{"id":86053,"date":"2017-01-30T12:00:22","date_gmt":"2017-01-30T12:00:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/?p=86053"},"modified":"2017-01-29T14:19:10","modified_gmt":"2017-01-29T14:19:10","slug":"doomsday-clock-moves-ahead-it-is-now-two-and-a-half-minutes-to-midnight","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/2017\/01\/doomsday-clock-moves-ahead-it-is-now-two-and-a-half-minutes-to-midnight\/","title":{"rendered":"Doomsday Clock Moves Ahead: It Is Now Two and a Half Minutes to Midnight"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/DoomsdayClock-2017.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-thumbnail wp-image-86056\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/DoomsdayClock-2017-150x150.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" \/><\/a><em>25 Jan 2017<\/em><strong> \u2013\u00a0<\/strong>It is now two and a half minutes to midnight.\u00a0 For the first time in the 70-year history of the Doomsday Clock, the <em>Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists<\/em>\u2019 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/thebulletin.org\/science-and-security-board\" >Science and Security Board<\/a> has moved the hands of the iconic clock 30 seconds closer to midnight. In another first, the Board has decided to act, in part, based on the words of a single person:\u00a0 Donald Trump, the new President of the United States.<\/p>\n<p>The decision to move the hands of the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/thebulletin.org\/doomsday-clockwork8052\" >Doomsday Clock<\/a> is made by the Science and Security Board of the <em>Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists<\/em>in consultation with the <em>Bulletin<\/em>\u2019s Board of Sponsors, which includes 15 Nobel Laureates.\u00a0 The Science and Security Board\u2019s <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/thebulletin.org\/sites\/default\/files\/Final%202017%20Clock%20Statement.pdf\" >full statement<\/a> about the Clock is available online.<\/p>\n<p>In January 2016, the Doomsday Clock\u2019s minute hand did not change, remaining at three minutes before midnight. The Clock was changed in 2015 from five to three minutes to midnight, the closest it had been since the arms race of the 1980s.<\/p>\n<p>In the statement about the Doomsday Clock, the <em>Bulletin<\/em>\u2019s Science and Security Board notes: \u201cOver the course of 2016, the global security landscape darkened as the international community failed to come effectively to grips with humanity\u2019s most pressing existential threats, nuclear weapons and climate change \u2026 This already-threatening world situation was the backdrop for a rise in strident nationalism worldwide in 2016, including in a US presidential campaign during which the eventual victor, Donald Trump, made disturbing comments about the use and proliferation of nuclear weapons and expressed disbelief in the overwhelming scientific consensus on climate change \u2026The board\u2019s decision to move the clock less than a full minute \u2014 something it has never before done \u2014 reflects a simple reality: As this statement is issued, Donald Trump has been the US president only a matter of days \u2026\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The statement continues: \u201cJust the same, words matter, and President Trump has had plenty to say over the last year. Both his statements and his actions as President-elect have broken with historical precedent in unsettling ways. He has made ill-considered comments about expanding the US nuclear arsenal. He has shown a troubling propensity to discount or outright reject expert advice related to international security, including the conclusions of intelligence experts. And his nominees to head the Energy Department, and the Environmental Protection Agency dispute the basics of climate science. In short, even though he has just now taken office, the president\u2019s intemperate statements, lack of openness to expert advice, and questionable cabinet nominations have already made a bad international security situation worse.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/doomsday-clock-timeline.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-86058\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/doomsday-clock-timeline.jpg\" width=\"600\" height=\"450\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/doomsday-clock-timeline.jpg 870w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/doomsday-clock-timeline-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/doomsday-clock-timeline-768x576.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>In addition to addressing the statements made by President Trump, the Board also expressed concern about the greater global context of nuclear and climate issues:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>On nuclear issues, the Board noted: \u201cThe United States and Russia\u2014which together possess more than 90 percent of the world\u2019s nuclear weapons\u2014remained at odds in a variety of theaters, from Syria to Ukraine to the borders of NATO; both countries continued wide-ranging modernizations of their nuclear forces, and serious arms control negotiations were nowhere to be seen.North Korea conducted its fourth and fifth underground nuclear tests and gave every indication it would continue to develop nuclear weapons delivery capabilities. Threats of nuclear warfare hung in the background as Pakistan and India faced each other warily across the Line of Control in Kashmir after militants attacked two Indian army bases.\u201d<\/li>\n<li>In surveying the status of climate matters, the Board concluded: \u201cThe climate change outlook was somewhat less dismal (in 2016) \u2014but only somewhat. In the wake of the landmark Paris climate accord, the nations of the world have taken some actions to combat climate change, and global carbon dioxide emissions were essentially flat in 2016, compared to the previous year. Still, they have not yet started to decrease; the world continues to warm. Keeping future temperatures at less-than-catastrophic levels requires reductions in greenhouse gas emissions far beyond those agreed to in Paris\u2014yet little appetite for additional cuts was in evidence at the November climate conference in Marrakech.\u201d<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Rachel Bronson, executive director and publisher, <em>Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists<\/em>, said:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>\u201cAs we marked the 70<sup>th<\/sup> anniversary of the Doomsday Clock, this year\u2019s Clock deliberations felt more urgent than usual. In addition to the existential threats posed by nuclear weapons and climate change, new global realities emerged, as trusted sources of information came under attack, fake news was on the rise, and words were used by a President-elect of the United States in cavalier and often reckless ways to address the twin threats of nuclear weapons and climate change.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Lawrence Krauss, chair,\u00a0<em>Bulletin<\/em>\u00a0Board of Sponsors, director, Origins Project at Arizona State University,\u00a0and foundation professor, School of Earth and Space Exploration and Physics Department, Arizona State University, said:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>\u201cWise men and women have said that public policy is never made in the absence of politics. But in this unusual political year, we offer a corollary: Good policy takes account of politics but is never made in the absence of expertise. Facts are indeed stubborn things, and they must be taken into account if the future of humanity is to be preserved, long term. Nuclear weapons and climate change are precisely the sort of complex existential threats that cannot be properly managed without access to and reliance on expert knowledge. In 2016, world leaders not only failed to deal adequately with those threats; they actually increased the risk of nuclear war and unchecked climate change through a variety of provocative statements and actions, including careless rhetoric about the use of nuclear weapons and the wanton defiance of scientific evidence. To step further back from the brink will require leaders of vision and restraint. \u00a0President Trump and President Putin can choose to act together as statesmen, or as petulant children, risking our future. \u00a0We call upon all people to speak out and send a loud message to your leaders so that they do not needlessly threaten your future, and the future of your children.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Retired Rear Admiral David Titley, <em>Bulletin <\/em>Science and Security Board; professor of practice, Pennsylvania State University Department of Meteorology, and founding director, Penn State\u2019s Center for Solutions to Weather and Climate Risk, said:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>\u201cClimate change should not be a partisan issue. The well-established physics of Earth\u2019s carbon cycle is neither liberal nor conservative in character. The planet will continue to warm to ultimately dangerous levels so long as carbon dioxide continues to be pumped into the atmosphere\u2014 irrespective of political leadership.\u00a0 The current political situation in the United States is of particular concern.\u00a0 The Trump administration needs to state clearly and unequivocally that it accepts climate change, caused by human activity, as reality.\u00a0 No problem can be solved unless its existence is first recognized. There are no \u2018alternative facts\u2019 here\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Download pdf file: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/2017-Doomsday-Clock-Statement.pdf\" >2017 Doomsday Clock Statement<\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><u>____________________________________<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists engages science leaders, policy makers, and the interested public on topics of nuclear weapons and disarmament, the changing energy landscape, climate change, and emerging technologies. With smart, vigorous prose, multimedia presentations, and information graphics, the Bulletin puts issues and events into context and provides fact-based debates and assessments. For 70 years, the Bulletin has bridged the technology divide between scientific research, foreign policy and public engagement. See more at: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/thebulletin.org\/\" >http:\/\/thebulletin.org<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>Founded in 1945 by University of Chicago scientists who had helped develop the first atomic weapons in the Manhattan Project, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists created the Doomsday Clock two years later, using the imagery of apocalypse (midnight) and the contemporary idiom of nuclear explosion (countdown to zero) to convey threats to humanity and the planet. The decision to move (or to leave in place) the minute hand of the Doomsday Clock is made every year by the Bulletin\u2019s Science and Security Board in consultation with its Board of Sponsors, which includes 15 Nobel laureates. The Clock has become a universally recognized indicator of the world\u2019s vulnerability to catastrophe from nuclear weapons, climate change, and new technologies emerging in other domains.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/thebulletin.org\/press-release\/it-now-two-and-half-minutes-midnight10432\" >Go to Original \u2013 thebulletin.org<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>26 Jan 2017 \u2013 It is now two and a half minutes to midnight.  For the first time in the 70-year history of the Doomsday Clock, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists\u2019 Science and Security Board has moved the hands of the iconic clock 30 seconds closer to midnight. In another first, the Board has decided to act, in part, based on the words of a single person:  Donald Trump, the new President of the United States.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[68],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-86053","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-weapons-of-mass-destruction"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86053","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=86053"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86053\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=86053"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=86053"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=86053"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}