{"id":187232,"date":"2021-06-21T12:00:59","date_gmt":"2021-06-21T11:00:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/?p=187232"},"modified":"2021-06-17T05:28:00","modified_gmt":"2021-06-17T04:28:00","slug":"nato-declares-china-as-global-security-challenge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/2021\/06\/nato-declares-china-as-global-security-challenge\/","title":{"rendered":"NATO Declares China as Global Security Challenge"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"primary\" class=\"content-area\">\n<div id=\"attachment_187233\" style=\"width: 610px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Nato-otan-2021.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-187233\" class=\"wp-image-187233\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Nato-otan-2021.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"341\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Nato-otan-2021.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Nato-otan-2021-300x170.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-187233\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Family Portrait of NATO Allies, Brussels, Belgium, June 14, 2021<\/p><\/div>\n<article id=\"post-8304\" class=\"post-8304 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-articles tag-china tag-russia tag-trans-atlanticism\">\n<div class=\"entry-content\">\n<p><em>16 Jun 2021 &#8211; <\/em>The North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO) summit in Brussels on Monday [14 Jun] reminds us once again of what a hoax the United States had perpetrated on the former Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev in 1990 by assuring him that the western alliance would expand \u201cnot one inch eastward\u201d once Moscow allowed German Unification and disbanded the Warsaw Pact.<\/p>\n<p>Briefing Book #613 dated December 12, 2017 at the US National Security Archive located at the George Washington University in Washington, DC says as follows:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>\u201cU.S. Secretary of State James Baker\u2019s famous \u201cnot one inch eastward\u201d assurance about NATO expansion in his meeting with Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev on February 9, 1990, was part of a cascade of assurances about Soviet security given by Western leaders to Gorbachev and other Soviet officials throughout the process of German unification in 1990 and on into 1991, according to declassified U.S., Soviet, German, British and French documents posted today by the National Security Archive at George Washington University.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cThe documents show that multiple national leaders were considering and rejecting Central and Eastern European membership in NATO as of early 1990 and through 1991, that discussions of NATO in the context of German unification negotiations in 1990 were not at all narrowly limited to the status of East German territory, and that subsequent Soviet and Russian complaints about being misled about NATO expansion were founded in written contemporaneous memcons and telcons at the highest levels.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cThe documents reinforce former CIA Director Robert Gates\u2019s criticism of \u201cpressing ahead with expansion of NATO eastward [in the 1990s], when Gorbachev and others were led to believe that wouldn\u2019t happen.\u201d <\/em><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/nsarchive.gwu.edu\/briefing-book\/russia-programs\/2017-12-12\/nato-expansion-what-gorbachev-heard-western-leaders-early\" ><strong><em>read more<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>It is this cold-blooded treachery and back-stabbing by the Bill Clinton Administration that rankles most in the Russian mind today, as the NATO enters the Black Sea and slouches toward Russia\u2019s western borders. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pmc\/articles\/PMC7212247\/\" ><strong>read more\u2026<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Suffice to say, Washington\u2019s post-Cold War diplomacy in Europe has met with astounding success. The heart of the matter is that today the US critically depends on NATO:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>To exercise its global hegemony;<\/li>\n<li>To provide a captive market for export of hundreds of billions of dollars worth American weaponry;<\/li>\n<li>To pin down major European powers (especially Germany) to an alliance system that puts brakes on their strategic autonomy and pursuit of independent foreign policies;<\/li>\n<li>To gain \u201cstrategic depth\u201d to undertake military operations globally as part of an alliance system rather than blatantly as an interventionist power;<\/li>\n<li>To justify the deployment of thousands of American forces and store nuclear missiles in Europe; and,<\/li>\n<li>To cement the US\u2019 dominance of the transatlantic system.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The NATO brings to mind the classic paradigm of someone all dressed up and nowhere to go. It has to constantly reinvent a reason for its existence. Russia has been providing that reason \u2014 although, Moscow has no intentions of capturing territories beyond its borders. Of course, there is no question of a war between the NATO and Russia, either, since the latter is a thermonuclear power that can destroy the US many times over.<\/p>\n<p>The NATO summit\u2019s <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nato.int\/cps\/en\/natohq\/news_185000.htm\" >final communique issued yesterday<\/a> once again puts Russia on the alliance\u2019s crosshairs. It develops the theme in six paragraphs that are based on a self-serving narrative (Para. 9 to 15). And the alliance\u2019s entire build up for the foreseeable future devolves upon tackling this perceived \u201cRussian threat.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><b>NATO\u2019s new narrative <\/b><\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the Brussels communique for the first time in the alliance\u2019s history also brings in China\u2019s rise as posing a potential challenge. The US has been pressing for this in the recent years and has succeeded in including some references to China in the communique. (Paras 56-57.) The communique makes the following points with regard to China:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u201cChina\u2019s stated ambitions and assertive behaviour present systemic challenges to the rules-based international order and to areas relevant to Alliance security\u201d;<\/li>\n<li>NATO is concerned over China\u2019s \u201ccoercive policies\u201d;<\/li>\n<li>China is \u201crapidly expanding\u201d its nuclear capabilities and is developing \u201ca larger number of sophisticated delivery systems to establish a nuclear triad\u201d;<\/li>\n<li>China is \u201copaque in implementing its military modernisation and its publicly declared military-civil fusion strategy\u201d;<\/li>\n<li>China has military cooperation with Russia and has participated in in Russian exercises in the Euro-Atlantic area; and,<\/li>\n<li>NATO is concerned with China\u2019s \u201cfrequent lack of transparency and use of disinformation\u201d; and, China is not upholding its international commitments and acting \u201cresponsibly in the international system, including in the space, cyber, and maritime domains, in keeping with its role as a major power.\u201d<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>But, typically, the communique softens the blow by dissimulating a conciliatory attitude, saying NATO maintains \u201ca constructive dialogue\u201d and welcomes \u201copportunities to engage\u201d with China in information exchange on respective policies and activities, to enhance awareness and discuss potential disagreements.<\/p>\n<p>The communique urges China \u201cto engage meaningfully in dialogue, confidence-building, and transparency measures regarding its nuclear capabilities and doctrine.\u00a0 Reciprocal transparency and understanding would benefit both NATO and China.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Make no mistake, this is Washington\u2019s hand writing the NATO communique. Hence this mixed message. The fact of the matter is that many European allies would feel uneasy. For, China poses no military threat to the western alliance. The Europeans visualise a challenge from China largely in the economic sphere \u2014 trade, investment, technology, setting up global standards and so on.<\/p>\n<p>China appears to have anticipated the US\u2019 shenanigans. China\u2019s mission to the EU promptly reacted with facts and figures, pointing out that in 2021, Beijing\u2019s military spending stood at $209 billion in comparison with the alliance\u2019s $1.17 trillion, which is over half of the entire global military expenditure and 5.6 times that of China. The statement said, \u201cWe will unswervingly defend our sovereignty and development interests, and keep a close eye on NATO\u2019s strategic adjustments and policies toward China.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>An <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.globaltimes.cn\/page\/202106\/1226141.shtml\" >editorial in the Global Times<\/a> said, \u201cThis NATO summit can be seen as a key point in the US and Europe\u2019s attitude toward China in the security arena. Washington has raised the curtain for a political mobilisation campaign to use the NATO bloc to carry out strategic competition with China.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe US wants to create a narrative that equates its own hegemony to the collective strategic advantage of the West and form a consensus among 30 countries. As long as NATO countries are bound by a common hatred for China, the interest links between Western countries and China will lose its moral basis and the US could force small European countries to serve its China strategy, politically exploiting them for US interests.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><b>QUAD is a shaggy-dog story <\/b><\/p>\n<p>Beijing\u2019s diplomatic countermove will be to strengthen China-European Union cooperation. It works to China\u2019s advantage that the US does not have the sort of clout to dictate policies to the EU as it has on the NATO platform. (German Chancellor Angela Merkel has already <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.msn.com\/en-us\/news\/world\/merkel-urges-caution-as-allies-turn-focus-to-china-nato-update\/ar-AAL1cly?li=BBnb7Kz\" >counselled caution<\/a> about NATO closing the door on China.)<\/p>\n<p>What is Washington\u2019s strategy in creating a China vector for NATO, which was in the first instance formed for the security of the Euro-Atlantic space?<\/p>\n<p>Here the parallels are striking with the mid-1990s when the US turned its back on the assurances given to Gorbachev and proceeded with the NATO expansion in anticipation of a Russian resurgence in a conceivable future.<\/p>\n<p>The US anticipates that within the coming decade, China must be stopped from overtaking it as the number one global power. The US needs an alliance system to cope with China\u2019s emergence. The QUAD is a shaggy-dog story, in reality.<\/p>\n<p>Second, to assuage the Russian apprehensions regarding the NATO\u2019s eastward expansion, Bill Clinton administration had offered to Boris Yeltsin that Moscow would be consulted on the NATO plans. Thus was born the NATO-Russia Council. But it was an empty gesture as the US anyway went ahead and did whatever it wanted with NATO expansion.<\/p>\n<p>Similarly, the NATO claim that it has a \u201cconstructive dialogue\u201d with China is sheer sophistry. The NATO will go through the charade of a dialogue for a while to calm Chinese nerves before taking the gloves off within 2-3 years at the most.<\/p>\n<p>Third, NATO\u2019s expansion in the 1990s was helpful for Washington to create a window to forge a unified strategic posturing with European allies vis-a-vis Russia. Similarly, the US has begun working hard for the past year or two to get the European allies on board its strategy toward China. The NATO becomes the hub where this work in progress is best handled.<\/p>\n<p>Fourth, the NATO expansion in the 1990s inevitably complicated Russia\u2019s aspirations to become part of a new common security space between Vancouver and Vladivostok. On the contrary, the US secured a say in Russia\u2019s bilateral relations with the NATO countries.<\/p>\n<p>Similar US strategy is at work here to complicate China\u2019s relations with its European partners. Already, the US could block its major NATO allies from partnering with China in 5G technology. The US aims to vanquish China\u2019s BRI projects in Europe on security grounds.<\/p>\n<p>Equally, per NATO guidelines, China can be eventually denied access to western technologies altogether. The point is, while the 30 heads of state and government have expressed concern over China\u2019s \u201ccoercive policies\u201d, \u201copaque ways\u201d, its \u201cuse of disinformation\u201d and have upfront called on Beijing to \u201cuphold its international commitments and to act responsibly in the international system.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><b>Whither \u2018Asian Century\u2019? <\/b><\/p>\n<p>Finally, as in the case with Russia, the US is pushing China toward an infructuous arms race. Of course, this creates the rationale for increased defence spending by NATO countries, which would in turn promote exports of US military technology to Europe.<\/p>\n<p>Lockheed Martin\u2019s F-35 Lightning II are expected to sell in the hundreds, if not thousands, to the US\u2019 allies through 2035. Already, the planned initial buyers include Japan (147 aircraft), South Korea (80) and Australia (upto 100).<\/p>\n<p>The NATO is a lucrative hunting ground for the American arms industry. The bigger the NATO\u2019s threat perceptions, the greater the scope for US exports of weaponry.<\/p>\n<p>In the final analysis, NATO\u2019s naming of China as a systemic challenge would have profound implications for international security. Prima facie, it will draw China and Russia even closer together.<\/p>\n<p>As the US strategic containment of China intensifies, Beijing will come under pressure to boost its deterrence and rapidly increase the number of commissioned nuclear warheads and the DF-41s, the strategic missiles that are capable of long-range strikes and have high-survivability.<\/p>\n<p>China will be on guard as regards its sovereignty and will prepare for an intense showdown. Hu Xijin, the editor-in-chief of Global Times, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.globaltimes.cn\/page\/202105\/1224725.shtml\" >wrote recently<\/a>, \u201cIn this scenario, a large number of Dongfeng-41, and JL-2 and JL-3 (both intercontinental-range submarine-launched ballistic missile) will form the pillar of our strategic will. The number of China\u2019s nuclear warheads must reach the quantity that makes US elites shiver should they entertain the idea of engaging in a military confrontation with China.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>There is an African proverb, \u2018When elephants fight, it is the grass that suffers.\u2019 To be sure, the Asian region is becoming the theatre where the US-China tensions will play out. Inevitably, this would cast shadows on the region\u2019s extraordinary prospects for growth and development. The prospects for the \u2018Asian Century\u2019 may diminish. And that can only work splendidly for the US, but Asian countries themselves will be the poorer for it.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.indianpunchline.com\/nato-declares-china-as-global-security-challenge\/\" >Go to Original &#8211; indianpunchline.com<\/a><\/p>\n<\/article>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The NATO summit in Brussels on 14 Jun 2021 reminds us of what a hoax the USA had perpetrated on the former Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev in 1990 by assuring him that the western alliance would expand \u201cnot one inch eastward\u201d once Moscow allowed German Unification and disbanded the Warsaw Pact.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":187233,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[57],"tags":[867,244,1061,91,278,70],"class_list":["post-187232","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-militarism","tag-anglo-america","tag-china","tag-cold-war-ii","tag-nato","tag-russia","tag-usa"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/187232","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=187232"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/187232\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/187233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=187232"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=187232"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=187232"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}