{"id":110521,"date":"2018-05-07T12:01:10","date_gmt":"2018-05-07T11:01:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/?p=110521"},"modified":"2018-05-04T13:42:53","modified_gmt":"2018-05-04T12:42:53","slug":"u-s-should-accept-putins-offer-to-negotiate-on-nukes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/2018\/05\/u-s-should-accept-putins-offer-to-negotiate-on-nukes\/","title":{"rendered":"U.S. Should Accept Putin’s Offer to Negotiate on Nukes"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a>On 1 Mar 2018, Russian President Vladimir Putin delivered his Presidential Address to\u00a0the\u00a0Federal Assembly<\/a>. Much of his speech focused on economic issues and proposals to improve the Russian economy and well-being of the Russian people. Putin did, however, devote a portion of his speech to what he called \u201cthe most important defense issue.\u201d He was referring to Russia\u2019s next generation of strategic nuclear weapons designed to overcome U.S. missile defense systems and, thereby from his perspective, assure the effectiveness of Russia\u2019s nuclear deterrent force and restore the global strategic balance.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Putin began his remarks on nuclear arms by harking back to the U.S. unilateral withdrawal from the Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty in 2002, a treaty he described as \u201cthe cornerstone of the international security system,\u201d due to the limits it placed on missile defense deployments. He recalled Russian efforts, before the U.S. withdrawal and subsequent to it, to dissuade the U.S. from abrogating the treaty, efforts that were all rejected out of hand. He stated, \u201cAll our proposals, absolutely all of them, were rejected.\u201d<\/p>\n

It is not well understood in the U.S. that there is a strategic relationship between offensive and defensive missiles. Although it is doubtful that missile defenses would ever work as planned, the leaders of a country whose offensive missiles are subject to being destroyed by missile defenses must assume that they would work. In his speech, Putin explained this relationship of defensive and offensive missiles by pointing out that \u201cuncontrolled growth of the number of anti-ballistic missiles\u201d by the U.S. \u201cwill result in the complete devaluation of Russia\u2019s nuclear potential.\u201d This situation, Putin argued, requires Russia to build new offensive nuclear arms capable of penetrating the U.S. missile defenses in order to maintain \u201cstrategic stability\u201d and not allow the U.S. to develop a perceived first-strike capability.<\/p>\n

The U.S. has been dismissive of this Russian concern, arguing that its defenses are only meant to stop attacks from small powers such as North Korea or Iran (although Iran has no nuclear arms). However, it is a clear and often repeated concern of Russia, just as it would be to the U.S. if Russia were placing missile defense installations near the U.S. border and around the world. Putin stated, \u201cLet me recall that the United States is creating a global missile defense system primarily for countering strategic arms that follow ballistic trajectories. These weapons form the backbone of our nuclear deterrence forces, just as other members of the nuclear club.\u201d<\/p>\n

Putin mentioned new Russian strategic nuclear weapons that would be fast, powerful and able to evade ballistic missile defenses. One of these new missiles, known as Sarmat, he described as \u201cuntroubled by even the most advanced missile defense systems.\u201d He also discussed development of new types of nuclear-powered strategic arms that do not use ballistic trajectories. These he depicted as \u201cinvincible against all existing and prospective missile defense and counter-air defense systems.\u201d<\/p>\n

Russia\u2019s new strategic weapons systems do not change the balance of power between the U.S. and Russia, though the U.S. may point to them in justifying its own plans to modernize every aspect of its nuclear arsenal at a cost of $1.7 trillion. Russia\u2019s new offensive nuclear weapons will only bring the ongoing nuclear arms race to a position of strategic stability.<\/p>\n

The fuel for a new nuclear arms race was already on the fire, and a Russian strategic response was predictable, when the U.S. withdrew from the ABM Treaty and began developing and emplacing missile defense systems globally. The U.S. withdrawal and abrogation of the ABM Treaty may prove to be the greatest strategic blunder of the nuclear age.<\/p>\n

New York Times writers Neil MacFarquhar and David Sanger, reporting on the speech<\/a>, observed that Putin had \u201cthreatened the West with a new generation of nuclear weapons. \u2026\u201d But in my reading of the speech, it seemed not to be a threat but rather an announcement that Russia has found a way to assure strategic stability by developing a nuclear force that can\u2019t be destroyed in a U.S. first strike, with the U.S. able to use missile defenses to knock out a Russian retaliatory attack with any of its missiles that survive the initial attack.<\/p>\n

Putin offered a critique of the recent U.S. Nuclear Posture Review<\/a>, saying it lowers the threshold for the use of nuclear arms, including \u201cin response to conventional arms attacks and even to a cyberthreat.\u201d This is a valid critique.<\/p>\n

Putin goes on to state: \u201cAny use of nuclear weapons against Russia or its allies \u2026 will be considered a nuclear attack on this country. Retaliation will be immediate, with all the attendant consequences.\u201d So long as nuclear weapons exist, this kind of posturing, while unfortunate, is to be expected by the logic of nuclear deterrence and is similar to statements U.S. leaders have made.<\/p>\n

Putin became conciliatory near the end of his address, stating, \u201cThere is no need to create more threats to the world. Instead, let us sit down at the negotiating table and devise together a new and relevant system of international security and sustainable development for human civilization. We have been saying this all along. All these proposals are still valid. Russia is ready for this.\u201d<\/p>\n

The U.S. should take him up on this offer. As the two most powerful nuclear powers on the planet, with enough nuclear weapons to end civilization as we know it and possibly the human species, the two countries need to be engaged in productive and good-faith negotiations to end the nuclear weapons threat to each other and to all humanity.<\/p>\n

Putin has opened the door for the two countries to negotiate to resolve their differences.<\/p>\n

Now it is up to the U.S. to respond.<\/p>\n

_________________________________________________<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>David Krieger is founder and president of the <\/em>Nuclear Age Peace Foundation<\/em>, and a member of the TRANSCEND Network for Peace Development Environment<\/a>. <\/em>Amongst several of his wide-spanning leadership endeavors in global peacebuilding, he is a founder and a member of the Global Council of Abolition 2000, councilor on the World Future Council, and is the chair of the Executive Committee of the International Network of Engineers and Scientists for Global Responsibility. Dr. Krieger is the author of many books and studies of peace in the Nuclear Age. He has written or edited more than 20 books and hundreds of articles and book chapters. He is a recipient of several awards and honors, including the OMNI Center for Peace, Justice and Ecology Peace Writing Award for Poetry (2010)<\/em>. He<\/em> has a new collection of poems entitled <\/em>Wake Up.\u00a0 For more visit the <\/em>Nuclear Age Peace Foundation website: www.wagingpeace.org<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The U.S. should take him up on this offer. As the two most powerful nuclear powers on the planet, with enough nuclear weapons to end civilization as we know it and possibly the human species, the two countries need to be engaged in productive and good-faith negotiations to end the nuclear weapons threat to each other and to all humanity.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":62651,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[40],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-110521","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-transcend-members"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110521","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=110521"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110521\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/62651"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=110521"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=110521"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=110521"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}