{"id":240853,"date":"2023-08-07T12:00:39","date_gmt":"2023-08-07T11:00:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/?p=240853"},"modified":"2023-08-11T03:53:40","modified_gmt":"2023-08-11T02:53:40","slug":"humanity-needs-a-completely-different-peace-and-security-system-in-the-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/2023\/08\/humanity-needs-a-completely-different-peace-and-security-system-in-the-future\/","title":{"rendered":"Humanity Needs a Completely Different Peace and Security System in the Future"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>A major peace publishing event across cultures. The cover story of the influential <\/em>China Investment Magazine\u2019s<em> July 2023 edition.<\/em><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Can you imagine a leading economics, finance and investment magazine in the Western world publishing a 30 A4-page (10 000 words) article about the future peace and security world order \u2013 a think-piece consisting merely of concepts, theories, visions and philosophical aspects of the theme?<\/p>\n<p>I can\u2019t. They would not see it as meaningful to include perspectives on peace, nonviolence, security and related matters. But they\u2019d probably gladly publish articles about military corporations, profits and the like.<\/p>\n<p>But in China, they see the value of such <em>holistic<\/em> thinking between interrelated dimensions of society \u2013 and of the world \u2013 as it really is. Economics is not only about economic things; it takes place in a framework that influences it \u2013 past, present and future.<\/p>\n<p>In contrast, the main problem in Western economic thinking is that it\u2019s mostly about market aspects, corporate\/private actors and maximizing utilities and profits <em>as if <\/em>economics could be isolated from society and culture. Furthermore, in the academic field called \u2018national economics,\u2019 Western economy students spend years learning about something that has not existed for decades in the real world.<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019m honored to have been asked by <em><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.tzzzs.com\/\" >China Investment<\/a><\/em> to write about the theme indicated in the headline. And I am grateful for the opportunity to express my thinking based on four decades of scholarly work, quite some thinking and on-the-ground experiences. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.tzzzs.com\/type_bigslide\/44572.html\" >See the original edition here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Before you read my future-oriented analysis, let me quote this from its <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.tzzzs.com\/type_gg\/43292.html\" >homepage<\/a> so you get an impression of the status of this magazine:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">\u201c<em>China Investment<\/em>, founded in 1985, is a monthly under the supervision of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), China\u2019s macro-economic management agency, It\u2019s jointly operated by Investment Research Institute under NDRC, China International Engineering Consulting Corporation. Enjoying an exclusive position under the central government,\u00a0<em>China Investment\u00a0<\/em>is the core journal which started the earliest among similar magazines to focus on the investment trend. Over the past 30-plus years,\u00a0<em>China Investment<\/em>\u00a0has been in line with the global market as its fundamental coordinate with a strategic focus on specific countries and regional markets and those major international propensities.\u00a0<em>China Investment<\/em>\u00a0is a key dialogue platform for officials from different countries, investment agencies, experts and scholars, business people and journalists.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>And now, my article below. It has been changed and re-edited in a few places and I have added some thoughts on non-military defense.<\/p>\n<p>On August 1, 2023, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.globaltimes.cn\/page\/202308\/1295461.shtml\" >the very important <em>Global Times<\/em> published my summary<\/a>, requested by them, of the longer analysis below.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/China-Invest-Peace-jan-oberg.webp\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-240857\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/China-Invest-Peace-jan-oberg.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"400\" height=\"244\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/China-Invest-Peace-jan-oberg.webp 701w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/China-Invest-Peace-jan-oberg-300x183.webp 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">*********************<\/p>\n<p><em>30 Jul 2023 &#8211; <\/em>The world\u2019s taxpayers give US$ 2,240 billion annually to their national military defenses. That is the highest ever, more than 600 times the regular budget of the United Nations, and three times the total trade between China and the US. Such are the perverse priorities of our governments; the five largest spenders are the US 39% of the total, China 13%, Russia 3,9%, India 3,6% and Saudi Arabia 3,1%.<\/p>\n<p>Worldwide, governments maintain that they need that much to secure their people\u2019s survival, national defense, security and stability &#8211; and that global peace will come.<\/p>\n<p>With the exception of the elites of the Military-Industrial-Media-Academic Complexes (MIMAC), we all know this is a huge fallacy. Today\u2019s world is at a higher risk of war&#8211;including nuclear&#8211;, more unstable and militaristic than at any time since 1945.<\/p>\n<p>At the end of the West\u2019s Cold War a good 30 years ago, peace became a manifest possibility, NATO could have been dismantled since its <em>raison d\u2019\u00eatre<\/em>, the Soviet Union and the Warsaw Pact, fell apart. A new transatlantic common security and peace system could have replaced NATO.<\/p>\n<p>Tragically, \u2019defensive\u2019 NATO did everything not only to cheat Russia with its promise to not expand \u2018one inch,\u2019 but also to expand up to the border of Russia, \u201cnot one inch off limit for the alliance,\u201d to quote Marie Sarotte\u2019s brilliant 550-page book, <em>Not One Inch<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>The NATO world now postulates that both Russia and China are threats to be met with even higher, de facto limitless, military expenditures.<\/p>\n<p>But wait! How would you think and act if you witnessed a team of doctors do one surgery after the other on a patient who, for each, came closer to death?<\/p>\n<p>You\u2019d probably say that they are quack doctors. Their diagnosis and treatment lead to a devastating prognosis. Instead of health, they produce more of the problem they claim to solve!<\/p>\n<p>Given that the highest investment on peace and security in history has caused the highest risk to humanity\u2019s survival, why don\u2019t we have a vibrant global debate? What is fundamentally wrong with the entire paradigm of security through arms? Where are the critical analyses of the world\u2019s most enigmatic and dangerous logical short circuit?<\/p>\n<p>The dominant security paradigm builds on factors like these:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><em>deterrence<\/em> &#8211; we shall harm them if they do something we won\u2019t accept or don\u2019t do as we say;<\/li>\n<li><em>offensiveness<\/em> &#8211; our defense is directed at them even thousands of kilometers away, not on our own territory;<\/li>\n<li><em>military means<\/em> are all-dominant;<\/li>\n<li><em>civil means<\/em> &#8211; like minimizing society\u2019s vulnerability; civil defense, nonviolent people\u2019s defense, cooperation refusal, boycott &#8211; are hardly discussed;<\/li>\n<li>our <em>intentions<\/em> are noble and peaceful, but theirs are not;<\/li>\n<li><em>our defense is not a threat<\/em> to them, but they threaten us with theirs;<\/li>\n<li><em>ignoring the underlying conflicts<\/em> that cause violence and war, the keys to conflict-resolution, and prepare instead for war to achieve peace.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>This is, by and large, how everybody \u2019thinks\u2019 and then they blame others for the fact that this type of thinking can <em>not <\/em>produce disarmament or peace.<\/p>\n<p>Even worse, when that peace doesn\u2019t come, everybody concludes that they need more and better weapons. In reality, this system is the perpetual mobile of the world\u2019s tragic militarism and squandering of resources desperately needed to solve humanity\u2019s problems.<\/p>\n<p>There <em>must<\/em> be better ways to think. But there is far too little research and debate and the MIMAC elites thrive on war. Thus, decision-makers lack political will.<\/p>\n<p>What would be the criteria for <em>good peace and security?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Conflicts are to be addressed and solved intelligently by mediation, international law, and creative visions that address the parties\u2019 fears and wishes. Violent means should be absolutely the last resort as is stated by the UN. Peace is about reducing all kinds of violence (there are many kinds) and creating security for all at the lowest military level, like the doctor who shall never incur more pain than necessary to heal a patient.<\/p>\n<p>Here some alternative ideas and thinking to promote discussion:<br \/>\ninstead of deterrence, seek cooperation and common security; the latter means that we feel secure when they do;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>go for being invincible in defense but unable to attack anybody else; have weapons with limited destruction capacity and range;<\/li>\n<li>make control\/occupation impossible by our country\u2019s non-cooperation with any occupier;<\/li>\n<li>balance defensive military and civilian means;<\/li>\n<li>prevent violence but not conflicts;<\/li>\n<li>never do tit-for-tat escalation; do something creative to de-escalate;<\/li>\n<li>show that your intentions are non-threatening and take small steps to invite Graduated Reduction in Tension (GRIT) without risking your own security;<\/li>\n<li>handle conflicts early; build peace first and then secure it;<\/li>\n<li>address underlying conflicts, traumas, fears and interests;<\/li>\n<li>educate and use professionals in civilian conflict-resolution and mediation, not only military expertise;<\/li>\n<li>develop and nurture a peace culture through education at all levels, ministries for peace, emphasis on conflict transformation instead of confrontation and rearmament;<\/li>\n<li>replace outdated neighborhood ethics with a global ethics of care.<br \/>\nThe possibilities are limitless. Conflict and peace illiteracy have brought us to where we are today. It is not whether human beings are evil, good, or both. It is a <em>systemic paradigmatic malfunctioning<\/em> that must change in name of civilization.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>We can <em>learn to peace<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Masters of war are hated worldwide. Countries that take concrete leadership in developing new principles and policies for true global peace and human security will save humanity and will be loved forever.<\/p>\n<p>Let a thousand peace ideas bloom!<\/p>\n<p><em>__________________________________________<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/JanOberg-scaled-e1596967349638.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-166625\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/JanOberg-scaled-e1596967349638.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"100\" height=\"143\" \/><\/a> Prof. Jan Oberg, Ph.D. is director of the independent <\/em><em><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/transnational.live\/\" >Transnational Foundation for Peace &amp; Future Research-TF<\/a><\/em><em>F in Sweden and a member of the <\/em><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/\" >TRANSCEND Network for Peace Development Environment<\/a><\/em><em>. CV: <\/em><em><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/transnational.live\/jan-oberg\" >https:\/\/transnational.live\/jan-oberg<\/a><\/em><em><br \/>\n<\/em><em><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/transnational.live\/\" >https:\/\/transnational.live<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The world\u2019s taxpayers give US$ 2,240 billion annually to their national military defenses. It is the highest ever, more than 600 times the UN budget and three times the total trade between China and the US. The five largest spenders are the USA 39% of the total, China 13%, Russia 3,9%, India 3,6% and Saudi Arabia 3,1%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":166625,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[769,119],"class_list":["post-240853","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-editorial","tag-military-supremacy","tag-peace"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/240853","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=240853"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/240853\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":242017,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/240853\/revisions\/242017"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/166625"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=240853"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=240853"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=240853"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}