{"id":108340,"date":"2018-04-02T12:00:21","date_gmt":"2018-04-02T11:00:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/?p=108340"},"modified":"2018-03-28T12:57:35","modified_gmt":"2018-03-28T11:57:35","slug":"fewer-diplomats-more-armed-force-defines-us-leadership-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/2018\/04\/fewer-diplomats-more-armed-force-defines-us-leadership-today\/","title":{"rendered":"Fewer Diplomats, More Armed Force Defines US Leadership Today"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/a>

Members of the U.S. Army Special Forces on Aug. 30, 2002 in Afghanistan.
AP Photo\/Wally Santana<\/p><\/div>\n

26 Mar 2018 – <\/em>A strong legacy of U.S. leadership and engagement in global politics has been reduced today to what I call kinetic diplomacy \u2013 diplomacy by armed force.<\/p>\n

As of March 2018, the Trump administration has appointed only 70 of 188 U.S. ambassadors<\/a>. At the same time, it has increased the deployment of special operations forces to 149 countries<\/a> \u2013 up from 138 during the Obama administration in 2016. So while U.S. ambassadors are operating in one-third of the world\u2019s capitals, special operations forces are active in three-fourths.<\/p>\n

More special forces than diplomats <\/strong><\/p>\n

As of March 2018, US Special Forces are present in more than twice as many countries as US diplomats. The gray boxes represent the total number of countries; the boxes are slightly different because the US doesn’t send ambassadors to Bhutan, Iran, North Korea and Taiwan.<\/p>\n

The use of military force expanded not only under the Trump administration, but under Barack Obama\u2019s as well<\/a>. Now the Trump administration and Congress are also cutting back on foreign aid<\/a>.<\/p>\n

As a scholar of international security<\/a>, I\u2019d like to suggest this raises two related questions: Does kinetic diplomacy advance U.S. interests, and how does kinetic diplomacy affect U.S. leadership abroad?<\/p>\n

Two key assumptions<\/strong><\/p>\n

With the help of diplomats such as George C. Marshall<\/a>, who served as the U.S. secretary of state for two years beginning in 1947, the U.S. Department of State played a critical role in transitioning the United States from an emergency ally to a global leader following World War II.<\/p>\n

At the time, two key assumptions were taken for granted. The first was a close connection between U.S. diplomatic power and military effectiveness. The second was the understanding that in the United States, civilians outrank generals.<\/p>\n

The latter point was famously underlined when President Harry S. Truman fired General Douglas MacArthur in 1951<\/a> over the latter\u2019s insistence on seeking \u201cdecisive victory\u201d in North Korea \u2013 then supported by Communist China.<\/p>\n

And it was another diplomat, George F. Kennan, deputy chief of mission in Moscow, whose experience and insights proved decisive in shaping half a century of U.S. foreign policy. Kennan\u2019s approach was summarized first in a so-called \u201clong telegram\u201d in 1946, and later published in slightly revised form in the journal Foreign Affairs<\/a> as \u201cThe Sources of Soviet Conduct.\u201d<\/a><\/p>\n

Kennan argued that though the Soviet Union did have an expansionist revolutionary ideology, it nevertheless remained pragmatic in terms of global politics. The Soviet Union could therefore be deterred from aggressive expansion and contained \u2013 a much less risky strategy than a direct military confrontation, which might lead to world war.<\/p>\n

But more important than the U.S. State Department\u2019s periodic great successes was the pattern its successes reinforced. Diplomats led behind the scenes so that soldiers didn\u2019t have to follow.<\/p>\n

As General James Mattis, then-commander of U.S. Central Command put it in 2013, if the State Department budget were to be cut, \u201cI have to buy more ammunition<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n

And in an exchange with Sen. Elizabeth Warren during his Senate Armed Services Committee appearance in May 2017, U.S. Special Operations Commander Gen. Raymond Thomas said cuts to diplomacy and foreign aid \u201cwould make our job harder.\u201d Thomas went on to say diplomacy is \u201cindescribably critical\u201d<\/a> to U.S. Special Operations Command\u2019s mission to advise and assist local forces to build their own capacity.<\/p>\n

An important shift<\/strong><\/p>\n

The real shift to kinetic diplomacy occurred during the presidency of George W. Bush after Sept. 11, 2001.<\/p>\n

Bush declared a \u201cwar on terror,\u201d and successfully shifted the United States from containing threats to U.S. security, to engaging them pre-emptively and abroad. He argued that the Afghan Taliban must be punished for supporting al-Qaida<\/a>. The nation initially<\/a> agreed.<\/p>\n

But after routing the Taliban, the Bush administration accelerated the practice of seeking out \u201cevildoers\u201d abroad<\/a>, arguing that only by doing so could American lives be protected. This initiated the shift from diplomacy first, and armed force as a last resort, to armed force first \u2013 or kinetic diplomacy.<\/p>\n

Why did this happen?<\/p>\n

It happened because an attack on U.S. soil<\/a> by an armed group whose members claimed to be holy warriors and who sacrificed their own lives in their attacks made it relatively easy for the Bush administration to paint America\u2019s enemies as madmen who couldn\u2019t be bargained with or deterred \u2013 only destroyed or left to escalate destruction.<\/p>\n

Remember the critical importance of the \u201cweapons of mass destruction<\/a>\u201d arguments we heard over and over. If our enemies have dedicated themselves to our utter destruction \u2013 whether Muslim, Christian or Jew, adult or child \u2013 and can\u2019t be bargained with, the argument went, of what use is traditional diplomacy?<\/p>\n

Traditional diplomacy was granted a modest reprieve under the Obama administration. Under the Trump administration, however, the U.S. Department of State has been gutted<\/a> \u2013 with the departure of many high-level career diplomats, a proposed budget drop of 29 percent, and most recently the firing of Secretary of State Rex Tillerson<\/a>, who served only 14 months.<\/p>\n

This leaves us with kinetic diplomacy as a default. Without diplomats to inform and guide our armed forces and their leadership, we are left with an accelerating vicious cycle \u2013 the more \u201cbad guys\u201d we kill abroad, the more we have to kill. As a result, an increasing number of those we pre-emptively kill \u2013 instead of bargaining with \u2013 will be either civilians or heroes in their own countries. Martyring them guarantees the loss, not only of future American lives, but the lives of our allies who become targets by association.<\/p>\n

___________________________________________<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>Monica Duffy Toft <\/a>– Professor of International Politics and Director, Center for Strategic Studies, Fletcher School, Tufts University <\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Republish <\/em>The Conversation articles for free, online or in print, under Creative Commons license.<\/em><\/p>\n

Go to Original \u2013 theconversation.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

26 Mar 2018 – The author of ‘Securing the Peace,’ explains what’s wrong with having US ambassadors operating in one-third of the world\u2019s capitals while special operations forces are active in three-fourths.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":108342,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[65],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-108340","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-anglo-america"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108340","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=108340"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108340\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/108342"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=108340"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=108340"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=108340"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}