{"id":239770,"date":"2023-07-24T12:00:07","date_gmt":"2023-07-24T11:00:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/?p=239770"},"modified":"2023-07-20T09:36:55","modified_gmt":"2023-07-20T08:36:55","slug":"arming-taiwan-is-an-insane-provocation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/2023\/07\/arming-taiwan-is-an-insane-provocation\/","title":{"rendered":"Arming Taiwan Is an Insane Provocation"},"content":{"rendered":"

As Washington applies the neocon Wolfowitz Doctrine in East Asia, U.S. provocations must stop. Biden should instead take up China\u2019s offer of peaceful coexistence.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

12 Jul 2023 – <\/em>The Island of Taiwan has been turned into a \u201cpowder keg\u201d by the infusion of U.S. weaponry, pushing the Taiwanese people into the \u201cabyss of disaster.\u201d\u00a0 <\/span>These are the words of the Chinese Defense Ministry in reaction to the recent $440 million sale of U.S. arms to the island. And now the U.S. is also giving, not selling, arms to Taiwan, courtesy of the U.S. taxpayer.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>

U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi in Taipei with Taiwan\u2019s President Tsai Ing-wen on 2 Aug 2022\u00a0 (Wang Yu Ching, Office of the President, CC BY 2.0)<\/p><\/div>\n

The \u201cFirst Island Chain\u201d Strategy of the U.S.<\/b><\/p>\n

Taiwan is but one in a series of islands along the Chinese coast, often called \u201cThe First Island Chain,\u201d which now bristles with advanced U.S. weapons. These are accompanied by tens of thousands of supporting U.S. military personnel and combat troops.\u00a0 <\/span>The \u201cFirst Island Chain\u201d extends from Japan in the north southward through Japan\u2019s Ryukyu islands which include Okinawa, to Taiwan and on to the northern Philippines. (U.S. ally, South Korea, with a military<\/span><\/a> of 500,000 active duty personnel and 3 million reserves is a powerful adjunct to this chain.) In U.S. military doctrine the First Island Chain is a base to \u201cproject power\u201d and restrict sea access to China.<\/p>\n

Taiwan is at the center this string of islands and is considered the focal point of The First Island Chain strategy. When the fiercely hawkish Cold Warrior, Secretary of State John Foster Dulles, conceived the strategy in 1951, he dubbed Taiwan America\u2019s \u201cunsinkable aircraft carrier.\u201d<\/p>\n

Taiwan is now one source of contention between the U.S. and China. As is often said but rarely done, the pursuit of peace demands that we understand the point of view of those who are marked as our adversaries. And, in China\u2019s eyes, Taiwan and the rest of these armed isles look like both chain and noose.<\/p>\n

How would the U.S. react in a similar circumstance? Cuba is about the same distance from the U.S. as the width of the Taiwan Strait that separates Taiwan from the Mainland. Consider the recent U.S. reaction to rumors that China was setting up a listening post in Cuba. There was a bipartisan reaction of alarm in Congress and a bipartisan statement that such an installation is \u201cunacceptable<\/span><\/a>.\u201d What would be the reaction if China armed Cuba to the teeth or sent hundreds of soldiers there as the U.S. has done to Taiwan? It is not hard to imagine. One immediately thinks of the U.S. sponsored invasion of Cuba at the Bay of Pigs and later the Cuban Missile Crisis.<\/p>\n

Clearly, the arming of Taiwan is a provocative act that pushes the U.S. closer to war with China, a nuclear power.<\/p>\n

The Secessionist Movement in Taiwan<\/b><\/p>\n

According to the One China Policy, the official policy of the U.S., Taiwan is part of China. The UN took the same position in 1971 with passage of Resolution 2758 (also known as the Resolution on Admitting Peking) which recognized the People\u2019s Republic of China (PRC) as the legitimate government of all of China and its sole representative in the UN.<\/p>\n

In recent decades a secessionist movement has developed on the island of Taiwan, a sentiment represented by the DPP (Democratic Progressive Party). Currently Tsai Ing-wen of the DPP is President. But in the local elections of 2022, the DPP lost very badly to the KMT (Kuomintang) which is friendly to the Mainland and wishes to preserve the status quo or \u201cstrategic ambiguity,\u201d as it is called. Tsai built the DPP\u2019s 2022 campaign on hostility to Beijing, not on local issues. And at the same time, her government passed legislation to increase the compulsory service for young Taiwanese males from 6 months to a year. Needless to say, this hawkish move was not popular with the under 30 set.<\/p>\n

Polling in 2022<\/a><\/span> showed that an overwhelming majority of Taiwanese now want to preserve the status quo. Only 1.3% want immediate unification and only 5.3% want immediate independence. <\/span>Compared to previous years, a record 28.6 percent of those polled said they preferred to \u201cmaintain the status quo indefinitely,\u201d while 28.3 percent chose the status quo to \u201cdecide at a later date,\u201d and 25.2 percent opted for the status quo with a view to \u201cmove toward independence.\u201d Thus, a total of 82.1% now favor the status quo! Not surprisingly, every prominent presidential candidate professes to be in favor of the status quo. However, DPP candidates also contend there is no need to declare independence since in their eyes Taiwan is already independent.<\/span><\/p>\n

The stated policy of the People\u2019s Republic of China is to seek peaceful reunification with Taiwan. Only if the secessionist movement formally declares independence does Beijing threaten to use force. Clearly the Taiwanese do not wish to find themselves in the position of Ukrainians, cannon fodder in a U.S. proxy war.<\/p>\n

Here we might once more consider how the alleged enemy of the U.S., China, sees things and might react to a formal act of secession and declaration of independence by Taiwan. And again, we might be guided by our own history. When the Confederate States seceded from the Union, the U.S. descended into the bloodiest war in its history with 620,000 soldiers<\/span><\/a> dead. Moreover, a secessionist Taiwan, as an armed ally of the U.S., represents to China a return to the \u201cCentury of Humiliation\u201d at the hands of the colonial West. Given these circumstances, arming Taiwan clearly creates a \u201cpowder keg.\u201d A single spark could ignite it.<\/p>\n

It is difficult to avoid the conclusion that the U.S. is trying to gin up a proxy war that would engulf East Asia, damaging not only China but other U.S. economic competitors like Japan and South Korea. The U.S. would come out on top. It is the neocon Wolfowitz Doctrine<\/span><\/a> put into play. But in the nuclear age such stratagems amount to total insanity.<\/p>\n

If some Taiwanese hope that the U.S. will come to its aid, they should ponder carefully the tragedy of Ukraine. Somewhere between 150,000 and 200,000 Ukrainian soldiers have lost their lives so far and millions more turned into refugees. A similar U.S. proxy war in Taiwan could easily turn into a full-scale conflict between the world\u2019s two largest economies, certainly triggering a global depression and perhaps a nuclear exchange. And U.S. President Joe Biden has committed to send troops to fight the People\u2019s Liberation Army should hostilities break out. So, the situation is even more perilous than the one in Ukraine!<\/p>\n

No Arms to Taiwan<\/b>.<\/p>\n

When all this is considered, arming Taiwan is asking for trouble on a global scale. Taipei and Beijing can settle their disagreements by themselves. Frankly put, disagreements between the two are none of America\u2019s business.<\/p>\n

So, we Americans must stop our government from arming Taiwan. And we need to get our military out of East Asia. It is an ocean away, and no power there is threatening the U.S. We do not have Chinese warships off our Pacific Coast, nor do we have Chinese troops or Chinese military bases anywhere in our entire hemisphere.<\/p>\n

China calls for peaceful coexistence and a win-win set of relationships between us. Let\u2019s take them up on that.<\/p>\n

And let\u2019s bring all those troops, submarines, bombers, rockets, and warships out of East Asia before they stumble into a conflict or become the instrument of a false flag operation. We should keep in mind the Gulf of Tonkin Incident<\/span><\/a>, a fake report of a Vietnamese attack on a U.S. ship that led to the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution<\/span><\/a>, a de facto declaration of war against Vietnam. In the end millions lost their lives in Southeast Asia in that brutal, horrific war. Even that will look like a schoolyard squabble compared to the conflagration unleashed by a U.S.-China war.<\/p>\n

_____________________________________________<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>John V. Walsh writes about issues of war, peace, empire, and health care for<\/em> Antiwar.com, Consortium News<\/a>, Dissident Voice<\/a>, The UNZ Review<\/a>, and other outlets. He was until recently Professor of Physiology and Cellular Neuroscience at a Massachusetts Medical School. John can be reached at john.endwar@gmail.com<\/a> <\/em><\/p>\n

Go to Original – antiwar.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

12 Jul 2023 – As Washington applies the neocon Wolfowitz Doctrine to East Asia, Taiwan becomes a \u201cpowder keg\u201d by U.S. weaponry. The provocations must stop and Biden should instead take up China\u2019s offer of peaceful coexistence. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":239772,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[56],"tags":[1161,1104,417,244,419,443,1126,1050,112,1148,70,1073],"class_list":["post-239770","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asia-pacific","tag-arms-industry","tag-arms-trade","tag-bullying","tag-china","tag-co-existence","tag-culture-of-peace","tag-hegemony","tag-imperialism","tag-pentagon","tag-taiwan","tag-usa","tag-weapons"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/239770","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=239770"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/239770\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":239778,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/239770\/revisions\/239778"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/239772"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=239770"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=239770"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=239770"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}