{"id":314760,"date":"2026-04-06T12:00:13","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T11:00:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/?p=314760"},"modified":"2026-04-06T13:35:31","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T12:35:31","slug":"trumps-hormuz-masterstroke-how-russia-and-china-just-hit-the-geopolitical-jackpot","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/2026\/04\/trumps-hormuz-masterstroke-how-russia-and-china-just-hit-the-geopolitical-jackpot\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump\u2019s Hormuz \u201cMasterstroke\u201d: How Russia and China Just Hit the Geopolitical Jackpot"},"content":{"rendered":"

And Why the World May Never Look the Same<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

5 Apr 2026\u00a0<\/em>– There\u2019s an old saying: never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake<\/em>.<\/p>\n

Apparently, Donald Trump never got the memo.<\/p>\n

In the grand theater of 2026 geopolitics, the United States (with a little help from Israel) decided it was the perfect moment to escalate with Iran. Result? Iran did what Iran has threatened to do for decades: it turned the Strait of Hormuz \u2014 the narrow throat through which roughly 20 % of the planet\u2019s oil flows \u2014 into a very expensive, very Iranian-controlled toll booth.<\/p>\n

Ships now pay up to $1\u20132 million per passage (yes, you read that right). Oil prices? They didn\u2019t just \u201cgo up.\u201d They\u00a0launched<\/em>. And while Washington clutches its pearls and American drivers stare at $7\u20138 gasoline, two countries are quietly popping champagne in the background: Russia and China.<\/p>\n

Let\u2019s do the math the polite way (because even sarcasm deserves neat equations).<\/p>\n

Russia: The Accidental Energy Czar<\/strong><\/p>\n

For Moscow, this is less a windfall and more a love letter from the gods of unintended consequences.<\/p>\n

Russia\u2019s budget is basically a one-line spreadsheet:<\/p>\n

Revenue \u2248 Oil Price \u00d7 Barrels Sold<\/p>\n

When the price of a barrel jumps from ~$70 to $110\u2013$120 (and analysts whisper it could flirt with $150 if the strait stays spicy), that equation turns into pure rocket fuel.<\/p>\n

Even before the Hormuz squeeze, Russia was already selling discounted crude to anyone with a tanker and a shrug. Now? Buyers are\u00a0lining up<\/em>. India, China, and a dozen others are happily paying premium prices for Russian oil that suddenly looks like a bargain compared to the Persian Gulf roulette wheel.<\/p>\n

Putin doesn\u2019t even have to pretend anymore. The money pouring in will keep the Ukraine war machine humming, the ruble stable, and the oligarchs smiling. All while the West lectures itself about \u201cenergy independence\u201d and watches its own sanctions policy evaporate like morning dew on a Siberian pipeline.<\/p>\n

Beautiful. Just beautiful.<\/p>\n

China: The Patient Dragon<\/strong><\/p>\n

Beijing\u2019s win is subtler, colder, and frankly more elegant.<\/p>\n

Yes, China imports a lot of oil. Short-term pain? Undeniable. But look closer.<\/p>\n

While the West pays full price at the pump and burns through strategic reserves, China is quietly locking in long-term discounted contracts with both Russia and Iran. The same countries the U.S. just pushed closer together.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, every extra dollar spent on oil by Europe and America weakens the dollar\u2019s grip a little more. Every tanker forced to pay Iran\u2019s new \u201cHormuz tax\u201d reminds the world that the old maritime rules were written in Washington\u2026 and are now being rewritten in Tehran, Moscow, and Beijing.<\/p>\n

Translation: the petrodollar just got a very public middle finger.<\/em><\/p>\n

And while the U.S. Navy is babysitting a 21-mile-wide strait, who\u2019s minding the South China Sea? Or Taiwan? Or the next BRICS summit where they\u2019ll probably announce another clever way to trade oil in yuan and rubles?<\/p>\n

China didn\u2019t fire a shot. It just watched its rivals hand it the strategic equivalent of a Get-Out-of-Dependence-Free card.<\/p>\n

The Bigger Picture: A World That Just Tilted East<\/strong><\/p>\n

This isn\u2019t just about oil prices. It\u2019s about narrative collapse.<\/p>\n

For decades the story was simple: the U.S. is the indispensable guarantor of global energy flows. Disrupt that flow at your peril.<\/p>\n

Now the new story is: the U.S. poked the hornet\u2019s nest, the hornets charged tolls, and the two countries the U.S. most wants to contain are the ones cashing the checks.<\/p>\n

Welcome to multipolarity, population 8 billion. Population of people still believing in American unipolar dominance? Shrinking fast.<\/p>\n

The Strait of Hormuz toll is the new Suez Canal tax \u2014 only this time the \u201ccanal\u201d belongs to the guys Washington spent years trying to isolate. The mousetrap didn\u2019t just snap shut on Trump\u2019s ankle. It snapped shut on the entire post-1945 assumption that the Middle East is the US playground.<\/p>\n

Russia gets richer.<\/p>\n

China gets stronger.<\/p>\n

And the rest of the world? It gets the message loud and clear: the age of easy US dominance just got a very expensive, very public receipt.<\/p>\n

Trump wanted to be the guy who \u201cended endless wars.\u201d<\/p>\n

Instead, he may have accidentally turbo-charged the rise of the very bloc he spent his career warning us about.<\/p>\n

Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake\u2026 especially when that enemy is you.<\/p>\n

History will call it the Hormuz Irony.<\/p>\n

Putin and Xi are already calling it Tuesday. (1)<\/p>\n

Note:<\/strong><\/p>\n

(1) Calling it Tuesday: \u00abNormalizing chaos\u00bb .<\/p>\n

_____________________________________________<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a> Diran Noubar, an Italian-Armenian born in France, has lived in 11 countries until he moved to Armenia. He is a world-renowned, critically-acclaimed documentary filmmaker and war reporter. Starting in the early 2000\u2019s in New York City, Diran produced and directed over 20 full-length documentary films. He is also a singer\/songwriter and guitarist in his own band and runs a nonprofit charity organization, <\/em>wearemenia.org<\/em><\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

5 Apr 2026\u00a0– And Why the World May Never Look the Same – There\u2019s an old saying: never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake. Apparently, Donald Trump never got the memo.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":291345,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[225],"tags":[244,742,2941,613,2829,253,278,3927,249,70,1038],"class_list":["post-314760","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-spotlight","tag-china","tag-iran","tag-multipolar-world-order","tag-new-world-order","tag-petrodollar","tag-putin","tag-russia","tag-strait-of-hormuz","tag-trump","tag-usa","tag-xi-jinping"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/314760","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=314760"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/314760\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":314796,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/314760\/revisions\/314796"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/291345"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=314760"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=314760"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=314760"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}