{"id":118351,"date":"2018-09-17T12:00:30","date_gmt":"2018-09-17T11:00:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/?p=118351"},"modified":"2018-09-11T10:49:30","modified_gmt":"2018-09-11T09:49:30","slug":"conjuring-up-the-next-depression","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/2018\/09\/conjuring-up-the-next-depression\/","title":{"rendered":"Conjuring Up the Next Depression"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_118352\" style=\"width: 410px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Fish-Hedges-Crash-and-Burn-850x692.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-118352\" class=\"wp-image-118352\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Fish-Hedges-Crash-and-Burn-850x692.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"400\" height=\"326\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Fish-Hedges-Crash-and-Burn-850x692.jpg 850w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Fish-Hedges-Crash-and-Burn-850x692-300x244.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/Fish-Hedges-Crash-and-Burn-850x692-768x625.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-118352\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Mr. Fish \/ Truthdig<\/p><\/div>\n<p><em>10 Sep 2018 &#8211; <\/em>During the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.thebalance.com\/2008-financial-crisis-3305679\" >financial crisis of 2008<\/a>, the world\u2019s central banks, including the Federal Reserve, injected trillions of dollars of fabricated money into the global financial system. This fabricated money has created a worldwide debt of $325 trillion, more than three times global GDP. The fabricated money was hoarded by banks and corporations, loaned by banks at predatory interest rates, used to service interest on unpayable debt or spent buying back stock, providing millions in compensation for elites. The fabricated money was not invested in the real economy. Products were not manufactured and sold. Workers were not reinstated into the middle class with sustainable incomes, benefits and pensions. Infrastructure projects were not undertaken. The fabricated money reinflated massive financial bubbles built on debt and papered over a fatally diseased financial system destined for collapse.<\/p>\n<p>What will trigger the next crash? The $13.2 trillion in unsustainable U.S. household debt? The $1.5 trillion in unsustainable student debt? The billions Wall Street has invested in a fracking industry that <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cleantechnica.com\/2018\/05\/21\/the-great-american-fracking-bubble\/\" >has spent $280 billion more<\/a> than it generated from its operations? Who knows. What is certain is that a global financial crash, one that will dwarf the meltdown of 2008, is inevitable. And this time, with interest rates near zero, the elites have no escape plan. The financial structure will disintegrate. The global economy will go into a death spiral. The rage of a betrayed and impoverished population will, I fear, further empower right-wing demagogues who promise vengeance on the global elites, moral renewal, a nativist revival heralding a return to a mythical golden age when immigrants, women and people of color knew their place, and a Christianized fascism.<\/p>\n<p>The 2008 financial crisis, as the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.truthdig.com\/author\/nomi_prins\/#author-bio\" >economist Nomi Prins<\/a> points out, \u201cconverted central banks into a new class of power brokers.\u201d They looted national treasuries and amassed trillions in wealth to become politically and economically omnipotent. In <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.goodreads.com\/book\/show\/36204933-collusion\" >her book<\/a> \u201cCollusion: How Central Bankers Rigged the World,\u201d she writes that central bankers and the world\u2019s largest financial institutions fraudulently manipulate global markets and use fabricated, or as she writes, \u201cfake money,\u201d to inflate asset bubbles for short-term profit as they drive us toward \u201ca dangerous financial precipice.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBefore the crisis, they were just asleep at the wheel, in particular, the Federal Reserve of the United States, which is supposed to be the main regulator of the major banks in the United States,\u201d Prins said when we met in New York. \u201cIt did a horrible job of doing that, which is why we had the financial crisis. It became a deregulator instead of a regulator. In the wake of the financial crisis, the solution to fixing the crisis and saving the economy from a great depression or recession, whatever the terminology that was used at any given time, was to fabricate trillions and trillions of dollars out of an electronic ether.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The Federal Reserve handed over an estimated $29 trillion of this fabricated money to American banks, according to <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.levyinstitute.org\/pubs\/wp_698.pdf\" >researchers at the University of Missouri<\/a>. <em>Twenty-nine trillion dollars!<\/em> We could have provided free college tuition to every student or universal health care, repaired our crumbling infrastructure, transitioned to clean energy, forgiven student debt, raised wages, bailed out underwater homeowners, formed public banks to invest at low interest rates in our communities, provided a guaranteed minimum income for everyone and organized a massive jobs program for the unemployed and underemployed. Sixteen million children would not go to bed hungry. The mentally ill and the homeless\u2014an estimated <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/endhomelessness.org\/homelessness-in-america\/homelessness-statistics\/state-of-homelessness-report\/\" >553,742 Americans are homeless<\/a> every night\u2014would not be left on the streets or locked away in our prisons. The economy would revive. Instead, $29 trillion in fabricated money was handed to financial gangsters who are about to make most of it evaporate and plunge us into a depression that will rival that of the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.history.com\/topics\/great-depression\" >global crash of 1929<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/popularresistance.org\/tenth-anniversary-of-financial-collapse\/\" >Kevin Zeese and Margaret Flowers write<\/a> on the website Popular Resistance, \u201cOne-sixth of this could provide a $12,000 annual basic income, which would cost $3.8 trillion annually, doubling Social Security payments to $22,000 annually, which would cost $662 billion, a $10,000 bonus for all U.S. public school teachers, which would cost $11 billion, free college for all high school graduates, which would cost $318 billion, and universal preschool, which would cost $38 billion. National improved Medicare for all would actually save the nation trillions of dollars over a decade.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>An emergency clause in the Federal Reserve Act of 1913 allows the Fed to provide liquidity to a distressed banking system. But the Federal Reserve did not stop with the creation of a few hundred billion dollars. It flooded the financial markets with absurd levels of fabricated money. This had the effect of making the economy appear as if it had revived. And for the oligarchs, who had access to this fabricated money while we did not, it did.<\/p>\n<p>The Fed cut interest rates to near zero. Some central banks in Europe instituted <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/quicktake\/negative-interest-rates\" >negative interest rates<\/a>, meaning they would pay borrowers to take loans. The Fed, in a clever bit of accounting, even permitted distressed banks to use these no-interest loans to buy U.S. Treasury bonds. The banks gave the bonds back to the Fed and received a quarter of a percent of interest from the Fed. In short, the banks were loaned money at virtually no interest by the Fed and then were paid interest by the Fed on the money they borrowed. The Fed also bought up worthless mortgage assets and other toxic assets from the banks. Since Fed authorities could fabricate as much money as they wanted, it did not matter how they spent it.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s like going to someone\u2019s old garage sale and saying, \u2018I want that bicycle with no wheels. I\u2019ll pay you 100 grand for it. Why? Because it\u2019s not my money,\u2019 \u201d Prins said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThese people have rigged the system,\u201d she said of the bankers. \u201cThere is money fabricated at the top. It is used to pump up financial assets, including stock. It has to come from somewhere. Because money is cheap there\u2019s more borrowing at the corporate level. There\u2019s more money borrowed at the government level.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhere do you go to repay it?\u201d she asked. \u201cYou go into the nation. You go into the economy. You extract money from the foundational economy, from social programs. You impose austerity.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Given the staggering amount of fabricated money that has to be repaid, the banks need to build greater and greater pools of debt. This is why when you are late in paying your credit card the interest rate jumps to 28 percent. This is why if you declare bankruptcy you are still responsible for paying off your student loan, even as 1 million people a year default on student loans, with 40 percent of all borrowers expected to default on student loans by 2023. This is why wages are stagnant or have declined while costs, from health care and pharmaceutical products to bank fees and basic utilities, are skyrocketing. The enforced debt peonage grows to feed the beast until, as with the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.thebalance.com\/mortgage-crisis-overview-315684\" >subprime mortgage crisis<\/a>, the predatory system fails because of massive defaults. There will come a day, for example, as with all financial bubbles, when the wildly optimistic projected profits of industries such as fracking will no longer be an effective excuse to keep pumping money into failing businesses burdened by debt they cannot repay.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe 60 biggest exploration and production firms are not generating enough cash from their operations to cover their operating and capital expenses,\u201d Bethany McLean writes of the fracking industry <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2018\/09\/01\/opinion\/the-next-financial-crisis-lurks-underground.html\" >in an article<\/a> titled \u201cThe Next Financial Crisis Lurks Underground\u201d that appeared in The New York Times. \u201cIn aggregate, from mid-2012 to mid-2017, they had negative free cash flow of $9 billion per quarter.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The global financial system is a ticking time bomb. The question is not <em>if<\/em> it will explode but <em>when<\/em> it will explode. And once it does, the inability of the global speculators to use fabricated money with zero interest to paper over the debacle will trigger massive unemployment, high prices for imports and basic services, and a devaluation in which the dollar will become nearly worthless as it is abandoned as the world\u2019s <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/search?source=hp&amp;ei=0tOVW6zqOoqH0gLIoo_gCw&amp;q=reserve+currency&amp;btnK=Google+Search&amp;oq=reserve+currency&amp;gs_l=psy-ab.3..0l10.597.2740..3132...0.0..0.100.1338.16j1....2..0....1..gws-wiz.....0..35i39j0i131j0i20i263i264j0i20i264j0i131i10j0i10.0wk_eCnfC_A\" >reserve currency<\/a>. This manufactured financial tsunami will transform the United States, already a failed democracy, into an authoritarian police state. Life will become very cheap, especially for the vulnerable\u2014undocumented workers, Muslims, poor people of color, girls and women, anti-capitalist and anti-imperialist critics branded as agents of\u00a0 foreign powers\u2014who will be demonized and persecuted for the collapse. The elites, in a desperate bid to cling to their unchecked power and obscene wealth, will disembowel what is left of the United States.<\/p>\n<p><em>____________________________________________<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/chirs-hedges.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-thumbnail wp-image-81932\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/chirs-hedges-150x150.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" \/><\/a><\/em><em>Chris Hedges spent nearly two decades as a foreign correspondent in Central America, the Middle East, Africa and the Balkans. He has reported from more than 50 countries and has worked for <\/em>The Christian Science Monitor, National Public Radio, The Dallas Morning News <em>and<\/em> The New York Times<em>, for which he was a foreign correspondent for 15 years. Hedges was part of the team of reporters at <\/em>The New York Times<em> awarded a Pulitzer Prize in 2002 for the paper\u2019s coverage of global terrorism. He also received the <\/em>Amnesty International<em> Global Award for Human Rights Journalism in 2002. The <\/em>Los Angeles Press Club<em> honored Hedges\u2019 original columns in <\/em>Truthdig<em> by naming the author the Online Journalist of the Year in 2009 and again in 2011. The LAPC also granted him the Best Online Column award in 2010 for his <\/em>Truthdig<em> essay \u201c<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.truthdig.com\/?URL=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.truthdig.com%2Freport%2Fitem%2Fone_day_well_all_be_terrorists_20091228%2F\" >One Day We\u2019ll All Be Terrorists<\/a>.\u201d Hedges is a senior fellow at <\/em>The Nation Institute<em> in New York City and has taught at Columbia University, New York University and Princeton University. He currently teaches inmates at a correctional facility in New Jersey.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.truthdig.com\/articles\/conjuring-up-the-next-depression\/\" >Go to Original \u2013 truthdig.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>10 Sep 2018 &#8211; This manufactured financial tsunami will transform the United States, already a failed democracy, into an authoritarian police state. Life will become very cheap, especially for the vulnerable\u2014undocumented workers, Muslims, poor people of color, girls and women, anti-capitalist and anti-imperialist critics branded as agents of  foreign powers\u2014who will be demonized and persecuted for the collapse. The elites, in a desperate bid to cling to their unchecked power and obscene wealth, will disembowel what is left of the United States.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":118352,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[146],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-118351","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/118351","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=118351"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/118351\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/118352"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=118351"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=118351"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=118351"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}