the Taliban fielding aggressive fighters equipped with night-vision and sophisticated weapons, US airstrikes became the Afghan government\u2019s last, tenuous line of defence. And in a tacit admission of failure, the Obama administration ended its planned withdrawal in June 2016, allowing US forces to move beyond advising and rejoin actual combat, and announcing, a month later, that 8,400 troops would remain there for the foreseeable future.<\/p>\n<p>In Helmand and other strategic provinces, the Afghan army seemed to be losing a war that was now driven \u2013 in ways that eluded most observers \u2013 by a battle for control of the country\u2019s opium profits. In Helmand province, both Taliban rebels and provincial officials are locked in a struggle for control of the lucrative drug traffic. \u201cAfghan government officials have become directly involved in the opium trade\u201d, the New York Times reported in February 2016. In so doing, they expanded \u201ctheir competition with the Taliban \u2026 into a struggle for control of the drug traffic\u201d, while imposing \u201ca tax on farmers practically identical to the one the Taliban uses\u201d. In a process that implicated virtually the entire government, provincial officials then passed a portion of their illicit profits \u201cup the chain, all the way to officials in Kabul \u2026 ensuring that the local authorities maintain support from higher-ups and keeping the opium growing\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Simultaneously, a UN security council investigation found that the Taliban had systematically tapped \u201cinto the supply chain at each stage of the narcotics trade\u201d \u2013 collecting a 10% tax on opium cultivation in Helmand, fighting for control of heroin laboratories and acting as \u201cthe major guarantors for the trafficking of raw opium and heroin out of Afghanistan\u201d. No longer simply taxing the traffic, the Taliban was so deeply and directly involved that, according to the New York Times, it \u201chas become difficult to distinguish the group from a dedicated drug cartel\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>These dismal trends persisted throughout 2017, as the Afghan opium harvest nearly doubled <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.unodc.org\/unodc\/en\/frontpage\/2017\/November\/afghan-opium-production-jumps-to-record-level--up-87-per-cent_-survey.html\" >to 9,000 tonnes<\/a>, well above the previous peak of 8,200 tonnes in 2007. Inside wartorn Helmand province, the poppy area increased by 79% to 144,000 hectares, representing 44% of the country\u2019s total crop. In November, convinced that opium is providing 60% of the Taliban\u2019s funds for wages and weapons, the US command \u2013 emboldened and expanded by <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/commentisfree\/2017\/aug\/22\/the-guardian-view-on-trump-and-afghanistan-unwinnable-and-unlosable\" >Donald Trump\u2019s decision to \u201cwin\u201d<\/a> the Afghan war \u2013 dispatched, for the first time ever, F-22 fighters and B-52 bombers to destroy 10 of the Taliban\u2019s heroin laboratories in Helmand, a small share of the country\u2019s 500 drug refineries.<\/p>\n<p>For the foreseeable future, opium will likely remain entangled in the rural economy, the Taliban insurgency, and government corruption whose sum is the Afghan conundrum.<\/p>\n<p>The failure of America\u2019s intervention in Afghanistan offers broader insight into the limits to its global power. The persistence of both opium cultivation and the Taliban insurgency suggest the degree to which the policies that Washington has imposed upon Afghanistan since 2001 have reached a dead end. For most people worldwide, economic activity, the production and exchange of goods, is the prime point of contact with their government. When, however, a country\u2019s most significant commodity is illegal, then political loyalties naturally shift to the economic networks that move that product safely and secretly from fields to foreign markets, providing protection, finance and employment at every stage. \u201cThe narcotics trade poisons the Afghan financial sector and fuels a growing illicit economy,\u201d John Sopko explained in 2014. \u201cThis, in turn, undermines the Afghan state\u2019s legitimacy by stoking corruption, nourishing criminal networks and providing significant financial support to the Taliban and other insurgent groups.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>After 16 years of continuous warfare, Washington is faced with the same choice it had back in 2010, when Obama\u2019s generals airlifted those marines into Marja. Just as it has been over the past decade and a half, the US can remain trapped in the same endless cycle. As snow melts from the mountain slopes and poppy plants rise from the soil every spring, there will be a new batch of teenage recruits from impoverished villages ready to fight for the rebel cause.<\/p>\n<p>Even for this troubled land and its dauntingly complex policy problem, however, there are alternatives. Investing even a small portion of all that misspent military funding in the country\u2019s agriculture can produce more economic options for the millions of farmers who depend upon the opium crop for employment. Ruined orchards could be rebuilt, ravaged flocks repopulated, wasted seed stocks regrown and wrecked snow-melt irrigation systems \u2013 which once sustained a diverse agriculture before these decades of war \u2013 repaired. If the international community continues to nudge the country\u2019s dependence on illicit opium downward through sustained rural development, then maybe Afghanistan will cease to be the planet\u2019s leading narco-state \u2013 and just maybe the annual cycle of violence could at long last be broken.<\/p>\n<p>_________________________________________<\/p>\n<p><em>Adapted from <\/em><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.guardianbookshop.com\/in-the-shadows-of-the-american-century.html\" >In the Shadows of the American Century<\/a><em> by Alfred W McCoy, which will be published in the UK by Oneworld on 25 January 2018.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>Alfred W McCoy is Harrington professor of History at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/news\/2018\/jan\/09\/how-the-heroin-trade-explains-the-us-uk-failure-in-afghanistan?CMP=share_btn_tw\" >Go to Original \u2013 theguardian.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>9 Jan 2018 &#8211; After fighting the longest war in its history, the US stands at the brink of defeat in Afghanistan. How could this be possible? After 16 years and $1tn spent, there is no end to the fighting \u2013 but western intervention has resulted in Afghanistan becoming the world\u2019s first true narco-state.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":104982,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[48,65,219,51],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-104981","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-in-focus","category-anglo-america","category-central-asia-2","category-europe"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104981","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=104981"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104981\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/104982"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=104981"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=104981"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=104981"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}