{"id":167526,"date":"2020-08-31T12:00:22","date_gmt":"2020-08-31T11:00:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/?p=167526"},"modified":"2020-12-02T09:59:57","modified_gmt":"2020-12-02T09:59:57","slug":"covid-just-a-casedemic","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/2020\/08\/covid-just-a-casedemic\/","title":{"rendered":"Covid: Just a \u201cCasedemic\u201d?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>24 Aug 2020 &#8211;<\/em>Many critics believe covid has turned into a mere \u201ccasedemic\u201d, as positive tests (\u201ccases\u201d) are rising in many European countries while hospitalizations and deaths stay very low.<\/p>\n<div class=\"post-content clear\">\n<p>The reality is that covid is a casedemic on top of a pandemic. \u201cCases\u201d are currently rising in Europe due to routine testing at airports, offices, schools and among family contacts, catching mostly younger low-risk people with mild or asymptomatic disease (hence no hospitalizations).<\/p>\n<p>(Moreover, some of these tests are false-positives or non-infectious RNA fragments of an earlier infection, causing unnecessary quarantine and tracing trouble, while the real infection rate is about ten times higher than daily PCR tests show, anyway.)<\/p>\n<p>However, antibody levels are still very low in most of previously locked-down Europe, including notably the German-speaking countries (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/corona-antikorperwerte-in-deutschland\/\" >2% antibodies<\/a>), Scandinavia except Sweden, but also large parts <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/covid19-italian-antibody-data\/\" >of Italy<\/a>, France and Spain as well as England outside of the London area.<\/p>\n<p>Thus, there can be little doubt that increasing \u201ccases\u201d will soon translate into increasing hospitalizations and deaths in high-risk groups. Masks and \u201ccontact tracing\u201d <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/face-masks-evidence\/\" >won\u2019t prevent this<\/a> (as France and Spain already show). It is likely that Europe will panic a second time.<\/p>\n<p>What can (and should) be done is the targeted protection of high-risk groups and <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/on-the-treatment-of-covid-19\/\" >early or prophylactic treatment<\/a> of people at high risk or high exposure to prevent progression of the disease. As most authorities ignore both, people are on their own.<\/p>\n<p>The British ONS recently published the <em>age-adjusted<\/em> January to July <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ONS\/status\/1296736374532472834\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">mortality statistics<\/a>. While the 2020 covid increase is clearly visible, mortality is comparable to pre-2009 levels. Oxford CEBM professor Carl Heneghan <a href=\"https:\/\/www.express.co.uk\/news\/uk\/1326293\/coronavirus-death-rate-UK-fatality-rate\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">explained that<\/a> the covid IFR dropped to 0.3% by the end of July and the pandemic may end up \u201cno worse than a bad flu season\u201d.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34370\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" data-shortcode=\"caption\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34370\"><a href=\"https:\/\/swprs.files.wordpress.com\/2020\/08\/england-ons-mortality-rates.jpg\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-34370 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/swprs.files.wordpress.com\/2020\/08\/england-ons-mortality-rates.jpg?w=736&amp;h=555\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 736px) 100vw, 736px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/swprs.files.wordpress.com\/2020\/08\/england-ons-mortality-rates.jpg?w=736&amp;h=555 736w, https:\/\/swprs.files.wordpress.com\/2020\/08\/england-ons-mortality-rates.jpg?w=150&amp;h=113 150w, https:\/\/swprs.files.wordpress.com\/2020\/08\/england-ons-mortality-rates.jpg?w=300&amp;h=226 300w, https:\/\/swprs.files.wordpress.com\/2020\/08\/england-ons-mortality-rates.jpg?w=768&amp;h=579 768w, https:\/\/swprs.files.wordpress.com\/2020\/08\/england-ons-mortality-rates.jpg?w=1024&amp;h=772 1024w, https:\/\/swprs.files.wordpress.com\/2020\/08\/england-ons-mortality-rates.jpg 1144w\" alt=\"\" width=\"736\" height=\"555\" data-attachment-id=\"34370\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/2020\/08\/24\/covid-just-a-casedemic\/england-ons-mortality-rates\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/swprs.files.wordpress.com\/2020\/08\/england-ons-mortality-rates.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"1144,863\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"england-ons-mortality-rates\" data-image-description=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/swprs.files.wordpress.com\/2020\/08\/england-ons-mortality-rates.jpg?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/swprs.files.wordpress.com\/2020\/08\/england-ons-mortality-rates.jpg?w=736\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34370\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">UK: Age-adjusted mortality (<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ONS\/status\/1296736374532472834\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ONS<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>__________________________________________<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/swiss-policy-research-logo-300.png\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-161314 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/swiss-policy-research-logo-300-150x150.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/swiss-policy-research-logo-300-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/swiss-policy-research-logo-300.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px\" \/><\/a>Swiss Policy Research<em>, founded in 2016, is an independent, nonpartisan and nonprofit research group investigating geopolitical propaganda in Swiss and international media. SPR is composed of independent academics that<\/em><em> for personal and professional reasons prefer to protect their identities,<\/em><em> and receives no external funding; t<\/em><em>here are no financial sponsors or backers. <\/em><em>Our articles have been published or shared by numerous independent media outlets and journalists, among them <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/swprs.files.wordpress.com\/2018\/01\/assange-tweet.png\" >Julian Assange<\/a>, and have been translated into more than two dozen languages.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/2020\/08\/24\/covid-just-a-casedemic\/\" >Go to Original &#8211; swprs.org<\/a><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>4 Aug 2020 -Many critics believe covid has turned into a mere \u201ccasedemic\u201d, as positive tests (\u201ccases\u201d) are rising in many European countries while hospitalizations and deaths stay very low. The reality is that covid is a casedemic on top of a pandemic.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":161314,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2236],"tags":[2017,2036,244,271,1879,1829,1868,530,289,744,401,710,1937,2115,1864,1102,723,304,1447,1956,1880,1957,1998,339,124,1836,75],"class_list":["post-167526","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-covid19-coronavirus","tag-airborne-contagion","tag-brain","tag-china","tag-community","tag-compassion","tag-coronavirus","tag-covid-19","tag-cuba","tag-economy","tag-empathy","tag-environment","tag-health","tag-lockdown","tag-orthomolecular-medicine","tag-pandemic","tag-public-health","tag-research","tag-science","tag-science-and-medicine","tag-semen","tag-sharing","tag-sperm","tag-swiss-policy-research","tag-trade","tag-united-nations","tag-who","tag-world"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/167526","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=167526"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/167526\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/161314"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=167526"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=167526"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=167526"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}