The Gaza Ceasefire Expands Israel’s Middle East Hegemony

PALESTINE ISRAEL GAZA GENOCIDE, 27 Oct 2025

Sakai Tanaka - TRANSCEND Media Service

21 Oct 2025 – On 14 Oct, the Gaza War came to an end. Hamas returned all 20 remaining hostages. It also returned the bodies of many of the dead hostages (the rest are buried under rubble). Israel lavishly praised Trump for achieving the ceasefire. However, fighting has since resumed. On 20 Oct, the Israeli military resumed attacks on Gaza, claiming that Hamas had attacked, claiming it was a retaliation. The Rafah checkpoint between Gaza and Egypt remains closed. There’s no sense of a ceasefire. It feels like a low-intensity war will continue indefinitely. （Israeli Security Minister Ben-Gvir Urges Netanyahu to Resume Full-Scale Fighting in Gaza）（Ceasefire On Thin Ice As Hamas Kills Gazan Civilians, Israel Retaliates To ‘Yellow Line’ Threat）

Israel’s goal is to wipe out Gaza and Palestine, and it has no intention of rebuilding Gaza. The United States and Israel have formed an international Gaza reconstruction committee, bringing together prominent politicians and business leaders, including former British Prime Minister Tony Blair, but this is a spectacle that portrays British liberals as clowns and mocks them. Once a stable ceasefire is achieved, the next step will be to rebuild Gaza. Israel does not want to let things develop in that direction. “The current ceasefire” is unstable. Israel continues fighting intermittently, citing various excuses. Blair’s committee is left waiting in Egypt.  （Blair’s second coming: Gaza under colonial trusteeship）  (The Middle East after the Gaza ‘War’)   [War could return to Gaza as Israel sets impossible ceasefire conditions: Analysis]

Despite this situation, Trump made the effort to visit Israel and staged a spectacular “end to the Gaza War.” What was the point of that? It was likely intended to create a split situation in which the actual war on the ground in Gaza continues, while Israel’s international political relations with other countries are deemed to be over and relations with Israel improve. Israel (the Likud faction) is very strong geopolitically and militarily because it expelled British politicians and controls the US Intelligence Community. Therefore, everyone wants to be friendly with Israel. （Israel Won’t Reopen Rafah Crossing As Hamas Fails To Return Bodies Of Slain Hostages）

However, “everyone” has supported a Palestinian state. As long as Israel continues to commit spectacular humanitarian crimes in Gaza, everyone has no choice but to condemn Israel. Then Trump came on the scene and staged a bluff claiming the Gaza War was over. “Everyone else” bought into the bluff, pretended the Gaza War was over, and started to get along with Israel. Isn’t that the scenario? （Is normalization with Saudi Arabia closer or further way?）

But who is “everyone“?  Arab countries, Turkey, Russia, etc. Syria, under the Sha’aa regime of Assad, is now a puppet of Israel. Lebanon, after Israel crushed Hezbollah, has shifted from anti-American to pro-American, and is now at the mercy of the US (and its Israeli control). Arab countries like the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt also publicly advocate the creation of a Palestinian state, but still want to be friendly with Israel, even as it pursues its own Palestinian erasure. The UAE, the most pro-Israel Arab nation (and a Saudi stooge), immediately purchased land in Tel Aviv after the Gaza ceasefire and began moving its embassy, ​​which had previously been housed in a tenant building, into a new, permanent building of its own.   （UAE buys land for permanent embassy in Israel）

For several years, Israel has been working to expand its Middle Eastern hegemony into the Caucasus, behind Iran (as a means of encircling Iran). This led to a puzzling move: Armenia (formerly an Israeli state), which had been victorious in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, suddenly made major concessions, giving Azerbaijan the victory. Azerbaijan is a Turkish-affiliated country. Erdogan’s Turkey has rapidly expanded its regional hegemony into the Caucasus thanks to Israel. Israel previously used Armenia as a pawn in Turkey’s hostility, limiting Turkey’s strength in the Caucasus. However, Armenia has now drawn closer to Turkey. Although Erdogan continues to criticize Israel publicly, he is actually grateful to Israel for expanding his hegemony in the Caucasus. Turkey no longer views Israel as an enemy. (Give the Caucasus to Turkey./コーカサスをトルコに与える）

Turkey purchased and deployed S400 interceptor missiles from Russia, but recently there has been talk of returning the S400s to Russia and deploying American-made ones instead. Officially, India wanted the S400s, so Russia asked Turkey to return them and resell them to India. However, in my view, this is the result of Israel’s request. If Russia and Turkey colluded and betrayed Israel, the S400s would pose a threat to Israel (India is far from Israel, so this is not a problem; India is anti-Muslim and pro-Israel). If it were a US-made system, Israel would continue to control the US Intelligence Community, i.e. the US military, so Turkey would not betray Israel. （Speculation Is Swirling About The Future Of Turkiye’s S-400s）（Israeli Hegemony Expansion/イスラエルの覇権拡大）

Putin’s Russia tacitly allowed Israel (under Turkey) to take over the Caucasus, which was once Putin’s sphere of influence (the former Soviet Union). In return, Russia was allowed to maintain and expand its interests in the Middle East, which was becoming Israel’s sphere of influence. Russia has had a naval base in Syria since the Assad regime. Russia cooperated with Iran to support Assad.（What’s The Future Of Russia’s Bases In Syria?）

At the end of last year, Sha’a’a‘s HTS (formerly Al-Qaeda), an Israeli puppet, overthrew the Assad regime, and Assad fled to Moscow (apparently he was recently nearly poisoned). Attention was focused on whether the Sha’a’a regime, hostile to Assad, would allow pro-Assad Russia to maintain a naval base in Syria. On 15^th of October 2025, almost simultaneously with the Gaza ceasefire, Sha’a’a visited Russia and held a friendly discussion with Putin. Russia’s naval base in Syria was to remain in place. This was likely a move by Israel, which is behind Sha’a’a. （New Syrian Leaders May See Russia as Defense Against US & Israeli Predations）   [Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham]

Putin has long been friendly with Israel. There are many Jews (descendants of the Khazars) in both Ukraine and Russia. The Ukraine War itself was a ploy by the Likud faction to strengthen Putin’s Russia (and non-American forces). The Likud faction intensified British hostility toward Russia as a ploy to crush the British faction (Britain, Europe, and the US Democratic Party), which in turn led to the British faction swaying Ukraine to intensify the oppression of the Russian residents. This led to Putin’s invasion of Ukraine to protect the Russian nationals in Ukraine and the recapture (annexation) of Donbas, starting the Ukraine War.  （Syria Set To Allow Russia To Keep Its Strategic Military Bases In Country） [Why is Putin obsessed with Donbas? Capturing this region is the only condition for ending the war]

With the outbreak of the Ukraine War, the Likud faction must have given Putin various advice to ensure the successful elimination of the British faction. Putin has strengthened resource ties and solidarity with those non-American countries like China and India, not only in the military sphere but also in geopolitics and hegemonic management, contributing to the de-Americanization and multipolarization of the world order. The movement to destroy the British faction, which has driven US hegemony and the US Intelligence Community, is being driven by the hidden multipolar faction in the United States, such as the founding of the United Nations and the Rockefellers since Nixon; Likud-affiliated Israel, which the hidden multipolar faction lured in the late 1990s and caused the 9/11 attacks to take over the US Intelligence Community from the British faction; Trump, the poster child of the hidden multipolar faction and Likud faction; Putin, Trump’s hidden ally and Likud faction’s ally; and beyond, Xi Jinping, India’s Modi, and Saudi Arabia’s MbS. The multipolarization trend has already overtaken the peak. A Gaza ceasefire, even if only in name, was necessary for Israel and Russia (as well as the Arab world and Turkey) to get along.  （Iraq Sets Deadline To End Dependence On Iranian Gas, Under US Pressure） [Israeli intelligence community]    [How Israel’s famed intelligence agencies have always relied on help from their friends]    [Friends of Israeli Intelligence]

Iran is the only country in the Middle East that remains hostile to Israel. Iran knows that Israel (and the US) have bombed its nuclear facilities and taken over the US Intelligence Community, making it extremely powerful. Iran would prefer not to be in conflict with Israel if possible. It would prefer to be left alone. However, Israel cannot afford to leave it alone. In the long term, the US financial system will eventually collapse, and US hegemony will disappear along with the intelligence community. Israel’s current strength is not permanent. If Israel weakens, Iran could gradually regain its influence in Israel’s vicinity. That would be unacceptable, so Israel needs to overthrow the Islamic Republic of Iran while it is still strong. It is questionable whether a military attack can overthrow the Iranian regime. （A new Iran-Israel war is just a matter of time）

(In the paid article published on 17 October 2025, I wrote about the possibility that the financial crisis in the United States could rapidly spread from regional banks and soon lead to a Lehman Shock-style bubble collapse. I also wrote about the possibility that if the US financial and intelligence communities collapse, Israel would also be weakened, so it could inject illicit funds to maintain the bubble. Subsequently, through 21^st of October 2025, stock and bond prices in the US, Europe, and Japan rebounded abnormally, and the same irrational financial bubble expansion as before has returned. It seems likely that the Likud faction’s manipulation of finance to keep the bubble and intelligence communities alive will continue for some time.)  (A sudden financial crisis may occur/突然金融危機になるかも）   [This happens before a crash – Warning Signs 2025]

Recent changes surrounding the Kurds appear to be linked to Israel’s efforts to crush Iran. Israel has long promoted the Kurds as part of its strategy of propping up weaker Middle Eastern powers (with the help of the United States) and forcing them to bite into stronger ones, weakening them. This includes propping up the Iraqi Kurds against Saddam Hussein, pitting the Syrian Kurds against Assad, mobilizing the Iranian Kurds, and encouraging the Turkish Kurds to press for autonomy in order to label Erdogan as a human rights violator. Hussein and Assad are gone. Turkey has become a stooge (responsible for the Caucasus) in Israel’s Middle East hegemony, rather than a rival. The Turkish Kurds (PKK) disarmed, reconciled with Erdogan, and become a healthy opposition party.（Erdogan’s ‘domestic front’: The dismantling of democracy in Turkiye） [The Evolving Israeli-Kurdish Alliance: Strategic Interests and Geopolitical Implications]

That leaves Iran. In recent years, Iran’s Kurds have been monitored and contained by the Islamic Republic’s government, with almost no anti-government activity. However, if Israel were to launch a full-scale war against Iran with the involvement of Trump and overthrow the government, the Kurds could seek to secure their own territory amid the ensuing chaos in Iran. Israel imports oil (and eventually gas) from Azerbaijan, which currently transports it via pipeline to Turkish ports and transfers it to If Iran tankers were to be overthrown in the future and the Kurds were to establish an autonomous region (or separate state), a pipeline could be built from Azerbaijan through Iran’s Kurdish regions, Iraq’s Kurdish regions, and Syria (Kurdish and Sha’a territories under Israeli control) to Israel. （Iraq To Restart Kurdistan Oil Exports On September 27）

Russia and China are friendly with Iran. However, Putin is flexible, and Russia could abandon Iran. Until last year, Putin supported Syria’s Assad alongside Iran, but when Israel used its puppet Sha’a to overthrow Assad, he tacitly approved (by secretly cooperating) and played a role in persuading Assad to abandon his regime and accept asylum. Putin could similarly abandon Iran for Israel. The United States and Russia are already Israeli puppets. Britain and Europe will destroy the rule of the liberal elite. Their power will be greatly weakened, and the right-wing government that will take power after them will be pro-Israel. The future global issue for Israel will be its relationship with the Chinese Communist Party (Xi Jinping). The litmus test will be Iran. Will Xi Jinping tolerate Israel and the United States overthrowing Iran’s regime? He probably will. The Chinese Communist Party is a realist. （Israel intends to include Lebanon and Syria in the Abraham Accords） [China–Israel relations]

Israel (the Likud faction of the Intelligence Community) is pushing countries around the world toward the right and the extreme right in order to crush the Britain. In Japan, too, in the recent situation where far-right candidate Sanae Takaichi might not become prime minister, Yuichiro Tamaki, who could have become prime minister instead, somehow seemed unmotivated, creating a trend of tacitly approving Takaichi’s inauguration. Apparently, someone leaked Tamaki’s weakness (a womanizing scandal perhaps?) to the LDP, forcing him to make concessions. Japan has been happily controlled by the US Intelligence Community, so it would be easy for the Likud faction. It would be interesting if Takaichi, now the Prime Minister of Japan, were invited by Trump to meet with Putin, but I wonder if that kind of dynamism still exists in a country so full of petty bureaucrats. I don’t have high hopes. （‘Everyone going to join Abraham Accords’: Trump says at Egypt peace summit）

Israel continues the Gaza War because its goal is to eliminate Palestine. However, with the ostensible ceasefire (end) of the Gaza War, countries in the Middle East and elsewhere will begin to reconcile and cooperate with Israel, starting with the easiest option. That is the significance of the Gaza ceasefire. （Indonesia and Israel: Preparing for normalization?） [Israel seeks permanent control of Gaza, Jewish majority in Occupied Palestinian Territory and Israel, UN Commission of Inquiry says | OHCHR]     [Netanyahu says Israel giving “peace a chance,” but no Palestinian state without “destroying fanaticism”]

At the same time, the Gaza War is infuriating and radicalizing liberals and leftists in the US and Europe who are inadvertently British puppets, creating an environment in which the far-right Trump administration can label British people as terrorists and crush them. For example, No Kings, funded by Soros. Liberal and left-wing citizens themselves are completely unaware of what is happening. I will write about these issues again.（Over 500,000 in London protest against genocide in Gaza）(The end of the liberal world order/リベラル世界体制の終わり）  （Billionaire-Funded ‘No Kings’ Color-Revolution Turns Into White Liberal Boomer Parade As Dems Become National Laughingstock） [Democrats’ silence about Hamas executions says it all | Opinion]

Notes:

1. The hyperlinks with the parentheses ( ) at the end of some paragraphs were added by the original author. Those hyperlinks in the paragraphs and those with brackets [ ], with the italic letters at the end of some paragraphs were added by the translator for the convenience of the reader.
2. The views and/or opinions in those hyperlinks added by the translator do not necessarily reflect those of his. In addition, it is either impossible or unavailable for the translator to verify the genuineness of the information in those links. He does not take any responsibility for the contents in those relevant links at all.
3. One or a few supplementary words, phrases or sentences in Italic letters without underlines in brackets [ ] were added to show the original author’s message in some contexts or sentences clearer where deemed necessary, while the essential meaning in the message was retained, neither modified nor changed at all. 
4. The views and/or opinions expressed in the above-mentioned article are those of Sakai Tanaka, who is the original author. His views and/or opinions do not necessarily reflect those of the Transcend Media Service (TMS) or those of the translator. Therefore, the reader is kindly requested to understand, interpret or judge those views and/or opinions at his or her own responsibility.
5. The original article in Japanese was published more than a few days or a few weeks ago. Meanwhile, the situations and/or conditions mentioned in the article might have been changed. This also means that the author’s argument expressed and/or the information provided in the article might have become inadequate or less or least adequate, obsolete, out of date or no longer valid by the time the TMS reader reads the same article in English. 

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Sakai Tanaka: After graduating from university, started working at the Kyodo News Agency in 1986. From 1997 he joined Microsoft Network (MSN) and in 1999, due to change of policy at Microsoft, he became an independent journalist. Tanaka has published more than twenty books on international affairs, some translated and published in China, South Korea and Taiwan. He studied at Harvard University from 2000 to 2001 and in 2005 was invited to serve as a senior researcher at the Royal Faisal Institute in Saudi Arabia. Website: tanakanews.com

Translation: Satoshi Ashikaga — Google Translate

 Original in Japanese:  ガザ停戦で拡大するイスラエルの中東覇権

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This article originally appeared on Transcend Media Service (TMS) on 27 Oct 2025.

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