{"id":67952,"date":"2015-12-21T12:02:46","date_gmt":"2015-12-21T12:02:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/?p=67952"},"modified":"2015-12-21T05:19:42","modified_gmt":"2015-12-21T05:19:42","slug":"silence-please-a-new-middle-east-is-in-the-making","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/2015\/12\/silence-please-a-new-middle-east-is-in-the-making\/","title":{"rendered":"Silence, Please! A New Middle East Is in the Making"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Baher<\/a>

Baher Kamal<\/p><\/div>\n

Baher Kamal, a Spanish national of Egyptian origin presents his views on the current Middle East situation and its future. <\/em><\/p>\n

14 Dec 2015 – <\/em>When, in June 2006, former US National Security adviser and, later on, Secretary of State, Condoleezza Rice, spelled out the George W. Bush administration new, magic doctrine for the Middle East, tons of ink was poured and millions of words said in a harsh attempt to speculate with what she really did mean by what she called \u201cCreative Chaos.\u201d<\/p>\n

Most Middle East analysts concluded then that the new doctrine would lead to or build upon a new wave of conflicts and violence in the region.<\/p>\n

Whether they were right or not, this is at least what has been happening. No Need to recall what is now going on in Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Libya and even Tunisia and Egypt-\u2013the so-called \u201cArab Spring\u201d countries.<\/p>\n

Now another U.S. neo-liberal, neo-conservative Republican \u201chawk,\u201d John R. Bolton, has just come out with a new vision that might explain the rational behind that \u201cCreative Chaos\u201d doctrine.<\/p>\n

\u201cCreate a New State\u201d<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

In his recent article in the New York Times, published on 25 November 2015 under the eloquent header \u201cTo Defeat ISIS, Create a Sunni State<\/a><\/em>\u201d this scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, and former US ambassador to the United Nations (August 2005 to December 2006), poses this question: \u201cWhat comes after the Islamic State?<\/em>\u201d
\nBolton then explains that \u201cBefore transforming Mr. Obama\u2019s ineffective efforts into a vigorous military campaign to destroy the Islamic State, we need a clear view, shared with NATO allies and others, about what will replace it. It is critical to resolve this issue before considering any operational plans\u2026<\/em>\u201d<\/p>\n

Iraq and Syria Are Gone!<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

According to Bolton -who could hold a key post in the US coming administration should a Republican like Donald Trump be elected- \u201cToday\u2019s reality is that Iraq and Syria as we have known them are gone\u2026<\/em>\u201d<\/p>\n

He then says that defeating the Islamic State means restoring to power President Bashar Assad in Syria and Iran\u2019s puppets in Iraq, and \u201cthat outcome is neither feasible nor desirable\u2026 Rather than striving to recreate the post-World War I map, Washington should recognize the new geopolitics.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cThe best alternative to the Islamic State in northeastern Syria and western Iraq is a new, independent Sunni state.<\/em>\u201d<\/p>\n

An Oil Producer \u201cSunni-stan\u201d<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Bolton explains further: This \u201cSunni-stan\u201d has economic potential as an oil producer (subject to negotiation with the Kurds, to be sure), and could be a bulwark against both Mr. Assad and Iran-allied Baghdad. The rulers of the Arab Gulf states, who should by now have learned the risk to their own security of funding Islamist extremism, could provide significant financing. And Turkey \u2014 still a NATO ally, don\u2019t forget \u2014 would enjoy greater stability on its southern border, making the existence of a new state at least tolerable.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

He believes that the Arab monarchies like Saudi Arabia \u201cmust not only fund much of the new state\u2019s early needs, but also ensure its stability and resistance to radical forces. Once, we might have declared a Jordanian \u201cprotectorate\u201d in an American \u201csphere of influence\u201d for now, a new state will do.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

Bolton\u2019s visionary plan for the new Middle East would then explain what has been behind the \u201cCreative Chaos\u201d doctrine. And it would clearly revamp the nearly 100-year-old Sykes-Picot map (link to Middle East Part II \u2013 99.5 Years of (Imposed) Solitude<\/em> http:\/\/www.ipsnews.net\/2015\/12\/middle-east-part-ii-99-5-years-of-imposed-solitude\/<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Such vision would be just another step on the successive US-West roadmaps for the region. In fact, in addition to the \u201cCreative Chaos\u201d doctrine, the George W. Bush second term administration came out with a new name for the region: the \u201cGreater Middle East,\u201d which would include Pakistan, Afghanistan, Turkey, Cyprus, Somalia, and eventually also Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan.<\/p>\n

The Middle East Is \u201cServed\u201d, the \u201cCreative Chaos\u201d Has Worked<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

The \u201cCreative Chaos\u201d has turned to be a reality. The whole region has been boiling specially over the last five years. Violence, death and terrorism have been rapidly growing everywhere: Iraq, Libya, Syria, Yemen, Sudan, even in Tunisia. Tensions between Arabian Peninsula kingdoms and principalities and Iran,all of them oil producers, have been ramping.<\/p>\n

Mercenary groups, under a more than doubtful religious flag have been gradually dominating the region and tragically though sporadically also some Western countries.<\/p>\n

In short, the scenario could not be more \u201cchaotic\u201d. The new Middle East has been served.<\/p>\n

The Doors of Hell Are All Open<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Though Bolton\u2019s vision should not be taken for \u201cbiblical,\u201d things could well go in that direction.<\/p>\n

For now, (Shii-ruled) Iraq has warned (Sunni) Turkey against deploying its troops in the DAESH-controlled Mosul area; Washington paves the ground for further military actions in conjunction with the axis Paris-London; (Sunni Wahhabi Saudi Arabia works intensively with (Sunni) Egypt for setting up a joint Army\/military intervention force to fight terrorism, and (Shii) Iran warns that any attempt to remove Assad in (Alaui) Syria is a \u201cred line\u201d, etc.<\/p>\n

One last question, for now: where would DAESH go once it has been militarily defeated? Libya would appear to be the next DAESH stronghold. After all, this country lacks stability, is full of weapons (up to 25 million arms) out of the government\u2019s control, it is a big oil producer, and DAESH has an active operational branch there.<\/p>\n

And, should this be the case, would DAESH further expand its deadly operations from Libya to neighbouring countries like Egypt, Tunisia and Morocco, in addition to some Africans countries in conjunction with Nigerian Boko-Haram?<\/p>\n

Go to Original \u2013 ipsnews.net<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

When, in June 2006, former US National Security adviser and, later on, Secretary of State, Condoleezza Rice, spelled out the George W. Bush administration new, magic doctrine for the Middle East, tons of ink was poured and millions of words said in a harsh attempt to speculate with what she really did mean by what she called \u201cCreative Chaos.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[66],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-67952","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-middle-east-north-africa"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67952","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=67952"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67952\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=67952"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=67952"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=67952"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}