{"id":92787,"date":"2017-05-22T12:00:20","date_gmt":"2017-05-22T11:00:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/?p=92787"},"modified":"2017-05-21T15:46:34","modified_gmt":"2017-05-21T14:46:34","slug":"you-and-almost-everyone-you-know-owe-your-life-to-this-man","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/2017\/05\/you-and-almost-everyone-you-know-owe-your-life-to-this-man\/","title":{"rendered":"You (and Almost Everyone You Know) Owe Your Life to This Man"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>Temperament matters. Especially when nuclear weapons are involved.<\/em><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_92788\" style=\"width: 710px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/01_cuban_missile_crisis.ngsversion.1495247954892.adapt_.590.1-kennedy.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-92788\" class=\"wp-image-92788\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/01_cuban_missile_crisis.ngsversion.1495247954892.adapt_.590.1-kennedy.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"497\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/01_cuban_missile_crisis.ngsversion.1495247954892.adapt_.590.1-kennedy.jpg 590w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/01_cuban_missile_crisis.ngsversion.1495247954892.adapt_.590.1-kennedy-300x213.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-92788\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">President John F. Kennedy (L) speaks during a televised speech to the nation about the strategic blockade of Cuba, and his warning to the Soviet Union about missile sanctions, during the Cuban missile crisis October 24, 1962 in Washington, DC. Photograph by Getty Images<\/p><\/div>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>Published 25 Mar 2016<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Temperament matters.<\/p>\n<p>Especially when nuclear weapons are involved and you don\u2019t\u2014you can\u2019t\u2014know what the enemy is up to, and you\u2019re scared. Then it helps (it helps a lot) to be calm.<\/p>\n<p>The world owes an enormous debt to a quiet, steady Russian naval officer who probably saved my life. And yours. And everyone you know. Even those of you who weren\u2019t yet born. I want to tell his story&#8230;<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_92789\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/cuban-missile-crisis.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-92789\" class=\"wp-image-92789\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/cuban-missile-crisis.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"438\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/cuban-missile-crisis.jpg 352w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/cuban-missile-crisis-205x300.jpg 205w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-92789\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Photograph by NY Daily News Archive, Getty<\/p><\/div>\n<p>It\u2019s October 1962, the height of the Cuban missile crisis, and there\u2019s a Soviet submarine in the Caribbean that\u2019s been spotted by the American Navy. President Kennedy has blockaded Cuba. No sea traffic is permitted through.<\/p>\n<p>The sub is hiding in the ocean, and the Americans are dropping depth charges left and right of the hull. Inside, the sub is rocking, shaking with each new explosion. What the Americans don\u2019t know is that this sub has a tactical nuclear torpedo on board, available to launch, and that the Russian captain is asking himself, Shall I fire?<\/p>\n<p>This actually happened.<\/p>\n<p>The Russian in question, an exhausted, nervous submarine commander named Valentin Savitsky, decided to do it. He ordered the nuclear-tipped missile readied. His second in command approved the order. Moscow hadn\u2019t communicated with its sub for days. Eleven U.S. Navy ships were nearby, all possible targets. The nuke on this missile had roughly the power of the bomb at Hiroshima.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u201cWe\u2019re gonna blast them now!\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Temperatures in the submarine had climbed above 100 degrees. The air-conditioning system was broken, and the ship couldn\u2019t surface without being exposed. The captain felt doomed. Vadim Orlov, an intelligence officer who was there, remembers a particularly loud blast: \u201cThe Americans hit us with something stronger than the grenades\u2014apparently with a practice depth bomb,\u201d <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/cornerstone.gmu.edu\/articles\/4198\" >he wrote later<\/a>. \u201cWe thought, That\u2019s it, the end.\u201d And that\u2019s when, he says, the Soviet captain shouted, \u201cMaybe the war has already started up there \u2026 We\u2019re gonna blast them now! We will die, but we will sink them all\u2014we will not become the shame of the fleet.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Had Savitsky launched his torpedo, had he vaporized a U.S. destroyer or aircraft carrier, the U.S. would probably have responded with nuclear-depth charges, \u201cthus,\u201d wrote Russian archivist <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/belfercenter.ksg.harvard.edu\/files\/CMC50\/SavranskayaJSSNewsourcesonroleofSovietsubmarinesinCMC.pdf\" >Svetlana Savranskaya<\/a>, understating wildly, \u201cstarting a chain of inadvertent developments, which could have led to catastrophic consequences.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>But it didn\u2019t happen, because that\u2019s when Vasili Alexandrovich Arkhipov steps into the story.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_92790\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/Vasili-Alexandrovich-Arkhipov-cuban-missile-crisis.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-92790\" class=\"wp-image-92790\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/Vasili-Alexandrovich-Arkhipov-cuban-missile-crisis.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"366\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/Vasili-Alexandrovich-Arkhipov-cuban-missile-crisis.jpg 590w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/Vasili-Alexandrovich-Arkhipov-cuban-missile-crisis-246x300.jpg 246w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-92790\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Vasili Alexandrovich Arkhipov. Photo courtesy of M. Yarovskaya and A. Labunskaya<\/p><\/div>\n<p>He was 34 at the time. Good looking, with a full head of hair and something like a spit curl dangling over his forehead. He was Savitsky\u2019s equal, the flotilla commander responsible for three Russian subs on this secret mission to Cuba\u2014and he is maybe one of the quietest, most unsung heroes of modern times.<\/p>\n<p>What he said to Savitsky we will never know, not exactly. But, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.latinamericanstudies.org\/cold-war\/sovietsbomb.htm\" >says Thomas Blanton<\/a>, the former director of the nongovernmental <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/nsarchive.gwu.edu\/\" >National Security Archive<\/a>, simply put, this \u201cguy called Vasili Arkhipov saved the world.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Arkhipov, described by his wife as a modest, soft-spoken man, simply talked Savitsky down.<\/p>\n<p>The exact details are controversial. The way it\u2019s usually told is that each of the three Soviet submarine captains in the ocean around Cuba had the power to launch a nuclear torpedo if\u2014and only if\u2014he had the consent of all three senior officers on board. On his sub, Savitsky gave the order and got one supporting vote, but Arkhipov balked. He wouldn\u2019t go along.<\/p>\n<p>He argued that this <em>was not an attack.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The official Soviet debriefs are still secret, but a Russian reporter, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/nsarchive.gwu.edu\/NSAEBB\/NSAEBB75\/\" >Alexander Mozgovoi<\/a>, an <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/October-Fury-Peter-A-Huchthausen\/dp\/0471468843\" >American writer<\/a>, and eyewitness testimony from intelligence officer Orlov suggest that Arkhipov told the captain that the ship was not in danger. It was being asked to surface. Dropping depth charges left then right, noisy but always off target\u2014those are signals, Arkhipov argued. They say, We know you\u2019re there. Identify yourselves. Come up and talk. We intend no harm.<\/p>\n<p><strong>What\u2019s Happening?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The Russian crew couldn\u2019t tell what was going on above them: They\u2019d gone silent well before the crisis began. Their original orders were to go directly to Cuba, but then, without explanation, they\u2019d been ordered to stop and wait in the Caribbean. Orlov, who had lived in America, heard from American radio stations that Russia had secretly brought missiles to the island, that Cuba had shot down a U.S. spy plane, that President Kennedy had ordered the U.S. Navy to surround the island and let no one pass through. When Americans had spotted the sub, Savitsky had ordered it to drop deeper into the ocean, to get out of sight\u2014but that had cut them off. They couldn\u2019t hear (and didn\u2019t trust) U.S. media. For all they knew, the war had already begun.<\/p>\n<p>We don\u2019t know how long they argued. We do know that the nuclear weapons the Russians carried (each ship had just one, with a special guard who stayed with it, day and night) were to be used only if Russia itself had been attacked. Or if attack was imminent. Savitsky felt he had the right to fire first. Official Russian accounts insist he needed a direct order from Moscow, but Archipov\u2019s wife Olga says there was a confrontation.<\/p>\n<p>She and Ryurik Ketov, the gold-toothed captain of a nearby Russian sub, both heard the story directly from Vasili. Both believe him and say so in <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=qr_WkfOMx4c\" >this PBS documentary<\/a>. Some scenes are dramatized, but listen to what they say&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>httpv:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?time_continue=2700&amp;v=qr_WkfOMx4c<\/p>\n<p>As the drama unfolded, Kennedy worried that the Russians would mistake depth charges for an attack. When his defense secretary said the U.S. was dropping \u201cgrenade\u201d-size signals over the subs, the president winced. His brother Robert Kennedy <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/nsarchive.gwu.edu\/NSAEBB\/NSAEBB75\" >later said<\/a> that talk of depth charges \u201cwere the time of greatest worry to the President. His hand went up to his face [and] he closed his fist.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/cuban-missile-crisis2.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-92791\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/cuban-missile-crisis2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"161\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/cuban-missile-crisis2.jpg 590w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/cuban-missile-crisis2-300x161.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>Video Still From the PBS documentary, \u201c <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/qr_WkfOMx4c\" >Missile Crisis: The Man Who Saved the World<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The Russian command, for its part, had no idea how tough it was inside those subs. Anatoly Andreev, a crew member on a different, nearby sub, kept a journal, a continuing letter to his wife, that <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/programmes\/profiles\/3TqbLGqp2lxst1PkMbPyxdj\/captain-anatoly-andreev\" >described what it was like<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><em>For the last four days, they didn\u2019t even let us come up to the periscope depth\u2026 My head is bursting from the stuffy air\u2026 Today three sailors fainted from overheating again\u2026 The regeneration of air works poorly, the carbon dioxide content [is] rising, and the electric power reserves are dropping. Those who are free from their shifts, are sitting immobile, staring at one spot\u2026 Temperature in the sections is above 50 [122\u00baF].<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The debate between the captain and Arkhipov took place in an old, diesel-powered submarine designed for Arctic travel but stuck in a climate that was close to unendurable. And yet, Arkhipov kept his cool. After their confrontation, the missile was not readied for firing. Instead, the Russian sub rose to the surface, where it was met by a U.S. destroyer. The Americans didn\u2019t board. There were no inspections, so the U.S. Navy had no idea that there were nuclear torpedos on those subs\u2014and wouldn\u2019t know for around 50 years, when the former belligerents met at <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.archives.gov\/research\/alic\/reference\/military\/cuban-missile-crisis.html\" >a 50th reunion<\/a>. Instead, the Russians turned away from Cuba and headed north, back to Russia.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_92792\" style=\"width: 600px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/cuban-missile-crisis3.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-92792\" class=\"size-full wp-image-92792\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/cuban-missile-crisis3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"590\" height=\"474\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/cuban-missile-crisis3.jpg 590w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/cuban-missile-crisis3-300x241.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 590px) 100vw, 590px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-92792\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Photograph courtesy of U.S. National Archives, Still Pictures Branch, Record Group 428, Item 428-N-711199<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Looking back, it all came down to Arkhipov. Everyone agrees that he\u2019s the guy who stopped the captain. He\u2019s the one who stood in the way.<\/p>\n<p>He was, as best as we can tell, not punished by the Soviets. He was later promoted. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/belfercenter.ksg.harvard.edu\/files\/CMC50\/SavranskayaJSSNewsourcesonroleofSovietsubmarinesinCMC.pdf\" >Reporter Alexander Mozgovoi describes<\/a> how the Soviet Navy conducted a formal review and how the man in charge, Marshal Grachko, when told about conditions on those ships, \u201cremoved his glasses and hit them against the table in fury, breaking them into small pieces, and abruptly leaving the room after that.\u201d<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_92793\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/05-arkhipov-older.adapt_.590.1-cuban-missile-crisis.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-92793\" class=\"wp-image-92793\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/05-arkhipov-older.adapt_.590.1-cuban-missile-crisis.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"425\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/05-arkhipov-older.adapt_.590.1-cuban-missile-crisis.jpg 590w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/05-arkhipov-older.adapt_.590.1-cuban-missile-crisis-212x300.jpg 212w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-92793\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Photo courtesy of M. Yarovskaya and A. Labunskaya<\/p><\/div>\n<p>How Arkhipov (that\u2019s him up above) managed to keep his temper in all that heat, how he managed to persuade his frantic colleague, we can\u2019t say, but it helps to know that Arkhipov was already a Soviet hero. A year earlier he\u2019d been on another Soviet sub, the K-19, when the coolant system failed and the onboard nuclear reactor was in danger of meltdown. With no backup system, the captain ordered the crew to jerry-rig a repair, and Arkhipov, among others, got exposed to high levels of radiation. Twenty-two crew members died from radiation sickness over the next two years. Arkhipov wouldn\u2019t die until 1998, but it would be from kidney cancer, brought on, it\u2019s said, by exposure.<\/p>\n<p>Nuclear weapons are inherently dangerous. Handling them, using them, <em>not using them,<\/em> requires caution, care. Living as we do now with North Korea, Pakistani generals, jihadists, and who knows who\u2019ll be the next U.S. president, the world is very, very lucky that at one critical moment, someone calm enough, careful enough, and cool enough was there to say no.<\/p>\n<p>Thanks to Alex Wellerstein, author of the spectacular blog <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/blog.nuclearsecrecy.com\/\" >Restricted Data<\/a>, for his help guiding me to source material on this subject.<\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalgeographic.com\/contributors\/k\/robert-krulwich.html\" >________________________________________<\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/robert_krulwich_lg_-min.adapt_.352.1.jpg\" ><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft wp-image-92794\" src=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/robert_krulwich_lg_-min.adapt_.352.1-150x150.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"100\" height=\"131\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/robert_krulwich_lg_-min.adapt_.352.1-229x300.jpg 229w, https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/robert_krulwich_lg_-min.adapt_.352.1.jpg 352w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 100px) 100vw, 100px\" \/><\/a><strong><em><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalgeographic.com\/contributors\/k\/robert-krulwich\/\" >Robert Krulwich<\/a><\/em><\/strong><em> is a journalist and author of the National Geographic blog <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/news.nationalgeographic.com\/curiously-krulwich\/\" >Curiously Krulwich<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/news.nationalgeographic.com\/2016\/03\/you-and-almost-everyone-you-know-owe-your-life-to-this-man\/\" >Go to Original \u2013 nationalgeographic.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Temperament matters. Especially when nuclear weapons are involved. The world owes an enormous debt to a quiet, steady Russian naval officer who probably saved my life. And yours. And everyone you know. Even those of you who weren\u2019t yet born. I want to tell his story&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[225],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-92787","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-spotlight"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92787","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=92787"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92787\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=92787"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=92787"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=92787"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}