{"id":179721,"date":"2021-02-22T12:00:47","date_gmt":"2021-02-22T12:00:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/?p=179721"},"modified":"2024-09-23T14:39:15","modified_gmt":"2024-09-23T13:39:15","slug":"the-greater-danger-of-israeli-provocations-in-syria","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/2021\/02\/the-greater-danger-of-israeli-provocations-in-syria\/","title":{"rendered":"The Greater Danger of Israeli Provocations in Syria"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/syria-israel-war.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-179722\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/syria-israel-war.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"550\" height=\"335\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/syria-israel-war.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/syria-israel-war-300x183.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/syria-israel-war-768x467.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>18 Feb 2021 &#8211; <\/em>Continued airstrikes carried out by Israeli warplanes in Syria presents \u2013 at face value \u2013 an obvious and persistent threat to Syria. In a wider context, the threat runs much deeper and extends to Syria\u2019s allies in Tehran.<\/p>\n<p>Israel has been an eager participant in the US-led proxy war on Syria beginning in 2011. It has provided safe-haven and support for Western-backed militants along and within its borders. It has also at various junctures carried out airstrikes in Syria in a bid to impede Damascus\u2019 ability to reestablish peace and stability within Syria\u2019s borders.<\/p>\n<p>And according to US policy papers written before and after the beginning of the 2011 proxy war against Syria \u2013 Washington had long ago slated Israel a role in undermining and aiding in the overthrow of the Syrian government \u2013 and admittedly as part of a wider strategy to isolate and eventually target Iran.<\/p>\n<div id=\"text-48\" class=\"sb-widget clearfix widget_text amr_widget\">\n<div class=\"textwidget\">\n<div id=\"ld-6931-3360\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Israeli Provocations in Syria\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/1XMMNPKhjPg?feature=oembed\" width=\"777\" height=\"437\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>The most likely current goal is to continue ratcheting up tensions with Iran \u2013 a nation that has committed significant resources and manpower toward the goal of stabilizing Syria and ending the highly destructive conflict.<\/p>\n<p>As tensions continue to rise across the region, Israel and its backers in Washington will likely seek a pretext for Israel to strike Iran directly \u2013 a plan US policymakers had devised as early as 2009 \u2013 in the hopes Iran would retaliate and provide a wider pretext still for the US itself to intervene.<\/p>\n<p>US policymakers had noted that an Israeli-led first strike on Iran would be complicated by its problematic relationship with all the nations its warplanes would need to fly over in order to carry out the attack.<\/p>\n<p>But recently \u2013 efforts have been underway to \u201crepair\u201d those relations, paving the way \u2013 or in this case \u2013 opening the skies for \u2013 the long-planned Israeli strikes.<\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/12\/10\/world\/middleeast\/israel-morocco-trump.html\"  rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/12\/10\/world\/middleeast\/israel-morocco-trump.html&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1613782364335000&amp;usg=AFQjCNGanrhF0tX_zRLQ9OPGXXQsWV8AAA\">Articles<\/a> like <em>The New York Times<\/em>\u2018, \u201cMorocco Joins List of Arab Nations to Begin Normalizing Relations With Israel,\u201d would take note of this process and how nations like Morocco, Bahrain, Sudan, and the United Arab Emirates have all begun this process \u2013 and how these first few nations would help make it easier for others \u2013 like Saudi Arabia \u2013 to follow suit.<\/p>\n<p>In reality \u2013 these nations have all been cooperative in abetting US foreign policy in the region \u2013 with animosity created merely for the purpose of managing public perception in each respective nation.<\/p>\n<p>Folding Israel into Washington\u2019s united front against Iran alongside Arab nations whose public rhetoric depicted Israel as a sworn enemy illustrates just how desperate Washington and its allies have become in their efforts to reassert themselves in the region.<\/p>\n<h3>The Long History of Israel\u2019s Slated Role<\/h3>\n<p>A 1983 document \u2013 part of a deluge of recently declassified papers released to the public \u2013 signed by former CIA officer Graham Fuller titled, \u201c<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cia.gov\/library\/readingroom\/docs\/CIA-RDP88B00443R001404090133-0.pdf\"  rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/www.cia.gov\/library\/readingroom\/docs\/CIA-RDP88B00443R001404090133-0.pdf&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1613782364335000&amp;usg=AFQjCNEsm__L4-52YvGV0_HgVKyRtruZZQ\">Bringing Real Muscle to Bear Against Syria\u201d (PDF<\/a>), states (their emphasis):<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Syria at present has a hammerlock on US interests both in Lebanon and in the Gulf \u2014 through closure of Iraq\u2019s pipeline thereby threatening Iraqi internationalization of the [Iran-Iraq] war. The US should consider\u00a0<u>sharply escalating the pressures against Assad<\/u>\u00a0[Sr.] through covertly orchestrating\u00a0<u>simultaneous military threats against Syria<\/u>\u00a0from three border states hostile to Syria: Iraq, Israel and Turkey.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The report also states:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>If Israel were to increase tensions against Syria simultaneously with an Iraqi initiative, the pressures on Assad would escalate rapidly. A Turkish move would psychologically press him further.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.activistpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/saving-syria.jpg\"  rel=\"attachment wp-att-219561\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-219561 size-medium alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.activistpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/saving-syria-241x300.jpg\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 241px) 100vw, 241px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.activistpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/saving-syria-241x300.jpg 241w, https:\/\/www.activistpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/saving-syria-822x1024.jpg 822w, https:\/\/www.activistpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/saving-syria-768x956.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.activistpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/saving-syria-1234x1536.jpg 1234w, https:\/\/www.activistpost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/saving-syria.jpg 1473w\" alt=\"\" width=\"241\" height=\"300\" \/><\/a>In 2009, US corporate-financier funded policy think tank, the Brookings Institution, would publish a lengthy paper titled, \u201c<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/06_iran_strategy.pdf\"  rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/06_iran_strategy.pdf&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1613782364335000&amp;usg=AFQjCNFkkbNXCU2zv-NF9hxQ_Ahsq1NOug\">Which Path to Persia?: Options for a New American Strategy toward Iran\u201d (PDF)<\/a>, in which, once again, the use of Israel as an apparently \u201cunilateral aggressor\u201d was discussed in detail.<\/p>\n<p>A US policy paper describing planned Israeli aggression as part of a larger US-driven conspiracy to attack, undermine, and ultimately overthrow the Iranian state reveals there is nothing unilateral at all about Israel\u2019s regional policy or its military operations.<\/p>\n<p>In 2012, the Brookings Institution would publish another paper titled, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/0315_syria_saban.pdf\"  rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/0315_syria_saban.pdf&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1613782364336000&amp;usg=AFQjCNEP2AZJ4cTeUOJzBCvGk7-fT9T9Jg\">\u201cSaving Syria: Assessing Options for Regime Change\u201d (PDF)<\/a>, which stated:<\/p>\n<p>Some voices in Washington and Jerusalem are exploring whether Israel could contribute to coercing Syrian elites to remove Asad.<\/p>\n<p>The report continues by explaining:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Israel could posture forces on or near the Golan Heights and, in so doing, might divert regime forces from suppressing the opposition. This posture may conjure fears in the Asad regime of a multi-front war, particularly if Turkey is willing to do the same on its border and if the Syrian opposition is being fed a steady diet of arms and training. Such a mobilization could perhaps persuade Syria\u2019s military leadership to oust Asad in order to preserve itself.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Once again, the use of Israel as one of several regional provocateurs executing policy as part of a larger US-orchestrated conspiracy is openly discussed.<\/p>\n<p>And it was a 2009 Brookings Institution\u00a0<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/06_iran_strategy.pdf\"  rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/06_iran_strategy.pdf&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1613782364336000&amp;usg=AFQjCNHiqD42h8MCNfIkPP6QNnPxXf2Feg\">paper<\/a>\u00a0titled, \u201cWhich Path to Persia? Options for a New American Strategy Toward Iran,\u201d that would spell out the strategy of having Israel carry out attacks first, provoking a war the US could wade in later with a broader and more \u201cacceptable\u201d pretext to do so.<\/p>\n<p>The paper would state specifically:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u2026the [Israeli] airstrikes themselves are really just the start of this policy. Again, the Iranians would doubtless rebuild their nuclear sites. They would probably retaliate against Israel, and they might retaliate against the United States, too (which might create a pretext for American airstrikes or even an invasion).<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Thus \u2013 in addition to the US itself trying to provoke Iran into a war \u2013 or stage a provocation themselves to do so \u2013 they have slated Israel a role in attempting to provoke Iran as well.<\/p>\n<p>The strategy has added complexity to it \u2013 providing the US additional \u201cplausible deniability\u201d and making its \u201cretaliation\u201d against Iran appear both more \u201creluctant\u201d and more \u201cjustified.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>It is clear that a strategy described in the 1980s, clearly carried out over the decades (and regardless of who occupies the White House) is still very much in play.<\/p>\n<p>The US is helping open up the skies for this long-anticipated Israeli first strike through this current \u201cnormalization\u201d of relations between Israel and nations it may potentially overfly to strike Iran or require assistance from in any resulting war.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the US continues attempting to appear interested in returning to the \u201cIran Nuclear Deal\u201d but is making no tangible efforts to actually do so. In fact, the US itself appears to be continuing a build-up for the above mentioned \u201cretaliation\u201d it hopes it or its allies can provoke in the region \u2013 and failing that \u2013 perhaps convincingly stage.<\/p>\n<p>It is very much still a dangerous time for Iran as well as for peace and stability in the region.<\/p>\n<p>Despite the superficial political change in Washington this year, this long-planned policy of aggressive regime change against Iran continues. The clearer the game the US and its allies are playing becomes to international audiences \u2013 the more difficult it will be for the US and its allies to continue playing it.<\/p>\n<p>It is incumbent upon alternative media \u2013 both independent and state-run \u2013 to raise awareness of this continued aggression and planned aggression against Iran \u2013 while nations interested in peace and stability in the region continue working to raise the costs of potential US-Israeli aggression against Iran far above any potential benefit Washington and its allies believe they will receive by continuing to pursue it.<\/p>\n<p>_________________________________________<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><i>Brian Berletic is a\u00a0Bangkok-based geopolitical researcher and writer, especially for the online magazine\u00a0<\/i><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/journal-neo.org\/\"  rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=http:\/\/journal-neo.org\/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1613782364336000&amp;usg=AFQjCNFf2OuMVnv6VlSod60M2EjfRxBNpQ\">\u201c<\/a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/journal-neo.org\/\"  rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=http:\/\/journal-neo.org\/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1613782364336000&amp;usg=AFQjCNFf2OuMVnv6VlSod60M2EjfRxBNpQ\">New Eastern Outlook\u201d<\/a><i>.\u00a0<\/i><\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.activistpost.com\/2021\/02\/the-greater-danger-of-israeli-provocations-in-syria.html\" >Go to Original &#8211; activistpost.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>18 Feb 2021 &#8211; Continued airstrikes carried out by Israeli warplanes in Syria presents an obvious threat to Syria. Israel has been a participant in the US-led proxy war on Syria and has provided safe-haven and support for Western-backed militants along and within its borders. It has also at various junctures carried out airstrikes in Syria in a bid to impede Damascus\u2019 ability to reestablish peace and stability within Syria\u2019s borders.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":179722,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[204],"tags":[703,1749,1748,260,1050,950,583,88,234,767,291,86,109,287,1190,923,413,265,124,70,126,118],"class_list":["post-179721","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-syria-in-context","tag-al-qaeda","tag-chemical-weapons-attack","tag-fake-report","tag-history","tag-imperialism","tag-invasion","tag-isis","tag-israel","tag-media","tag-middle-east","tag-military","tag-occupation","tag-politics","tag-power","tag-regime-change","tag-sanctions","tag-syria","tag-terrorism","tag-united-nations","tag-usa","tag-violence","tag-war"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/179721","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=179721"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/179721\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":275001,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/179721\/revisions\/275001"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/179722"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=179721"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=179721"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=179721"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}