{"id":309795,"date":"2025-12-15T12:01:35","date_gmt":"2025-12-15T12:01:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/?p=309795"},"modified":"2025-12-13T07:00:47","modified_gmt":"2025-12-13T07:00:47","slug":"nato-ruttes-berlin-speech-not-about-russia-but-about-the-end-of-rational-politics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/2025\/12\/nato-ruttes-berlin-speech-not-about-russia-but-about-the-end-of-rational-politics\/","title":{"rendered":"NATO Rutte\u2019s Berlin Speech: Not about Russia, but about the End of Rational Politics"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_309796\" style=\"width: 560px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/nato.webp\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-309796\" class=\"wp-image-309796\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/nato-1024x683.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"550\" height=\"367\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/nato-1024x683.webp 1024w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/nato-300x200.webp 300w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/nato-768x512.webp 768w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/nato.webp 1456w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-309796\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Inside NATO\u2019s cathedral of fear, weapons become sacraments and projection becomes liturgy. From the stained-glass altar, thunderous light strikes Russia and China \u2014 not as analysis, but as ritual. This is not about Putin. It is about the West\u2019s collapse into psycho-political theatre.<\/p><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><em>And How It Made Me Think of Hitler<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>12 Dec 2025\u00a0<\/em>&#8211;\u00a0Mark Rutte\u2019s Berlin speech in December 2025 has been hailed as a wake\u2011up call for NATO. But the deeper truth is this: <strong>Rutte\u2019s speech is not about Russia and China at all.<\/strong> It is about NATO itself, and about the fundamental transformation of politics into psycho\u2011political theatre where rational policy has become impossible. The \u201cred threat\u201d he invoked is less an empirical reality than a stage device in a liturgical performance.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"header-anchor-post\">From Policy to Performance<\/h2>\n<p>Compared with a good month ago, Rutte\u2019s purpose is alarm\/urgency instead of agreement\/consensus. His tone is existential\/dramatic instead of pragmatic\/institutional. His focus was on the survival of Europe instead of the credibility of NATO, and hinting that more than 5% of GNP may be needed. His threat perception is now that \u201cRussia is already at our doorstep,\u201d and that China is behind it, where it was a more general enemy image and Ukraine focus in November 2025. Significantly and amateurishly, he condescendingly calls Putin \u201cthis guy.\u201d These are very significant <em>escalatory<\/em> changes.<\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=u8WAOGpAhx0&amp;t=10s\"  rel=\"\">Watch the full speech here<\/a>, delivered about 13 minutes after that of the German foreign minister, Wadephul, which is an intellectual bottom feeder in poor English. And here is <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nato.int\/en\/news-and-events\/events\/transcripts\/2025\/12\/11\/keynote-speech-by-nato-secretary-general-mark-rutte-and-moderated-discussion-with-the-minister-for-foreign-affairs-of-germany-johann-wadephul\"  rel=\"\">NATO\u2019s transcript of Rutte\u2019s speech<\/a>, should you prefer to study it more closely.<\/p>\n<p>Politics once meant rational calculation: weighing interests, negotiating compromises, balancing costs and probabilities. That paradigm has collapsed. In its place stands a new order: politics as performance. Leaders no longer persuade with evidence; they dramatise with sermons. Rutte\u2019s Berlin speech exemplifies this shift. His words were not analytical but eschatological: <em>\u201cRussia is already at our door. NATO and Europe could be Putin\u2019s next target.\u201d<\/em> This is not policy analysis; it is liturgy. (See postscript below, too).<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"header-anchor-post\">NATO as Church<\/h2>\n<p>The speech revealed NATO\u2019s metamorphosis into a church\u2011like institution.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Doctrine:<\/strong> NATO embodies goodness; Russia embodies evil.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Congregation:<\/strong> The Military\u2011Industrial\u2011Media\u2011Academic Complex, MIMAC, creates and repeats the creed.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Rituals:<\/strong> Summits, communiqu\u00e9s, budget votes, press conferences, and speeches function as sacred ceremonies.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Eschatology:<\/strong> The apocalypse \u2014 Russia\u2019s attack \u2014 is always imminent, never arriving, sustaining endless vigilance and ever-increasing military expenditures, never peace. It is not the purpose.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>In this church, Rutte plays the priest. His sermon is not about Russia\u2019s actual capabilities or intentions; it is about reaffirming NATO\u2019s faith in its own innocence and moral superiority. The congregation responds with offerings: pledges of 5% GDP for defence, tithes to the military\u2011industrial altar. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/transnational.live\/2022\/08\/18\/the-tff-abolish-nato-catalogue\/\"  rel=\"\">More about NATO as church in my 2022 abolish NATO analysis<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"header-anchor-post\">Psycho\u2011Pathological Rhetoric<\/h2>\n<p>Rutte\u2019s rhetoric falls squarely into a tradition that includes Saddam Hussein, George W. Bush, and Adolf Hitler. Each claimed to be surrounded by enemies, each insisted on the necessity of defence, and each justified aggression by projecting evil onto the other side. The formula is always the same: <em>we are threatened all the way around, and we must defend ourselves \u2014 no matter the reality.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Hitler invoked Versailles and \u201cJewish Bolshevism\u201d to justify expansion. Saddam invoked imperialism and Zionism to justify repression and war. Bush invoked weapons of mass destruction to justify the invasion. Rutte invokes Putin to justify NATO\u2019s expansion and militarisation. The psycho\u2011pathological script is identical: paranoia, projection, eschatology, and self\u2011sanctification.<\/p>\n<p>And here lies the danger: <strong>there is an increasing risk that the Rutte\u2011type of performance, whether intended or not, will have the same consequence for Europe as Hitler\u2019s did.<\/strong> Once politics becomes theatre of paranoia, escalation is not a possibility but a destiny.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"header-anchor-post\">The Absurd Stage<\/h2>\n<p>The absurdity of this transformation is striking. It resembles Ionesco\u2019s <em>The Chairs<\/em>, where the stage fills with empty chairs until there is no room left for the characters themselves. In NATO\u2019s theatre, the \u201cchairs\u201d are weapons, budgets, and warnings \u2014 multiplying endlessly until politics itself disappears. The room is filled with arsenals, slogans, and rituals, leaving no space for rational analysis or genuine diplomacy.<\/p>\n<p>Groupthink thrives in this closed theatre. Leaders, media, and academics repeat the same refrains, trapped inside the box of paranoia. The more they echo each other, the less reality intrudes. The absurdity is not comic but tragic: a self\u2011reinforcing ritual that consumes substance and replaces it with performance.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"header-anchor-post\">The Red Threat as Stage Device<\/h2>\n<p>The \u201cred threat\u201d is not a description of Russia\u2019s actual power. NATO remains technologically superior, vastly richer, and more expansive than Russia. Yet Rutte insists NATO is fragile, vulnerable, at risk of annihilation. This inversion of reality is the hallmark of absurd theatre: the stronger actor plays the victim, the weaker is cast as omnipotent aggressor. The red threat is a stage device, a prop that sustains the liturgy of fear.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"header-anchor-post\">Why Politics Has Changed<\/h2>\n<p>Readers will ask: Why has politics changed so dramatically? The answer lies in the decline of the West itself. The United States, NATO, and the European Union are facing the long arc of imperial exhaustion. Economic stagnation, social fragmentation, and geopolitical overreach have eroded confidence. As substance weakens, performance intensifies. The sermon replaces the policy because the empire no longer has coherent strategies to offer.<\/p>\n<p>Rutte\u2019s speech is therefore not only a symptom of NATO\u2019s paranoia but of the West\u2019s decline. The liturgical theatre of threat and innocence is the last refuge of a system that senses its own fragility. The louder the sermons, the weaker the empire beneath them.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"header-anchor-post\">The Existential Change<\/h2>\n<p>The tragic fact is that Rutte\u2019s speech demonstrates the <strong>end of rational politics.<\/strong> There is no longer space for cohesive, analytical policy. What remains is performance: sermons of paranoia, rituals of spending, choruses of media repetition. Politics has mutated into psycho\u2011religious theatre, where leaders preach, congregations respond, and the apocalypse is always imminent.<\/p>\n<p>Thus, the speech is not about Russia and China at all. It is about NATO\u2019s transformation into a church of paranoia and projection in which the sermon itself <em>is<\/em> the policy. The red threat is not a geopolitical reality but a liturgical necessity. And in this theatre \u2014 absurd, pathological, and imperial in decline \u2014 substance has vanished; only performance remains.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Post\u2011script<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The tragic transformation of politics described above makes it rather meaningless for an organisation like TFF to continue publishing rational analyses, as if today\u2019s world were still guided by reason, concepts from peace research, international relations, or political science. With few exceptions, the omnipresent geo\u2011politico\u2011military day-to-day commentators do not seem to have noticed this change and speak now into a vacuum \u2014 into something that once existed but no longer does.<\/p>\n<p>As TFF turns 40 on January 1, 2026, we therefore move in new directions \u2013 or do the same with new means and perspectives: <strong>toward idea\u2011producing visions and conceptual innovations that humanity will need in the multi\u2011nodal, networking world that will emerge after the fall of the US\/Western empire and its institutions.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Our basic mission remains the same: Promoting the UN norm of making peace by peaceful means. But either you adapt the methods and perspectives to the ways of the world or you perish \u2013 or stop. TFF does not stop. We believe in <strong>the fundamental \u2013 <\/strong><em><strong>superior<\/strong><\/em><strong> \u2013 values of nonviolence<\/strong>, educated conflict-management and peacemaking over primitive and kakistocratic urges of militarism and pathological war-mongering in the name of fake peace.<\/p>\n<p><em>__________________________________________<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/JanOberg-scaled-e1596967349638.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-166625\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/JanOberg-scaled-e1596967349638.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"100\" height=\"143\" \/><\/a> Prof. Jan Oberg, Ph.D. is director of the independent <\/em><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/transnational.live\/\" >Transnational Foundation for Peace &amp; Future Research-TF<\/a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/transnational.live\/\" >F<\/a><em> in Sweden and a member of the <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/\" >TRANSCEND Network for Peace Development Environment<\/a><em>. CV: <\/em><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/transnational.live\/jan-oberg\" ><em>https:\/\/transnational.live\/jan-oberg<\/em><\/a><em><br \/>\n<\/em><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/transnational.live\/\" ><em>https:\/\/transnational.live<\/em><\/a><em>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/thetransnational.substack.com\/p\/nato-ruttes-berlin-speech-not-about?utm_source=post-email-title&amp;publication_id=1655621&amp;post_id=181429992&amp;utm_campaign=email-post-title&amp;isFreemail=true&amp;r=b6biw&amp;triedRedirect=true&amp;utm_medium=email\" >Go to Original &#8211; thetransnational.substack.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>12 Dec 2025\u00a0&#8211;\u00a0And How It Made Me Think of Hitler<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":309796,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[40],"tags":[682,91,109,278],"class_list":["post-309795","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-transcend-members","tag-hitler","tag-nato","tag-politics","tag-russia"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/309795","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=309795"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/309795\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":309798,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/309795\/revisions\/309798"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/309796"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=309795"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=309795"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=309795"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}