{"id":209233,"date":"2022-04-18T12:01:11","date_gmt":"2022-04-18T11:01:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/?p=209233"},"modified":"2022-04-18T05:31:22","modified_gmt":"2022-04-18T04:31:22","slug":"give-war-a-chance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/2022\/04\/give-war-a-chance\/","title":{"rendered":"Give War a Chance"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote>\n<div class=\"entry-summary hentry-wrapper th-highlighted-summary th-text-primary-dark th-text-xl th-w-single-view md:th-px-4xl sm:th-px-lg th-px-base\"><em>More and more, we&#8217;re told outright war isn&#8217;t just necessary and right, but the thing that will solve U.S. existential problems.<\/em><\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div><em>12 Apr 2022 &#8211; <\/em>Robert Kagan, neoconservative writer and husband to Deputy Undersecretary of State Victoria Nuland, wrote a piece called \u201c<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/articles\/ukraine\/2022-04-06\/russia-ukraine-war-price-hegemony\" >The Price of Hegemony<\/a>\u201d in\u00a0<em>Foreign Affairs\u00a0<\/em>last week that was fascinating. If I\u2019d written his opening, people would denounce me as a Putin-concubine:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\"><p><em>Although it is obscene to blame the United States for Putin\u2019s inhumane attack on Ukraine, to insist that the invasion was entirely unprovoked is misleading.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Just as Pearl Harbor was the consequence of U.S. efforts to blunt Japanese expansion on the Asian mainland, and just as the 9\/11 attacks were partly a response to the United States\u2019 dominant presence in the Middle East after the first Gulf War, so Russian decisions have been a response to the expanding post\u2013Cold War hegemony of the United States and its allies in Europe.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<div id=\"attachment_209236\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/Robert-Kagan.webp\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-209236\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-209236\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/Robert-Kagan-300x199.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"199\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/Robert-Kagan-300x199.webp 300w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/Robert-Kagan-768x509.webp 768w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/Robert-Kagan.webp 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-209236\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Robert Kagan<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Kagan went on to make an argument straight out of\u00a0<em>Dr. Strangelove<\/em>. Instead of doing what some critics want and focusing on \u201cimproving the well-being of Americans,\u201d the U.S. government is instead properly recognizing the responsibility that comes with being a superpower. So, while Russia\u2019s invasion may indeed have been a foreseeable consequence of a decision to expand our hegemonic reach, now that we\u2019re here, there\u2019s only one option left. Total commitment:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\"><p><em>It is better for the United States to risk confrontation with belligerent powers when they are in the early stages of ambition and expansion, not after they have already consolidated substantial gains. Russia may possess a fearful nuclear arsenal, but the risk of Moscow using it is not higher now than it would have been in 2008 or 2014, if the West had intervened then. And it has always been extraordinarily small\u2026<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>httpv:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=7PmMIMW5HJY<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-drop-cap\">A month after Putin\u2019s invasion of Ukraine, blood seems to be rushing to all the wrong places across the Commentariat, which has begun in earnest the predictable process of asking the public to dismiss fears of nuclear combat. Headlines of the \u201cWe\u2019ll take those odds\u201d variety are springing up everywhere, from the\u00a0<em>Seattle Times\u00a0<\/em>(\u201cAtrocities change the nuclear weapons calculus\u201d) to\u00a0<em>Radio Free Europe\u00a0<\/em>(\u201cFormer NATO Commander Says Western Fears Of Nuclear War Are Preventing A Proper Response To Putin\u201d) to Fox (which had on Sean Penn, of all people, to\u00a0<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/anyaparampil\/status\/1511779212696469518\" >say to Sean Hannity<\/a>, \u201cCountries that have nuclear weapons can remain intimidated to use them, and we\u2019re seeing that now with our own country\u201d). This is fast becoming a bipartisan consensus. Check out Republican Adam Kinzinger\u2019s recent comment:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">There are many who say Russia is trying to draw us into the war, and America is almost \u201cheroic\u201d in restraint. Nonsense.  If Russia wants to provoke they will. But Putin fears NATO.  <\/p>\n<p>This is the first war where an alliance can stop it in a few days, but fears a weaker enemy.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Adam Kinzinger (Slava Ukraini) \ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf1 (@AdamKinzinger) <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AdamKinzinger\/status\/1513864003193389061?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" >April 12, 2022<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Most of us look back at 9\/11 and wish we\u2019d tried to narrow the scope of the problem, not expand it in grandiose ways and make it the central fact of the lives of every person on the planet. We were told right away that 9\/11 meant so much more than a policing problem, that instead of a few nut-jobs slipping through the net, bin Laden\u2019s Twin Tower attacks heralded an inevitable, and desirable, Final Battle between new and old worlds. We\u2019re going through something similar now. The pundit excitement over the final clash between \u201cDemocracy and Autocracy\u201d perhaps being at hand reminds me exactly of the open praying for signs of the Apocalypse I once heard\u00a0<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Great-Derangement-Terrifying-Politics-Religion\/dp\/038552062X\" >among the Rapture-ready flock<\/a>\u00a0of pastor John Hagee in San Antonio.<\/p>\n<p>We saw a ton of this thinking after 9\/11. World-domination advocates who\u2019d been laughed out of meetings for years were taken seriously overnight. Rigid with jingoistic fervor, they were suddenly in print and on air everywhere, bursting with \u201c<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=9BBAEUOOFKQ\" >plans for everyone<\/a>,\u201d as Iggy Pop put it. Such people always rush to the front of the debate in these moments and they\u2019re always listened to, until about ten years later, when it quietly becomes okay to reflect on a question we probably should have pondered in the moment, i.e. \u201cHey, are these people crazy?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>At the outset of the Ukraine invasion, American talking heads with near-unanimity insisted there would be no calls for direct military involvement. We were told even the most hawkish elements in the West just wanted to supply Ukraine with weapons, and give them a chance to fight back against a brutal invader.<\/p>\n<p>That stance held for less than a few weeks. Messaging moved more toward open calls for war in distinct phases. The first came via a flood of stories about how the invasion had \u201crevitalized\u201d or \u201crestored faith\u201d in the American project. To some, Putin\u2019s march into Ukraine, whatever else it might mean, first and foremost validated every dumb foreign policy idea America ever had.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2022\/03\/12\/us\/politics\/biden-ukraine-diplomacy.html\" >Ukraine War Ushers In \u2018New Era\u2019 for U.S. Abroad,<\/a>\u201d from March 12 in the\u00a0<em>New York Times,\u00a0<\/em>was an orgy of such neoliberal crowing about Ukraine righting past wrongs. \u201cThe post-9\/11 war on terror period of American hubris, and decline, is now behind us,\u201d declared Obama\u2019s former deputy national security adviser Ben Rhodes, echoing baseball star George Brett\u2019s famous quote about hemorrhoid surgery in the 1980 World Series: \u201c<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.inquirer.com\/philly\/sports\/homepage\/1980Game3C.html\" >My pain is all behind me now<\/a>!\u201d Authors Michael Crowley and Edward Wong added:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\"><p><em>The Russian invasion has bonded America to Europe more tightly than at any time since the Cold War\u2026 It has re-energized Washington\u2019s leadership role in the democratic world just months after the chaotic U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan ended 20 years of conflict on a dismal note.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Last week saw the inevitable next step, a stupendous popping of war wood, beginning with old pal Ali Velshi of MSNBC, who\u00a0<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AliVelshi\/status\/1510418453504708613?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" >took a literary<\/a>\u00a0tone in a solemn call to escalate.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\"><p><em>The turning point for the west and NATO will come when the sun rises over Kyiv on Sunday\u2026 There is no more time for prevarication. If \u2018never again\u2019 means anything, then this is the time to act.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Asked on Twitter what he meant, he answered, \u201cDirect military involvement.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-drop-cap\">Former Obama HUD official Brandon Friedman, author of a book called, no kidding,\u00a0<em><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/War-Always-Wanted-Illusion-Reality\/dp\/0760331502\" >The War I Always Wanted<\/a><\/em>, responded to reports of mass civilian casualties in the city of Bucha by conceding that, yes, America has a history of killing civilians, too, but never in ways that looked this bad. \u201cNo cities during the Iraq invasion were ever made to look like Mariupol, Bucha or other heavily damaged places in Ukraine,\u201d he\u00a0<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BFriedmanDC\/status\/1510632526267752458\" >wrote<\/a>, which I\u2019m guessing means he never visited Fallujah.<\/p>\n<p>He added that he simply didn\u2019t believe statistics about civilian deaths compiled by the widely cited group Iraq Body Count, because the organization is currently \u201c<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BFriedmanDC\/status\/1510632054760873985\" >promoting a Michael Tracey tweet.<\/a>\u201d Former U.S. soldier and writer Matt Gallagher said that while yes, America killed civilians, these attacks weren\u2019t \u201csystemic or conducted on a mass scale.\u201d He quickly\u00a0<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DavidMizner\/status\/1510956942046502920\" >deleted the comment<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The aforementioned Kagan didn\u2019t even try to throw a hat over the thrill 9\/11 once gave him. In editorial after editorial after the bombing, he tried on all Churchill poses he\u2019d clearly spent years practicing. An October, 2001\u00a0<em>Washington Examiner\u00a0<\/em>piece called \u201c<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/weekly-standard\/the-gathering-storm-1689\" >The Gathering Storm<\/a>\u201d breathlessly declared \u2014 I\u2019m highlighting that word because a breathless tone is such an unfailing feature of soon-to-be-disastrous war takes \u2014 that the Afghanistan invasion would be just an appetizer to the much larger plan of military conquest he\u2019d seen in his dreams.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNo one can imagine that the latest anthrax attack is the terrorists\u2019 last move,\u201d he wrote, jumping the gun just a tad factually on the anthrax front, but hey, he was\u00a0<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=gCfBFXpOl38\" >on a roll<\/a>. (By the way, it\u2019s exactly in moments like these, when passions are running hottest, that the worst reporting mistakes tend to take place. I bring this up because people are already screaming for a reaction to reported incidents in places like Bucha or Mariupol. Sometimes it pays to wait a few weeks on such faraway controversies). In any case, Kagan after 9\/11 argued: \u201cEven if only part of what we have suggested in fact materializes, we will need to beef up our military capacities far beyond what is currently planned\u2026\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Everyone remembers what came next. People like Kagan, co-author Bill Kristol, Don Rumsfeld, Paul Wolfowitz, and David Frum insisted that what could have been dealt with as a localized problem instead required a massive open-ended global militarization project, with accompanying\u00a0<em>Totaler Krieg.\u00a0<\/em>What kind of total war? The intellectuals back then had a notion ready for deployment: with a few tweaks to famed articles like Samuel Huntington\u2019s \u201c<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Clash_of_Civilizations\" >Clash of Civilizations<\/a>,\u201d the United States could embark upon a lengthy project of democratizing the planet, especially the backward Muslim parts. Clearly, we were told, the reason 9\/11 had taken place was that we had not been vigilant enough in eliminating ancient cultures by force and replacing them everywhere with \u201cfreedom.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>This was the same xenophobe insanity that had led people like William Westmoreland to explain that \u201c<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Z9vFzN5MbFk\" >The Oriental doesn\u2019t put the same high price on life as the Westerner<\/a>\u201d while we were dumping poison and CBUs and napalm and 7,662,000\u00a0<em>tons\u00a0<\/em>of explosives all over Indochina, part of our effort to \u201cbomb them back into the Stone Age,\u201d as Air Force General Curtis LeMay once put it. As Chris Hedges\u00a0<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/consortiumnews.com\/2022\/04\/11\/chris-hedges-the-pimps-of-war\/\" >wrote recently<\/a>, the basically racist notion that foreigners are savages and only understand force is a consistent feature of pre-war propaganda. Former CIA chief and Defense Secretary Leon Panetta, who incidentally works for a firm that lobbies for Raytheon, went on CNN recently\u00a0<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.levernews.com\/the-defense-industrys-ukraine-pundits\/\" >to say<\/a>, \u201cI think we need to understand that there is only one thing that Putin understands, and that\u2019s force.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The notion that someone else\u2019s insanity could cure your own ought to be limited to the thinking of people who live in padded rooms. Sadly, it isn\u2019t. Even before Putin invaded Ukraine, we saw open longing for a chance to give \u201cleadership\u201d (read: military intervention) a chance again. This was the thesis of the Bret Stephens article \u201c<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2022\/01\/25\/opinion\/ukraine-russia-putin.html\" >Bring Back the Free World<\/a>\u201d way back on January 25th. Stephens decried an America so \u201cobsessed with its own sins\u201d that it was helping the autocracies of the world make democracy seem \u201cdivided, tired, and corrupt.\u201d What was needed, he wrote, was a restoration of the \u201cconcept of the \u2018free world,\u2019\u201d a way to bring back its \u201cclarifying power and moral force.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Viewed through this lens, Ukraine is almost good news, because it will help America re-discover its proper destiny as world Hegemon. This is America\u2019s \u201cI\u2019m Your Density\u201d moment:<\/p>\n<p>httpv:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=PqKmb7SSpTE<\/p>\n<p>Now all the same people from before are out of the woodwork,\u00a0<em>again<\/em>, with the likes of Bill Kristol and Benjamin Wittes saying the crazies are the ones who worry about escalation, \u201clike we don\u2019t have 70 years of managing nuclear risk with Russia or something\u201d:<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/twitter.com\/benjaminwittes\/status\/1511314819604955139?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1511314819604955139%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&#038;ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fscheerpost.com%2F2022%2F04%2F12%2Fmatt-taibbi-give-war-a-chance%2F<\/p>\n<p>As time passes, it seems there\u2019s less and less of a chance of negotiating an end to the war in Ukraine in a way that might keeping the problem localized, because that will leave the global \u201cclash\u201d unresolved. Analysts and think-tankers have already moved past Ukraine in their minds, to a future reorganization of Earth:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Russia&#39;s war against Ukraine will end with the break-up of the Russian Federation. It will be replaced by small, demilitarized and powerless republics with neutrality written into their constitutions.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Anders \u00d6stlund &#8211; \u0407 (@andersostlund) <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/andersostlund\/status\/1513407913611739136?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" >April 11, 2022<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>So into the Apocalyptic Throwdown script we return. This time it\u2019s Gary Kasparov calling for the West to throw Russia \u201c<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/europe\/kasparov-calls-world-powers-throw-russia-back-into-stone-age-2022-03-03\/\" >back into the Stone Age<\/a>,\u201d and instead of headlines like \u201c<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2003\/03\/05\/world\/threats-responses-attack-strategy-top-general-sees-plan-shock-iraq-into.html\" >Top General Sees Plan to Shock Iraq Into Surrendering<\/a>,\u201d we\u2019re seeing, \u201c<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2022\/03\/04\/us\/politics\/russia-sanctions-ukraine.html\" >U.S. and Europe Aim to Punish Putin and Fuel Russian Unrest<\/a>,\u201d once again betraying a real belief among America\u2019s decision-makers that we can \u201cbleed Putin\u201d into collapse by drawing out a \u201cquagmire\u201d that will trigger a foreign revolution. No one even seems willing to hint at what a longshot bet that is. It\u2019s taken for granted that a global everywhere-war is a sound and necessary plan. The fact that Putin\u2019s own instructively catastrophic misread of how easy foreign conquest would be is sitting before all of these people makes all this even more amazing.<\/p>\n<p>For most of the nineties living in Russia, I found myself gaining an appreciation for America. I thought: \u201cAs messed up as our country is, at least you can\u2019t openly pay bribes in court, and people aren\u2019t often boiled alive when hot water pipes burst under sidewalks.\u201d Then I went home not long after 9\/11 and, watching George Bush, soon found myself missing Russia, thinking: \u201cAt least Boris Yeltsin was too busy drinking and stealing to try to conquer the planet.\u201d Now the worst of both worlds are on a collision course. People like Igor Strelkov are shouting the Russian equivalent of \u201cBring it On\u201d to the free-worlders, and armchair warriors like Robert Kagan are shouting their own provocations back. God save us from people who dream big, without the brains to match.<\/p>\n<p>______________________________________________<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/matt-taibbi-e1647234324368.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-207043\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/matt-taibbi-e1647234324368.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"100\" height=\"75\" \/><\/a> <em>Matthew C. Taibbi is an American author, journalist, and podcaster. He has reported on finance, media, politics, and sports. He is a contributing editor for <\/em>Rolling Stone<em>, author of several books, a winner of the National Magazine Award for commentary<\/em>,<em> co-host of <\/em>Useful Idiots<em>, and publisher of a newsletter on <\/em>Substack.<\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/scheerpost.com\/2022\/04\/12\/matt-taibbi-give-war-a-chance\/\" >Go to Original \u2013 scheerpost.com<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>12 Apr 2022 &#8211; More and more, we&#8217;re told outright war isn&#8217;t just necessary and right, but the thing that will solve U.S. existential problems.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":207043,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[57],"tags":[867,2642,2197,1284,1126,1050,769,112,109,70,126,481],"class_list":["post-209233","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-militarism","tag-anglo-america","tag-anti-imperialism","tag-biden","tag-false-flag","tag-hegemony","tag-imperialism","tag-military-supremacy","tag-pentagon","tag-politics","tag-usa","tag-violence","tag-warfare"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/209233","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=209233"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/209233\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/207043"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=209233"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=209233"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=209233"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}