{"id":181680,"date":"2021-04-05T12:00:52","date_gmt":"2021-04-05T11:00:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/?p=181680"},"modified":"2024-07-02T08:49:41","modified_gmt":"2024-07-02T07:49:41","slug":"analysis-burma-myanmar-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/2021\/04\/analysis-burma-myanmar-today\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysis&#8211;Burma\/Myanmar Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>24 Mar 2021 &#8211; <\/em>The word to describe the unfolding events in Myanmar. is Revolution, yes, with the big &#8220;R&#8221;.\u00a0 \u00a0Two months none of us who consider ourselves seasoned students of its politics foresaw this radical turn of history.\u00a0 Talks of the coup filled the air, yes.\u00a0 But the society&#8217;s response?\u00a0 \u00a0That IS an entirely different order of things.<\/p>\n<p>There is also a line &#8211; and a level of tolerance.\u00a0 That line, that level, certainly differs depending on individuals and cultures.\u00a0 \u00a0But when the oppressed reach a point where they feel the level of inhumanity that their rulers in green uniform have subjected them to for decades drops so low they chose to die fighting, resisting and pushing back in every way humanly possible.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_181681\" style=\"width: 510px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/zarni1.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-181681\" class=\"wp-image-181681\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/zarni1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"375\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/zarni1.jpg 720w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/zarni1-300x225.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-181681\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The first bomb shelter at a home near the capital Naypyidaw.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Alas, paradoxically, the Revolution in Myanmar &#8211; being made &#8211;\u00a0is a very normal and natural response to a very abnormal system of rulership and a very abnormal behavior and policies of the generals in power.<\/p>\n<p>Mark word.\u00a0 Aung San Suu Kyi&#8217;s political template of peaceful negotiation and gentle nudging, reconciliation without justice, the racist Bama-centric statist is a thing of the past.\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0And her father&#8217;s army is DEAD beyond resurrection &#8211; and certainly this has an ominous ring to it.<\/p>\n<p>But the painful truth is there is absolutely NO HAPPY ENDING for Myanmar story that began with the independence of Burma in Jan 1948.<\/p>\n<p>Some significant items of interest including my Southeast Asia-wide network&#8217;s statement in support of the Committee Representing Pyidaungsu Hluttaw (or Union Parliament).\u00a0 \u00a0Exile governments including the one going back to the early 1970s led by none other than a world leader the late PM U Nu and another one led by Aung San Suu Kyi&#8217;s cousin German-trained math scholar Dr Sein Win &#8211; came and went.\u00a0 \u00a0None enjoyed the kind of popular support, at home or abroad.<\/p>\n<p>Nu&#8217;s exile government fizzled out as Nu was never a revolutionary leader, and had wacky ideas of himself being a Buddisaddava, rather than a revolutionary who was prepared to do everything and anything for the revolutionary mission he claimed to be on.\u00a0 \u00a0A confused mind.<\/p>\n<p>With respect to the exiled government led by Suu Kyi&#8217;s cousin, the leaders of the group never grew themselves beyond Suu Kyi loyalists, with no imagination or intellect or revolutionary fire.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_181682\" style=\"width: 510px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/zarni2.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-181682\" class=\"wp-image-181682\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/zarni2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"333\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/zarni2.jpg 854w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/zarni2-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/zarni2-768x512.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-181682\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Today&#8217;s massive demonstration joined by many women at a town called Monywa in the Dry Zone heartland of Burma, today.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>In sharp contrast, the CRPH has decidedly and irreversibly moved away from Aung San Suu Kyi and her NLD party&#8217;s platform.\u00a0 \u00a0My view is Aung San Suu Kyi&#8217;s political leadership is finished for the simple reason:\u00a0 the society has made a clean and clear break with NLD&#8217;s failed policies, despite her continuing popularly as a leader.\u00a0 \u00a0 But her own policies have been jettisoned even by the CRPH, starting with its promise for justice for Rohingyas.\u00a0 That&#8217;s just for starters.<\/p>\n<p>The talk of the armed revolution is not only acceptable but it is being mainstreamed inside Myanmar and globally.\u00a0 No Myanmar is waiting for freedom to be delivered on a platter by the Americans or through the so-called Responsibility to Protect (R2P) doctrine, an utter and complete waste of $$, time and talks.<\/p>\n<p>States do not go to war to save humans &#8211; only for oil, trade dispute, settling ethnic scores, boundary disputes.\u00a0 \u00a0We have learned our bitter lessons.\u00a0 We have no interest in Peace Industry, or INGO business or research this or research that crowd.<\/p>\n<p>The beauty amidst all these ugly scenarios of Burma is at least the People woke up &#8211; that the Wretched of the Earth must band together for their own liberation.\u00a0 \u00a0No free lunches in international politics.\u00a0 \u00a0No Messiahs on the horizon.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_181683\" style=\"width: 610px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/zarni3.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-181683\" class=\"size-full wp-image-181683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/zarni3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"600\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/zarni3.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/zarni3-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/zarni3-150x150.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-181683\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Silence Strike, throughout the rest of Myanmar the society shut itself down.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>So for those who want to fight &#8211; even at the risk to their lives and their families &#8211; more power to you, brothers and sisters.\u00a0 \u00a0They in Myanmar live in fear, day and night.\u00a0 \u00a0At least, it is better to die fighting, and to bring down as many killers as possible.<\/p>\n<p>I dream vividly of slitting the throat of a general last night.\u00a0 \u00a0I did NOT even feel angry or anxious, waking up to that dream.\u00a0 \u00a0One friend in the country told me on the phone he and his family have not had a good night sleep.\u00a0 That sleeplessness is common across all classes and groups.\u00a0 \u00a0But they are no longer allowing their fear for their lives, fear of civil war, or fear of the Mighty Tatmadaw.<\/p>\n<p>When a people reach a point they would rather die fighting back than live as meek and mild subdued population that is a Revolutionary Moment.<\/p>\n<p><em>___________________________________________<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/maung-zarni.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-88504\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/maung-zarni.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"102\" height=\"102\" \/><\/a><\/em><em>A Buddhist humanist from Burma, Maung Zarni is a member of the <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/\" >TRANSCEND Network for Peace Development Environment<\/a><em>, former Visiting Lecturer with Harvard Medical School, specializing in racism and violence in Burma and Sri Lanka, and Non-resident Scholar in Genocide Studies with Documentation Center \u2013 Cambodia.\u00a0Zarni s the co-founder of <\/em><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/forsea.co\/\" >FORSEA<\/a><em>, a grass-roots organization of Southeast Asian human rights defenders, coordinator for Strategic Affairs for <\/em>Free Rohingya Coalition,<em> and an adviser to the <\/em>European Centre for the Study of Extremism<em>, Cambridge<strong>. <\/strong>Zarni holds a PhD (U Wisconsin at Madison) and a MA (U California), and has held various teaching, research and visiting fellowships at the universities in Asia, Europe and USA including Oxford, LSE, UCL Institute of Education, National-Louis, Malaya, and Brunei. He is the recipient of the &#8220;Cultivation of Harmony&#8221; award from the Parliament of the World&#8217;s Religions (2015). His analyses have appeared in leading newspapers including the <\/em>New York Times, The Guardian <em>and<\/em> the Times<em>. Among his academic publications on Rohingya genocide are <\/em>The Slow-Burning Genocide of Myanmar\u2019s Rohingyas<em> (Pacific Rim Law and Policy Journal), <\/em>An Evolution of Rohingya Persecution in Myanmar: From Strategic Embrace to Genocide<em>, (Middle East Institute, American University), and <\/em>Myanmar\u2019s State-directed Persecution of Rohingyas and Other Muslims<em> (Brown World Affairs Journal). He co-authored, with Natalie Brinham, <\/em>Essays on Myanmar Genocide.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>24 Mar 2021 &#8211; States do not go to war to save humans &#8211; only for oil, trade dispute, settling ethnic scores, boundary disputes.   We have learned our bitter lessons.  We have no interest in Peace Industry, or INGO business or research this or research that crowd. The beauty amidst all these ugly scenarios of Burma is at least the People woke up &#8211; that the Wretched of the Earth must band together for their own liberation.   No free lunches in international politics.   No Messiahs on the horizon. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":181682,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[56],"tags":[240,1692,2410,393,276,609,100,487,651,780,2411,1243,1378,171,985,2437,99,124],"class_list":["post-181680","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asia-pacific","tag-asia","tag-aung-san-suu-kyi","tag-burma","tag-coup","tag-democracy","tag-demonstrations","tag-direct-violence","tag-human-rights","tag-justice","tag-military-intervention","tag-myanmar","tag-nonviolent-action","tag-protests","tag-revolution","tag-social-justice","tag-southeast-asia","tag-structural-violence","tag-united-nations"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/181680","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=181680"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/181680\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":265959,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/181680\/revisions\/265959"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/181682"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=181680"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=181680"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=181680"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}