{"id":169083,"date":"2020-09-21T12:00:40","date_gmt":"2020-09-21T11:00:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/?p=169083"},"modified":"2020-12-02T09:55:25","modified_gmt":"2020-12-02T09:55:25","slug":"covid-winter-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/2020\/09\/covid-winter-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"Covid Winter Outlook"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>19 Sep 2020 &#8211; <\/em>As predicted by SPR months ago based on antibody data, covid infections, hospitalizations and deaths are now increasing again in many European countries. Antibody values are still very low (&lt;5%) in <a href=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/covid19-italian-antibody-data\/\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">much of Europe<\/a> and also in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/coronavirus\/2019-ncov\/cases-updates\/commercial-lab-surveys.html\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">large parts of the US<\/a>. In global hotspots like New York City, IgG antibody values peaked at about 25%, indicating a population exposure <a href=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/studies-on-covid-19-lethality\/\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">above 50%<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Israel has already imposed a <a href=\"https:\/\/news.sky.com\/story\/coronavirus-israel-becomes-first-country-in-the-world-to-impose-second-national-lockdown-12071369\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">second lockdown<\/a>, Spain has again <a href=\"https:\/\/elpais.com\/sociedad\/2020-09-09\/los-hospitales-se-estan-llenando-las-camas-ocupadas-por-enfermos-de-covid-crecen-en-10-comunidades.html\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">25% of its ICU capacity<\/a> occupied by covid patients, in France covid hospitalizations are <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/redouad\/status\/1305615733196492800\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">increasing rapidly<\/a>, and in Switzerland contact tracing is already reaching its limits, even though winter season hasn\u2019t even begun. Needless to say, all of these countries have strict (but ineffective) <a href=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/face-masks-evidence\/\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">facemask mandates<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Overall, a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pastmedicalhistory.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/waves.gif\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">1918-like pandemic pattern<\/a> with a mild spring wave and a stronger autumn\/winter wave appears quite likely. On the plus side, covid death rates are now lower than in spring as medical strategies have improved and some of the worst mistakes are avoided.<\/p>\n<p>The single biggest mistake still made by many Western health authorities is ignoring zinc-based <a href=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/on-the-treatment-of-covid-19\/\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">early and prophylactic treatment<\/a>, as recently described by <a href=\"http:\/\/covexit.com\/professor-thomas-borody-interview-part-1\/\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Professor Thomas Borody<\/a> (\u201cpatients turning around within hours\u201d), <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kusi.com\/el-centro-doctor-used-hydroxychloroquine-as-treatment-for-covid-19-patients\/\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Dr. Brian Tyson<\/a> (\u201cevery single patient has recovered\u201d), <a href=\"http:\/\/covexit.com\/professor-christian-perronne-interview-part-1\/\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Professor Christian Perronne<\/a> (\u201c20,000 preventable deaths in France alone\u201d), and many others.<\/p>\n<p>Many traditional media have lost their credibility by vastly exaggerating the <a href=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/studies-on-covid-19-lethality\/\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">risk of covid<\/a> to the general population, but some of the critics have also lost touch with reality by falsely claiming the pandemic was over (based on PCR data) or by downplaying <a href=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/post-acute-covid-long-covid\/\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u201clong covid\u201d<\/a> health issues.<\/p>\n<p>SPR will continue to provide unbiased covid facts and keep an eye on political and geopolitical pandemic-related developments.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>See also<\/strong>: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/why-covid-19-is-a-strange-pandemic\/\" >Why covid is a \u201cstrange pandemic\u201d<\/a> and <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/facts-about-covid-19\/\" >Facts about Covid-19<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<figure id=\"attachment_35364\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-35364\"><a href=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/ecdc-eu-cases.png\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-35364 size-large jetpack-lazy-image jetpack-lazy-image--handled\" src=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/ecdc-eu-cases-1024x759.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 736px) 100vw, 736px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/ecdc-eu-cases-1024x759.png 1024w, https:\/\/swprs.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/ecdc-eu-cases-300x222.png 300w, https:\/\/swprs.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/ecdc-eu-cases-150x111.png 150w, https:\/\/swprs.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/ecdc-eu-cases-768x569.png 768w, https:\/\/swprs.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/ecdc-eu-cases-1200x890.png 1200w, https:\/\/swprs.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/ecdc-eu-cases-600x445.png 600w, https:\/\/swprs.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/ecdc-eu-cases.png 1400w\" alt=\"\" width=\"736\" height=\"546\" data-attachment-id=\"35364\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/covid-winter-outlook\/ecdc-eu-cases\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/ecdc-eu-cases.png\" data-orig-size=\"1400,1038\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"ecdc-eu-cases\" data-image-description=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/ecdc-eu-cases-300x222.png\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/ecdc-eu-cases-1024x759.png\" data-lazy-loaded=\"1\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-35364\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><strong>Positive covid tests in Europe (ECDC\/FT)<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>__________________________________________<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/swiss-policy-research-logo-300.png\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-thumbnail wp-image-161314\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/swiss-policy-research-logo-300-150x150.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/swiss-policy-research-logo-300-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/swiss-policy-research-logo-300.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px\" \/><\/a>Swiss Policy Research<em>, founded in 2016, is an independent, nonpartisan and nonprofit research group investigating geopolitical propaganda in Swiss and international media. SPR is composed of independent academics that<\/em><em> for personal and professional reasons prefer to protect their identities,<\/em><em> and receives no external funding; t<\/em><em>here are no financial sponsors or backers. <\/em><em>Our articles have been published or shared by numerous independent media outlets and journalists, among them <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/swprs.files.wordpress.com\/2018\/01\/assange-tweet.png\" >Julian Assange<\/a>, and have been translated into more than two dozen languages.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/swprs.org\/covid-winter-outlook\/\" >Go to Original &#8211; swprs.org<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>19 Sep 2020 &#8211; Covid infections, hospitalizations and deaths are now increasing again in many European countries. Many traditional media have lost their credibility by vastly exaggerating the risk of Covid to the general population, but some of the critics have also lost touch with reality by falsely claiming the pandemic was over or by downplaying \u201clong Covid\u201d health issues.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":161314,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2236],"tags":[2017,244,271,1879,1829,1868,530,289,744,401,710,1937,2115,1864,1102,723,304,1447,1998,124,1836],"class_list":["post-169083","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-covid19-coronavirus","tag-airborne-contagion","tag-china","tag-community","tag-compassion","tag-coronavirus","tag-covid-19","tag-cuba","tag-economy","tag-empathy","tag-environment","tag-health","tag-lockdown","tag-orthomolecular-medicine","tag-pandemic","tag-public-health","tag-research","tag-science","tag-science-and-medicine","tag-swiss-policy-research","tag-united-nations","tag-who"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/169083","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=169083"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/169083\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/161314"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=169083"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=169083"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=169083"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}