{"id":48462,"date":"2014-10-13T12:00:12","date_gmt":"2014-10-13T11:00:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/?p=48462"},"modified":"2015-05-05T21:29:40","modified_gmt":"2015-05-05T20:29:40","slug":"china-just-overtook-the-us-as-the-worlds-largest-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/2014\/10\/china-just-overtook-the-us-as-the-worlds-largest-economy\/","title":{"rendered":"China Just Overtook the US as the World&#8217;s Largest Economy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>8 Oct 2014 &#8211; Sorry, America. China just overtook the US to become the world&#8217;s largest economy, according to the International Monetary Fund.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Chris Giles at the Financial Times <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/ftalphaville.ft.com\/2014\/10\/07\/1998332\/moneysupply-the-new-world-economy-in-four-charts\/\" >flagged up the change<\/a>. He also alerted us in April that it was <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ft.com\/cms\/s\/0\/d79ffff8-cfb7-11e3-9b2b-00144feabdc0.html\" >all about to happen<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Basically, the method used by the IMF adjusts for purchasing power parity, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.imf.org\/external\/pubs\/ft\/fandd\/2007\/03\/basics.htm\" >explained here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The simple logic is that prices aren&#8217;t the same in each country: A shirt will cost you less in Shanghai than in San Francisco, so it&#8217;s not entirely reasonable to compare countries without taking this into account.\u00a0Though a typical person in China earns a lot less than the typical person in the US, simply converting a Chinese salary into dollars underestimates how much purchasing power that individual, and therefore that country, might have. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.economist.com\/content\/big-mac-index\" >The Economist&#8217;s Big Mac Index<\/a>\u00a0is a great example of these disparities.<\/p>\n<p>So the IMF measures both GDP in market-exchange terms and in terms of purchasing power. On the purchasing-power basis, China is overtaking the US right about now and becoming the world&#8217;s biggest economy.<\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;ve just gone past that crossover on the chart below, according to the IMF. By the end of 2014, China will make up 16.48% of the world&#8217;s purchasing-power adjusted GDP (or $17.632 trillion), and the US will make up just 16.28% (or $17.416 trillion):<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_48463\" style=\"width: 634px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/china-usa-purchasing-power-imf-largest-economy.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-48463\" class=\"wp-image-48463\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/china-usa-purchasing-power-imf-largest-economy-1024x485.jpg\" alt=\"Adjusted for purchasing power, China's economy is now the world's largest. IMF, Google Public Data Explorer\" width=\"624\" height=\"296\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/china-usa-purchasing-power-imf-largest-economy-1024x485.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/china-usa-purchasing-power-imf-largest-economy-300x142.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/china-usa-purchasing-power-imf-largest-economy.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 624px) 100vw, 624px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-48463\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Adjusted for purchasing power, China&#8217;s economy is now the world&#8217;s largest.<br \/> IMF, Google Public Data Explorer<\/p><\/div>\n<p>It&#8217;s not all sour news for the US. It&#8217;ll be some time yet until the lines cross over in raw terms, not adjusted for purchasing power. By that measure, China still sits more than $6.5 trillion lower than the US and isn&#8217;t likely to overtake for quite some time:<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_48464\" style=\"width: 634px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/china-usa-purchasing-power-imf-largest-economy2.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-48464\" class=\"wp-image-48464\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/china-usa-purchasing-power-imf-largest-economy2-1024x492.jpg\" alt=\"But in terms of the raw market value of China's currency, it still has a long way to go. IMF, Google Public Data Explorter\" width=\"624\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/china-usa-purchasing-power-imf-largest-economy2-1024x492.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/china-usa-purchasing-power-imf-largest-economy2-300x144.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/china-usa-purchasing-power-imf-largest-economy2.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 624px) 100vw, 624px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-48464\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">But in terms of the raw market value of China&#8217;s currency, it still has a long way to go.<br \/> IMF, Google Public Data Explorter<\/p><\/div>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/china-overtakes-us-as-worlds-largest-economy-2014-10\" >Go to Original \u2013 businessinsider.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>8 Oct 2014 &#8211; Sorry, America. China just overtook the US to become the world&#8217;s largest economy, according to the International Monetary Fund.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[146],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48462","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48462","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48462"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48462\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48462"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48462"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48462"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}