A View on the Ukraine Crisis. And Then What?


Satoshi Ashikaga – TRANSCEND Media Service

6 Jun 2022

  1. Russia has won the sanctions war with the West (so far)!

It may be said that (so far) Russia has won the sanctions imposed by the West and its followers.

1.1.)   Russia won the sanctions war with the West – europe-cities.com

1.2.)   How Russia Has Remained One Step Ahead Of Western Sanctions | OilPrice.com

1.3.)    As sanctions fail to work and Russia’s advance continues, Western media changes its tune on Ukraine — RT Russia & Former Soviet Union


  1. Most non-Western countries are against the sanctions against Russia:

2.1.) Why aren’t non-Western countries joining the sanctions against Russia? – Attack the System


Yet outside the West, few states have taken any action against Vladimir Putin’s regime.
“Why are these countries refusing to take sides?  ….countries in Africa, Asia, and Latin America are reluctant to join the campaign against Moscow for an array of reasons….as is a feeling that Western powers too often come to them only to ask favors, without ever responding to their needs in turn.”

There are 193 member-countries of the United Nations.  Among them, only 45 countries are participating the U.S./EU-led economic sanctions against Russia.

2.2.)  45 countries sanctioned Russia and 29 countries are arming Ukraine — Castellum.AI

In other words, 148 UN member-countries are tacitly expressing, “No!” to the sanctions even though whatever they express in words against Russia.  An old saying: “Judge the people (or the nations = political/governmental/ruling units of the people) by their deeds, not by their words.”

It is these non-Western 148 countries that actually own industrial and other essential natural materials and resources (including petroleum, liquefied natural gas (LNG), metals necessary for manufacturing semi-conductors, etc.) that are imperative and critical for the economy, industry and survival of the Western countries.


  1.   NATO’s business opportunities:

Most Western countries are NATO member countries.  One of the main functions of NATO is business relating to weapons and other relevant devices and equipment.  Also see 4.3.) mentioned below.

3.1.)   NATO – Business Opportunities  and/or NSPA | Our Business (nato.int)

3.2.)    Every Single Weapon Europe Is Sending to Ukraine (So Far) (msn.com)

3.3.)   “EU announced it would buy and deliver 450 million Euros of arms to Ukraine…”   Ukraine: the world’s defense giants are quietly making billions from the war — MercoPress

In that regard, is it also possible to say that NATO and its military industry complex are also the winners of the so-called Ukraine war in terms of their business?


  1.   To whom the U.S.-led Western economic sanctions bring profits?

The U.S. and other Western countries plus their followers (such as Japan, South Korea, etc.) are taking a series of self-inflicting actions in the name of the economic sanctions against Russia.  In the contemporary world whose economic structure is based on the heavily interdependent and mutual-indispensable relations, the economic sanctions against a huge economic influential country (such as Russia) do not work effectively as intended.  Such sanctions work as the two-edge knife.  And this two-edge knife cuts far deeper the holder/user than the target/object.

The U.S. administration was probably aware of all that.  Nonetheless, they decided to impose such suicidal sanctions on Russia. The sanctions might give a good amount of profit to some of those corporations/people who are closely related with the President Biden.

4.1.)    U.S. LNG exporters emerge as big winners of Europe natgas crisis | Reuters

4.2.)    American Oil Company CEOs caught profiting from war in Ukraine (foe.org)

4.3.)    ‘War is good business’: How US weapons makers profit in Ukraine | Lone Star State Firearms

However, the effects of these sanctions are seriously damaging the economy (and even the survival) of those countries imposing the sanctions on Russia.  The sanctions against Russia simply increases the speed and the degree of the decline of the West and its followers.


  1.   Rise of the R.I.C. alliance?

– India:

5.1.1.)    India is Buying Up Cheap Sanctioned Russian Oil and Selling it to the U.S. and E.U. at Huge Profits – Coercion Code – “Dark Times are upon us”

5.1.2)    indian economy: India to be the second fastest growing economy after China this year – The Economic Times (indiatimes.com)

5.1.3.)     India’s rise is a reality | ORF (orfonline.org)

– Directions of Russian Oil:

5.2.1.)    More Russian Oil Than Ever Before Is Heading for China and India – Bloomberg

– R.I.C.  Alliance:

5.3.1.)    Russia-India-China: Strategic triangle (opindia.com)

5.3.2.)    China-Russia-India: the unwavering alliance – THE GLOBAL VISION (wordpress.com)

The world might see a “post-Ukraine crisis world” in due course.


  1. Last but not least:

My sincerest compassion goes to those common Ukrainians who are suffering from the ongoing military event in their country.  My deepest condolences go to those who lost their loved ones in this situation.  I worked in the war-zones and war-torn zones years ago.  During that time, right in front of my eyes I witnessed countless numbers of untold tragedies and griefs, especially of those common people.  Therefore, I really understand how and what those common Ukrainians think and feel now.

In addition, my sympathy goes to any others who are suffering because of the Ukraine crisis, including those in Africa.

6.1.)  Climate Crisis, Ukraine War Worsen Food Crisis in East Africa; Someone Dies of Hunger Every 48 Secs | Democracy Now!

Meanwhile, however, it seems that NATO hopes as follows:

6.2.)  NATO Hoping Ukraine Will Prevail in War with Russia (voanews.com)

On the contrary, I would say, “May peace prevail in Ukraine. May peace prevail also on all other parts of this planet.


Satoshi Ashikaga is a member of the TRANSCEND Network for Peace Development Environment. Having worked as researcher, development program/project officer, legal protection/humanitarian assistance officer, human rights monitor-negotiator, managing-editor, and more, he prefers a peaceful and prudent life, especially that in communion with nature.  His previous work experiences, including those in war zones and war-torn zones, remind him of the invaluableness of peace.  His interest and/or expertise includes international affairs, international law, jurisprudence, economic and business affairs, project/operations or organizational management, geography, history, the environmental/ecological issues, audio/visual documentation of nature and culture, and more.

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This article originally appeared on Transcend Media Service (TMS) on 6 Jun 2022.

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