{"id":218877,"date":"2022-09-05T12:00:01","date_gmt":"2022-09-05T11:00:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/?p=218877"},"modified":"2022-09-04T09:30:17","modified_gmt":"2022-09-04T08:30:17","slug":"six-months-into-ukraines-collapse-the-world-has-changed-forever","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/2022\/09\/six-months-into-ukraines-collapse-the-world-has-changed-forever\/","title":{"rendered":"Six Months into Ukraine\u2019s Collapse, the World Has Changed Forever"},"content":{"rendered":"

The inevitable transfer of power away from the west is leading to a surge in state-sponsored terrorism, but this will do little to reverse the trend.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

\"\"<\/a>

Photo Credit: The Cradle<\/p><\/div>\n

24 Aug 2022 – <\/em>Six months after the start of the Special Military Operation (SMO) by Russia in Ukraine, the geopolitical tectonic plates of the 21st<\/sup> century have been dislocated at astonishing speed and depth \u2013 with immense historical repercussions already at hand.<\/p>\n

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To paraphrase T.S. Eliot, this is the way the (new) world begins, not with a whimper but a bang.<\/p>\n

The cold-blooded assassination of Darya Dugina<\/a> \u2013 terrorism at the gates of Moscow \u2013 may have fatefully coincided with the six-month intersection point, but will do nothing to change the dynamics of the current, work-in-progress, historical shift.<\/p>\n

Russia\u2019s Federal Security Service (FSB) appeared to have cracked the case in a little over 24 hours, designating the perpetrator as a neo-Nazi Azov operative instrumentalized by the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) \u2013 itself a mere tool of the CIA\/MI6 combo that de facto rules Kiev.<\/p>\n

The Azov operative is just a patsy. The FSB will never reveal in public the intel it has amassed on those that issued the orders, and how they will be dealt with.<\/p>\n

One Ilya Ponomaryov, an anti-Kremlin minor character granted Ukrainian citizenship, boasted he was in contact with the outfit that prepared the hit on the Dugin family. No one took him seriously.<\/p>\n

What is manifestly serious, however, is how oligarchy-connected organized crime factions in Russia would have a motive to eliminate Alexander Dugin, the Christian Orthodox nationalist philosopher who, according to them, may have influenced the Kremlin\u2019s pivot to Asia (he didn\u2019t).<\/p>\n

These organized crime factions blamed Dugin for a concerted Kremlin offensive against the disproportional power of Jewish oligarchs in Russia. So these actors would have both the motive and the local know-how to mount such a coup.<\/p>\n

If that\u2019s the case, it potentially spells out a Mossad-linked operation \u2013 especially given the serious schism in Moscow\u2019s recent relations with Tel Aviv. What\u2019s certain is that the FSB will keep their cards very close to their chest \u2013 and retribution will be swift, precise and invisible.<\/p>\n

The straw that broke the camel\u2019s back<\/strong><\/p>\n

Instead of delivering a serious blow to Russia\u2019s psyche that could impact the dynamics of its operations in Ukraine, the assassination of Darya Dugina only exposed the perpetrators as tawdry killers who have exhausted their options.<\/p>\n

An IED cannot kill a philosopher \u2013 or his daughter. In an essential essay<\/a>, Dugin himself explained how the real war \u2013 Russia against the US-led collective west \u2013 is a war of ideas. An existential war.<\/p>\n

Dugin correctly defines the US as a \u201cthalassocracy,\u201d heir to \u201cBritannia rules the waves.\u201d Yet now the geopolitical tectonic plates are spelling out a new order: The Return of the Heartland.<\/p>\n

Russian President Vladimir Putin himself first spelled it out at the Munich Security Conference in 2007. China\u2019s Xi Jinping put it into action by launching the New Silk Roads in 2013. The Empire struck back with Maidan in 2014. Russia counter-attacked by coming to the aid of Syria in 2015.<\/p>\n

The Empire doubled down on Ukraine, with NATO weaponizing it non-stop for eight years. At the end of 2021, Moscow invited Washington for a serious dialogue on \u201cindivisibility of security\u201d in Europe. That was dismissed with a non-response response.<\/p>\n

Moscow took no time to assess that a dangerous US-led trifecta was instead in the works: an imminent Kiev blitzkrieg against Donbass; Ukraine flirting with acquiring nuclear weapons; and the work of US bioweapon labs. That was the straw that broke the camel\u2019s back.<\/p>\n

A consistent analysis of Putin\u2019s public interventions these past few months reveals that the Kremlin \u2013 as well as Security Council Yoda Nikolai Patrushev \u2013 fully realize how the politico\/media talking heads and shock troops of the collective west are directed by the rulers of Finance Capitalism.<\/p>\n

As a direct consequence, they also realize how western public opinion is absolutely clueless, Plato cave-style, totally captive to the ruling financial class, who cannot tolerate any alternative narrative.<\/p>\n

So Putin, Patrushev, and their peers will never presume that a senile teleprompter reader in the White House or a cokehead comedian in Kiev \u201crule\u201d anything.<\/p>\n

As the US rules global pop culture, it is fitting to borrow from what Walter White\/Heisenberg, an average American channeling his inner bad, states in Breaking Bad<\/em>: \u201cI\u2019m in the Empire business.\u201d And the Empire business is to exercise raw power, maintained with ruthlessness, by all means necessary.<\/p>\n

Russia broke that spell. But Moscow\u2019s strategy is way more sophisticated than leveling Kiev with hypersonic weapons, something that could have been done at any moment, starting six months ago.<\/p>\n

Instead, what Moscow is doing is talking to virtually the entire Global South, bilaterally or to groups of actors, explaining how the world-system is changing right before our eyes, with the key actors of the future configured as the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), BRICS+, the Greater Eurasia Partnership.<\/p>\n

And what we see is vast swathes of the Global South \u2013 or 85 percent of the world\u2019s population \u2013 slowly but surely becoming ready to engage in expelling the finance capitalists from their national horizons, and ultimately taking them down: a long, tortuous battle that will imply multiple setbacks.<\/p>\n

The facts on the ground<\/strong><\/p>\n

On the ground in soon-to-be rump Ukraine, Khinzal hypersonic weapons launched from Tu-22M3 bombers or Mig-31 interceptors \u00a0will continue to be employed.<\/p>\n

Piles of HIMARS will continue to be captured. TOS 1A Heavy Flamethrowers will keep sending invitations to the gates of hell. Crimean Air Defense will continue to intercept all sorts of small drones with IEDs attached. Terrorism by local SBU cells will eventually be smashed.<\/p>\n

Using essentially a phenomenal artillery barrage \u2013 cheap and mass-produced \u2013 Russia will annex Donbass, very valuable in terms of land, natural resources and industrial power. And then on to Nikolaev, Odessa, and Kharkov.<\/p>\n

Geoeconomically, Russia can afford to sell its oil with fat discounts to any Global South customer, not to mention strategic partners China and India. Cost of extraction reaches a maximum of $15 per barrel, with a national budget based on $40-45 for a barrel of Urals, whose market value today is almost double that.<\/p>\n

A new Russian benchmark is imminent, as well as oil in rubles following the wildly successful gas for rubles scheme.<\/p>\n

The assassination of Darya Dugina provoked endless speculation about the Kremlin and the Ministry of Defense finally breaking their discipline. That\u2019s not going to happen. Russian advances along the enormous 1,800-mile battle front are relentless, highly systematic, and deeply invested in a Greater Strategic Picture.<\/p>\n

A key vector is whether Russia stands a chance of winning the information war with the west. That will never happen inside NATO\u2019s realm \u2013 even as success after success is unfolding across the Global South.<\/p>\n

As Glenn Diesen has masterfully demonstrated in his latest book, Russophobia<\/a>, the collective west is viscerally impervious to admitting any social, cultural, historical merits by Russia.<\/p>\n

They have already catapulted themselves into the irrationality stratosphere: the grinding down and de facto demilitarization of the imperial proxy army in Ukraine is driving the Empire\u2019s handlers and its vassals literally nuts.<\/p>\n

But the Global South should never lose sight of the \u2018Empire business.\u2019 That industry excels in producing chaos and plunder, always supported by extortion, bribery of local elites, and assassinations on the cheap. Every trick in the Divide and Rule book should be expected at any moment. Never underestimate a bitter, wounded, deeply humiliated, declining Empire.<\/p>\n

Fasten your seat belts for more of this tense dynamic for the remainder of the decade.<\/p>\n

But before that, all along the watchtower, get ready for the arrival of General Winter, whose riders are fast approaching. When the winds begin to howl, Europe will be freezing in the dead of dark nights, lit up occasionally by its finance capitalists puffing on fat cigars.<\/p>\n

_______________________________________________<\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a> Pepe Escobar, born in Brazil, is a correspondent and editor-at-large at <\/em>Asia Times and<\/em> columnist for<\/em> Consortium News and<\/em> Strategic Culture in Moscow. Since the mid-1980s he\u2019s lived and worked as a foreign correspondent in London, Paris, Milan, Los Angeles, Singapore, and Bangkok. He has extensively covered Pakistan, Afghanistan and Central Asia to China, Iran, Iraq and the wider Middle East. He is the author of <\/em>Globalistan<\/a> (2007),<\/em> Red Zone Blues<\/a> (2007), <\/em>Obama Does Globalistan<\/a> (2009), <\/em>Empire of Chaos<\/a> (2014) and <\/em>2030<\/a> (2015), all by Nimble Books. Pepe was contributing editor to <\/em>The Empire and The Crescent and<\/em> Tutto in Vendita in Italy and is also associated with the Paris-based European Academy of Geopolitics. When not on the road he lives between Paris and Bangkok. <\/em><\/p>\n

Go to Original \u2013 thecradle.co<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

24 Aug 2022 – The inevitable transfer of power away from the west is leading to a surge in state-sponsored terrorism, but this will do little to reverse the trend. To paraphrase T.S. Eliot, this is the way the (new) world begins, not with a whimper but a bang.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":218878,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[50],"tags":[867,2642,417,244,1035,1268,1126,1050,2462,613,278,70,1160],"class_list":["post-218877","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-anglo-america","tag-anti-imperialism","tag-bullying","tag-china","tag-eastern-europe","tag-european-union","tag-hegemony","tag-imperialism","tag-military-industrial-media-complex","tag-new-world-order","tag-russia","tag-usa","tag-world-order"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/218877","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=218877"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/218877\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/218878"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=218877"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=218877"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=218877"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}