Cornering Japan So That It Has No Choice but to Take Over the US Support for Taiwan

ASIA--PACIFIC, 19 Jan 2026

Sakai Tanaka – TRANSCEND Media Service

10 Jan 2026 — US President Trump is a hidden multipolarist and hegemonic renegade. He is destroying the existing British hegemonic system (i.e. liberal globalism) and pushing for Americanism as part of the US’s multipolarization of the world order. While Trump publicly pretends to be hostile toward China and Russia, he is secretly colluding with Putin and Xi Jinping to manage a multipolar world… Until about two years ago, this view was considered a delusion. However, recently, more and more people are beginning to believe it’s probably true.

If Trump is a multipolarist, he will eventually stop pretending to be hostile toward China and stop supporting Taiwan.  As recently as last autumn, when Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi’s remarks on the Taiwan issue infuriated the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and escalated the Japan-China conflict, Trump feigned neutrality. The United States has made a major shift from its previous stance of siding with Japan and actively viewing China as its enemy, yanking Japan out of the way. The CCP continues to criticize Takaichi and is intensifying economic sanctions against Japan, including restricting rare earth exports to Japan. The Komeito Party and other left-wing parties are pressuring Takaichi to “quickly apologize to China.” If she, besieged by the enemies, were to apologize and surrender, no one would support Taiwan, and the CCP would be free to do as they pleased. China would annex Taiwan, and the CCP would complete its long-desired revolution, creating a joyous and joyous situation…

Is that scenario really true? Does Xi Jinping truly want the CCP to annex Taiwan and resolve the Taiwan issue? I don’t think so. Until now, the CCP has had problems and threats, such as the issues of Taiwan, Tibet, and Uyghur, as well as hostility from the US, Europe, and India, so it has had an excuse to continue its one-party dictatorship and personal dictatorship, which is a permanent state of emergency. However, both Tibet and Uyghur have now been pacified. Relations with India have also improved. If the US hegemony collapses, and a multipolar world emerges, hostility from the US and Europe and the Taiwan issue will also disappear. If that happens, the CCP will no longer have any reason to maintain its dictatorship or state of emergency. It may seem like things will become stable when threats are gone. However, in fact, that may not be the case. China will become unstable as it will no longer have the legitimacy to oppress and deter political opponents. Power struggles within the CCP’s upper echelons will intensify, and local governments will no longer listen to what the central government says.

The Chinese (Han Chinese and ethnic minorities that have become sinic) are greedy and selfish by nature, so when the pressure from above weakens, they become more prone to division. The loss of the US hegemony and the resolution of the Taiwan issue will destabilize China. The CCP can maintain the legitimacy of its rule and dictatorship if problems and threats remain and the Chinese revolution remains incomplete. While appearing to desire Taiwan’s annexation, the CCP actually wants the Taiwan issue to remain in perpetuity.

Based on that premise, Trump has been secretly communicating with Xi Jinping. The two men believe that speaking frankly will lead to a more stable world. Trump has said that he will destroy the British who have been running the US hegemony and give up the hegemony, and that if the world becomes multipolar, no one will support Taiwan, allowing the CCP to annex it. However, Xi Jinping does not want Taiwan to be annexed. The two men discussed the matter and decided to have Japan support Taiwan instead of the United States. Japan, like the United States, would support the “One China” principle while effectively preventing the CCP from annexing Taiwan (the exchange is my speculation).

If Japan remains dependent on the United States, it will be unwilling to pursue its own international strategy and will not take over the United States’ support for Taiwan. However, Trump will make the world multipolar and reduce the US’s sphere of influence from the entire world to just the Americas. Japan will be removed from the US sphere of influence, and the Japan-US alliance will be rendered meaningless or dissolved. Japan will no longer be dependent on the United States in the near future. In the future multipolar world, those countries that do not or cannot become “poles” will have no choice but to become subordinates (vassal states) to the nearest “pole.” Japan is an economic superpower and possesses a unique civilization, making it both qualified and capable of becoming a “pole.” However, if Japan itself does not wish to do so, it could choose not to become a pole, but instead become a vassal state of the nearest pole, that is, China.

To become a “pole,” a country must become independent militarily and strategically. The quickest way to achieve military independence is nuclear armament. Some analysts assert that Japan cannot become a pole without nuclear armament. This represents a high hurdle for Japan, the only country to have suffered atomic bombings and a pacifist and anti-military stance for 80 years. In response to Trump’s decision to renounce the hegemony, the Japanese Ministry of Foreign Affairs and liberal members of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP) sought a path toward subordination to China rather than ascending to the pole position once it could no longer rely on the United States, and approached the PRC. However, if the United States renounces the hegemon, and if Japan becomes dependent on China, no one will support Taiwan, the balance between China and Taiwan will be disrupted, and the PRC will have to annex Taiwan. Xi Jinping does not want this to happen.

Trump and Xi Jinping held a secret phone conversation (perhaps last summer?) to appoint the far-right, anti-liberal Sanae Takaichi as Japan’s prime minister, allowing her to rule for a long time.  The CCP attacked her and imposed economic sanctions, intensifying the Japan-China conflict.  Meanwhile, Trump steered her toward supporting Taiwan, independence from the United States, and nuclear armament, setting in motion a scenario in which Japan, rising to the top, would support Taiwan in place of the United States (my guess). It’s easy to dismiss this theory as delusional. But at the same time, there are many things we should remember. The CCP could have privately discussed with Takaichi to avoid or ease the Japan-China conflict, but instead loudly criticized and sanctioned Japan, encouraging the Japanese people to support the far-right Takaichi. Yuichiro Tamaki, head of the Democratic Party For the People (DPFP),  effectively declined the position despite being able to push her aside to become prime minister. Soon after Takaichi took office, debates of Japan’s nuclear armament spread like a trial political balloon. And so on. If we want to rationalize these actions, my theory resurfaces.

Takaichi was unable to support Taiwan due to the fierce domestic opposition, and may have wanted to apologize to China and become dependent on it, as the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, left-wing groups, the media, and the Komeito Party wished. However, the CCP would be in trouble if Takaichi did not support Taiwan. The disappearance of the Taiwan issue would destabilize China. Xi Jinping is working with Trump to prevent Takaichi from apologizing and to push Japan to the pole. Takaichi is being pushed by the US and China into a situation where it is easier to rise to the pole than to be dependent on China.

South Korea is under the umbrella of the CCP, and India is on friendly terms with China. Japan is becoming isolated. Japan’s national bond interest rates are rising, its fiscal collapse is becoming apparent, and it is being cornered.  Actually, Japan’s nuclear armament is possible only when this country is cornered.  Look at North Korea, Pakistan, and Israel. If the British puppets within Japan, such as the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, uncover Takaichi’s scandals and force her down, other far-right figures within the LDP, such as Shinjiro Koizumi, will take over and continue the China-China conflict.

During Trump’s first term, he tried to persuade Shinzo Abe to support Taiwan and take over the China containment, but it was premature. At the time, the British interests in the US Intelligence Community, which wanted to subjugate Japan, were still strong. The Japanese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, a British puppet, and other such organizations acted. Abe maintained close ties with China, declined to support Taiwan, and the China containment remained in name only. Abe may have waited for the right moment to accommodate Trump’s wishes, but he was shot dead by the US Intelligence Community (for the British interests) before he could do so.

Trump and Israel have incorporated Kazakhstan, a neighboring country located across from Japan from China, into the Abraham Accords, reviving their containment of China. However, given that it is easier for the CCP to govern China if problems and threats continue to exist, it seems that Trump, at Xi Jinping’s request, advanced into Central Asia, including Kazakhstan, as a way to expand Israel’s Middle Eastern hegemony.

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Notes:

 

  1. The hyperlinks with the parentheses ( ) at the end of some paragraphs were added by the original author. Those hyperlinks in the paragraphs and those with brackets [ ], with the italic letters at the end of some paragraphs were added by the translator for the convenience of the reader.
  2. The views and/or opinions in those hyperlinks added by the translator do not necessarily reflect those of his. In addition, it is either impossible or unavailable for the translator to verify the genuineness of the information in those links. He does not take any responsibility for the contents in those relevant links at all.
  3. Some sentences in the article, deemed important and/or emphasized in terms of the context, are expressed in the Gothic letters and/or the Italic letters, by the translator for the convenience of the reader.
  4. The views and/or opinions expressed in the above-mentioned article are those of Sakai Tanaka, who is the original author. His views and/or opinions do not necessarily reflect those of TMS or those of the translator. Therefore, the reader is kindly requested to understand, interpret or judge those views and/or opinions at his or her own responsibility.
  5. The original article in Japanese was published more than a few days or a few weeks ago. Meanwhile, the situations and/or conditions mentioned in the article might have been changed. This also means that the author’s argument expressed and/or the information provided in the article might have become inadequate or less or least adequate, obsolete, out of date or no longer valid by the time the TMS reader reads the same article in English.

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Original author: After graduating from university, Sakai Tanaka started working at the Kyodo News Agency in 1986. From 1997 he joined Microsoft Network (MSN) and in 1999, due to change of policy at Microsoft, he became an independent journalist. Tanaka has published more than twenty books on international affairs, some translated and published in China, South Korea and Taiwan. He studied at Harvard University from 2000 to 2001 and in 2005 was invited to serve as a senior researcher at the Royal Faisal Institute in Saudi Arabia. Website: tanakanews.com 

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 Translation:  Satoshi Ashikaga — Google Translate

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Original in Japanese:  日本に台湾支援を肩代わりさせる


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This article originally appeared on Transcend Media Service (TMS) on 19 Jan 2026.

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