{"id":9806,"date":"2011-01-31T00:24:49","date_gmt":"2011-01-30T23:24:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/?p=9806"},"modified":"2018-10-13T11:37:57","modified_gmt":"2018-10-13T10:37:57","slug":"world-history-unfolding","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/2011\/01\/world-history-unfolding\/","title":{"rendered":"World History Unfolding I"},"content":{"rendered":"

From New York<\/em><\/p>\n

And then it happens, right there, for our eyes.\u00a0 The pattern, above all a product of the US-Israel alliance (inspired by Jesaiah 2:1-5), is unraveling.\u00a0 The pattern was always the same, by force or bribes or both to create “friendly governments”, “allies in the peace process” as VP Joe Biden–Obama’s foreign policy expert–says. These hours, these days.\u00a0 Some process.<\/p>\n

The pattern has five layers: Palestinians inside Israel; Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza; Israel’s Arab neighbors (Lebanon, Syria, Jordan, Egypt); the rest of the 22 Arab states; the rest of the 57 Muslim states.\u00a0 Knowing that 350 million Arabs and 1,560 million Muslims cannot be controlled directly they go for indirect control via the governments.\u00a0 Anything but serious efforts to solve the conflict(s), bombastically even referring to this low level policy as a \u201cpeace process”.\u00a0 A hopeless project, at most a short lasting unstable equilibrium.<\/p>\n

The unraveling has no precise starting point in space or time. Rather, it is a process, “peace by pieces”, resisted from the beginning. Palestinians inside Israel have been ambiguous, partly bribed into accepting 2nd<\/sup> class citizenship in a theocratic state.\u00a0 Palestinians outside have been divided, PLO\/Hamas being an important dividing line, West Bank\/Gaza another.\u00a0 After the revelations by Al Jazeera<\/em> and The Guardian<\/em> 24 January of the moral corruption of PLO negotiators Hamas is stronger than ever, with a base in Syria that never boarded the US-Israel Titanic.\u00a0 Lebanon is increasingly ruled by Hizbollah; in Jordan, where CIA outmaneuvered the peace oriented Crown Prince Hassan in favor of Abdullah, there is revolt.\u00a0 In Egypt much more so, Yemen and Somalia revolted long ago; things happen in Morocco, Algeria, Sudan, Mauritania.\u00a0 And behind and above looms a (neo-ottoman?) Turkey.<\/p>\n

Of course, there are at least two other issues at work, not only the machinations of the US-Israel alliance.\u00a0 There is the political issue of multi-party democracy with free and fair elections vs. dictatorship by one party, or autocracy by one ruler; of human rights vs. crushing the freedoms protected by them.\u00a0 And there is the economic issue of increasing misery and unemployment and inequality vs. sharing. The linkages between the three issues are often pointed out by demonstrators on posters about US-backed dictatorships and exploitation, about autocratic cliques and royal houses enriching themselves, etc.\u00a0 Which of the three is more important?\u00a0 All of them of course, it is a solid US-Western-Israeli nexus with such crucial points as London establishing a Jewish “homeland”–not defined in international law–in Palestine, cutting Palestine into two with Jordan serving as a buffer state protecting the oil of “mandated Iraq” and that very same Churchill using gas against Iraqi “barbarians” threatening civilization in their struggle for their homelands-all familiar themes.\u00a0 Till an Israel declared itself a state more afraid of a peace that could set limits to its zionist expansion than of war for expansion.<\/p>\n

Till history catches up with them, these weeks, these days.<\/p>\n

Which of the three factors the demonstrators, the rioters, choose to spin their rhetoric around will vary, like with the distance to Israel.\u00a0 Another is the longevity of the autocracy, like 20, 30 years. Yet another is pure tactics, how to make more allies, by denouncing the USA or by downplaying that theme? Some US commentators are celebrating no “down with US imperialism” in some revolts, and the focus on democracy and human rights, maybe planning how to manipulate elections and bribing with freshly printed Fort Knox bills.\u00a0\u00a0 Investment will be promised, known to benefit the rich more than the poor.\u00a0 Soon we will hear from China.<\/p>\n

But right now let us celebrate.\u00a0 By and large nonviolent revolts in most of Maghreb and Mashreq reveal the fragility of even global and regional superpowers.\u00a0 They now face moments of truth with WikiLeaks truths that no doubt inspired and ignited the masses up front. US commentators with unfailing talent for choosing wrong levels of analysis point to demonstrators being mostly young, educated and unemployed. Give them fellowship and jobs?\u00a0 Maybe they need some agility to jump up on a water cannon tank, some education to see through the massive propaganda, and be unemployed to have time off for political work in the streets, no fear of losing a job? Being denied expression in free elections maybe the demos<\/em>, the people, find ways of reclaiming power?<\/p>\n

I remember a meeting in Cairo 18 December addressing Cairo University professors on world trends, including in and around Israel and the USA, and rising inequality, predicting revolts.\u00a0 They said, our poor get poorer by the hour, but police and military make revolts impossible.\u00a0 I said that they might join being themselves repressed, exploited and alienated.\u00a0 And exactly that seems to have happened–and not only in Egypt–after initial brutality. A shock for the powers-that-were<\/em>, now collecting their gold for oasis life in Saudi Arabia.\u00a0 Also soon to go.<\/p>\n

And the USA?\u00a0 And Israel?\u00a0 An Israeli general recently revealed plans to attack Hamas and Hizbollah in Gaza and Lebanon.\u00a0 But many more plans are needed. \u00a0Attacking a Muslim Brotherhood guided Egypt?\u00a0 Maybe too much even for Israel and the USA, given that both hegemons have very serious polity and economy problems.<\/p>\n

Or, could this wave of people reclaiming foreign policy, the polity and economy from the clammy hands of small groups come to–miracle of all miracles<\/em>–hit the hegemons themselves?\u00a0 And open for a real peace process, involving everybody concerned?\u00a0 Inshallah.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

And then it happens, right there, for our eyes. The pattern, above all a product of the US-Israel alliance (inspired by Jesaiah 2:1-5), is unraveling. The pattern was always the same, by force or bribes or both to create “friendly governments”, “allies in the peace process” as VP Joe Biden–Obama’s foreign policy expert–says. These hours, these days. Some process.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9806","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-editorial"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9806","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9806"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9806\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9806"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9806"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.transcend.org\/tms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9806"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}