The Middle East after the Gaza ‘War’

PALESTINE ISRAEL GAZA GENOCIDE, 20 Oct 2025

Sakai Tanaka – TRANSCEND Media Service

12 Oct 2025 – The Gaza War ended based on the Trump plan. Israel is prepared to resume attacks (crimes against humanity) if necessary, so this may be a temporary ceasefire rather than a groundbreaking end. However, Hamas has said, “The United States has promised a permanent end to the war. There will be no more war.” There are rumors that Trump will also attend the signing ceremony for the Gaza end in Egypt on a one-day trip. Unless it was the permanent end to the Gaza War, not a temporary ceasefire, Trump would not bother to attend the signing ceremony. Two hundred US military personnel (logistics and security experts) have already been dispatched to Israel to support the establishment of a future regime.  （Hamas leader in Gaza: ‘We received guarantees – the war is completely over’）（Egyptian President Sisi invites Trump to signing ceremony if peace deal completed）

02.     It’s good that the slaughter of the Gaza civilians has ended, but it’s unacceptable that Israel, which has committed egregious crimes against humanity and shown no remorse, will go unpunished. Trump has praised his end-of-war plan and called for a Nobel Peace Prize, but what is Trump, a puppet of the evil Israel, saying? Putin says a Palestinian state is important, yet praises Trump’s plan to allow the destruction of Gaza, which is contradictory. It’s outrageous… The media and conscientious people in Japan, Europe, and the United States are outraged.  （Putin Skewers Nobel Committee, Praises Trump’s Gaza Efforts）（US military troops arrive in Israel to monitor peace agreement – report）

03.     However, contrary to the lofty humanitarian ideals (which is in reality nothing but delusions), actual Middle Eastern politics are forging ahead with a realist course, ignoring liberals’ notions of right and wrong. The Trump plan is also a realist one. Israel (Likud faction) has spent the 25 years since 9/11 wresting control of the US Intelligence Community from the British and seizing it, now wielding the world’s most powerful intelligence (and military) power. The Trump revolution is the culmination of this trend, and it’s no surprise that Trump is an Israeli puppet. Many Middle Eastern countries were originally puppets of the US. But now the US is a puppet of Israel. As the puppets of the puppet, the Middle Eastern countries are unwilling to defy Israel, which has become their overlord. Even as Israel continues its crimes against humanity, erasing Palestine, the Middle Eastern countries only feign outrage, but in reality tolerate it. (Israel’s strategy to antagonize the world/世界を敵に回すイスラエルの策）

04.     The governments of those countries that hold elections, such as Egypt and Turkey, respect the public opinion that dislikes Israel and openly view it as their enemy. Egyptian President Sisi recently called Israel the “enemy” for the first time in 50 years (since the country’s reconciliation with Israel) and threatened to scrap the peace treaty. For the first time in 50 years, the Egyptian military has resumed its presence on the border with Israel.   （Egypt stepping out from Israel’s shadow? It depends）

5. Looking at these actions alone, one might think that Egypt, enraged by Israel’s heinous massacre in Gaza, has abandoned 50 years of peace and taken a stance of war against Israel. However, this is a diversion. In reality, however, Egypt as well as Jordan and Saudi Arabia, including the UAE, are responding to Israel’s erasure of Palestine and are realistically moving in line with Trump’s current plan to rebuild relations with Israel, assuming that Palestine (and the British hegemony behind it) will no longer exist.（Arab States Secretly Collaborating With Israel – Report）
6. Egypt (and other Arab countries) had been genuinely hostile to Israel until their disastrous defeat at the hands of Israel in just six days in the 1967 Six-Day War. However, Egypt later realized that it could not compete with Israel, which was using American intelligence behind the scenes, and reconciled with Israel through the US mediation in 1978 (though they had previously salvaged face by winning the faked Yom Kippur War). As part of the reconciliation, Egypt received back the Sinai Peninsula adjacent to Gaza, which had been occupied by Israel. However, as a promise not to use the Sinai Peninsula as a hostile region to Israel or for Palestinian forces, it was kept a buffer zone without Egyptian troops.（Israel is not isolated: A global web of oil and complicity）[Israeli intelligence community – Wikipedia] [Top 10 Most Powerful Intelligence Agencies in the World]

   07.     Fifty years have passed since then, and Israel has grown strong enough to take over the US Intelligence Community and eliminate Palestine (and the British backing it), while Egypt has slumped and weakened enough to be overthrown by Israel in the Arab Spring.  Egypt relies on natural gas exported by Israel from the coast of Gaza.  Now, having decided that enough is enough, Israel has allowed the Egyptian troops to remain in the Sinai Peninsula, along with the elimination of Gaza.
   （Why Egypt can’t criticize Israel for at least another two decades）

   08.     Recent leaks have revealed that not only Egypt, but also Arab countries such as Jordan, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, and Bahrain have been working closely with Israel and receiving guidance from the US military on maintaining the Middle East security system for the past three years. “Three years ago” was before the Gaza War, when Trump was fraudulently defeated, and Biden was working as the US President. However, it was after the Abraham Accords, which Trump achieved in 2020. This military cooperation likely materialized as part of the Abraham Accords (since Biden’s fraudulent victory in the 2020 election was due to the Likud faction, Biden was also at the mercy of Israel).   （Secret Israel-Arab military cooperation during Gaza war revealed, leaked US documents show）

   09.     During this time, Israel has strengthened its security cooperation with Arab countries through US mediation, while at the same time starting the Gaza war, angering Arab countries and advancing the eradication of Palestine. Qatar is among the Arab countries with which Israel has cooperated on security issues through US mediation. Yet, in September 2025, Israel boldly bombed a Hamas office in Qatar, briefly bringing Qatar and Israel into hostility. However, Israel knew that these acts of destruction would not seriously undermine its cooperative relations with the Arab countries. This is because Israel controls the US Intelligence Community, and the US military and government are under its umbrella, with the Arab countries even lower down.   （Will this deal work? Netanyahu has gamed everything his way so far）

   10.     The more Israel commits brutal humanitarian crimes in Gaza and attacks Qatar, the more Arab countries publicly reaffirm Israel’s strength. After Israel’s attack on Qatar, Trump mediated a phone call between the leaders of Qatar and Israel. At Trump’s request, Netanyahu apologized to Qatari leader Al-Thani, leading to reconciliation between the two countries. Representatives from Israel and Qatar also attended and shook hands at a meeting in Egypt to discuss the end of the Gaza Strip under the Trump plan.   （Netanyahu Apologizes To Qatar For Doha Strike, At Trump’s Direction）

   11.     Ultimately, the Trump plan is likely a revised version of the Abraham Accords, which were concluded at Trump’s suggestion in 2020. The Abraham Accords presupposed the establishment of a Palestinian state as a prerequisite for reconciliation between Israel and the Arab world. Israel subsequently erased Palestine, and the new Trump plan does not presuppose a Palestinian state (a White House spokesperson did not respond to a question about this). Gaza will now be governed not by Palestinians, but by Western and Arab politicians and business leaders, including former British Prime Minister Tony Blair (this plan is likely being prepared as a farce).   （White House Dodges Question on Palestinian State Recognition Amid Ongoing Talks）[Jeffrey Sachs: The Israel–Hamas “Peace” Deal Is an ILLUSION]

   12.     While Netanyahu is viewed as a villain by the world, he has gained political power within Israel by successfully destroying Hamas and freeing hostages. Netanyahu is considering taking advantage of this situation to further consolidate his own and Likud’s power by accelerating parliamentary elections. Israel’s opposition parties (centrist, formerly British-affiliated) have declared their support for Netanyahu, making it difficult for far-right settlers and others to win against him by urging him to adopt more radical strategies. （Yair Lapid offers safety net for PM Benjamin Netanyahu to implement Trump’s Gaza deal）（Netanyahu may hold early elections, ‘use Gaza deal to gain support,’ Likud official says）

   13.     In contrast to Netanyahu’s growing strength, liberal European governments that have criticized him are increasingly on the brink of collapse. France’s Macron, who led the way in recognizing the Palestinian state, is only a matter of time before he resigns after a series of foolish policies, including support for Ukraine. The British government is collapsing after forcing through the digital ID system that is completely liberal. Left-wing Spain has been expelled from NATO by Trump for not increasing its military spending. Trump will likely continue to harass those countries, which are hostile toward Israel (not just publicly, but in earnest).  （Trump Suggests Dropping Spain From NATO Alliance Over Defense Spending）

7. I was planning to write about new security developments in the Middle East, such as Saudi Arabia signing a military agreement with Pakistan that will see the Saudis share Pakistan’s nuclear weapons, or how the Nobel Peace Prize Committee, which did not want to award the prize to Trump, was pressured by the United States to instead award the Prize to Maria Corina Machado, who is likely to become the President of Venezuela after Trump overthrew the regime. But now, this post is getting long, so I will write about it again later. （How the Pakistan-Saudi Arabia Defense Agreement Changes the Region and the World）

 Notes:

1. The hyperlinks with the parentheses ( ) at the end of some paragraphs were added by the original author. Those hyperlinks in the paragraphs and those with brackets [ ], with the italic letters at the end of some paragraphs were added by the translator for the convenience of the reader.
2. The views and/or opinions in those hyperlinks added by the translator do not necessarily reflect those of his. In addition, it is either impossible or unavailable for the translator to verify the genuineness of the information in those links. He does not take any responsibility for the contents in those relevant links at all.
3. The paragraph number was added to the head of each paragraph (except to that of the first paragraph) by the translator for the convenience of the reader.
4. One or a few supplementary words, phrases or sentences in Italic letters without underlines in brackets [ ] were added to show the original author’s message in some contexts or sentences clearer where deemed necessary, while the essential meaning in the message was retained, neither modified nor changed at all. 
5. The views and/or opinions expressed in the above-mentioned article are those of Sakai Tanaka, who is the original author. His views and/or opinions do not necessarily reflect those of the Transcend Media Service (TMS) or those of the translator. Therefore, the reader is kindly requested to understand, interpret or judge those views and/or opinions at his or her own responsibility.
6. The original article in Japanese was published more than a few days or a few weeks ago. Meanwhile, the situations and/or conditions mentioned in the article might have been changed. This also means that the author’s argument expressed and/or the information provided in the article might have become inadequate or less or least adequate, obsolete, out of date or no longer valid by the time the TMS reader reads the same article in English. 

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Sakai Tanaka:  After graduating from university, Sakai Tanaka started working at the Kyodo News  Agency in 1986. From 1997 he joined Microsoft Network (MSN) and in 1999, due to change of policy at Microsoft, he became an independent journalist. Tanaka has published more than twenty books on international affairs, some translated and published in China, South Korea and Taiwan. He studied at Harvard University from 2000 to 2001 and in 2005 was invited to serve as a senior researcher at the Royal Faisal Institute in Saudi Arabia. Website: tanakanews.com

Translation: Satoshi Ashikaga — Google Traslate

Original in Japanese:  ガザ戦争後の中東

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This article originally appeared on Transcend Media Service (TMS) on 20 Oct 2025.

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